Kangjie vs Ando, Hariguchi vs Hong, Xiaocan vs Singh Fight Picks – Road to UFC 3 – Shanghai Quarterfinals 1 – May 18, 2024

Kangjie Zhu vs Tatsuya Ando

• Kangjie Zhu
• Age: 28
• Pro Record: 18-4
• Key Losses: Lost to a 10-10 striker.
• Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-3 grappler. Beat a well rounded 4-0 fighter.
• Striking: above average (60)
• Power: above average (60)
• Wrestling: a little above average (55)

• Tatsuya Ando
• Age: 34
• Pro Record: 14-3
• Key Wins: Submitted Kevin Croom, a 14-3 grappler, and a 10-3 striker. Knocked out a 17-4 wrestler and a well rounded 11-1 fighter. Beat an 11-3 wrestler.
• Striking: above average (60)
• Power: above average (60)
• Grappling: above average (60)

I’m pretty sure I have Kangjie’s striking graded right as a 60, but the wrestling tool could be a 50. I wasn’t as impressed with what I saw from him there.

Chris’ Pick: Ando by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be: Ando -125

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Shin Haraguchi vs Jun Young Hong

• Shin Haraguchi
• Age: 25
• Pro Record: 7-1
• UFC Record: 2-1
• Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 8-0 fighter and Sang Won Kim. Beat Jae Hyun Park.
• Striking: above average (60)
• Power: above average (60)
• Wrestling: near plus (65)

• Jun Young Hong
• Age: 33
• Pro Record: 13-7
• Key Losses: Lost to a 15-7 striker. Split decision loss to a 12-5 striker.
• Key Wins: Beat an 11-4 wrestler.
• Striking: a little above average (55)
• Power: fringe average (45)
• Wrestling: average (50)

When Haraguchi fought Rong Zhu, you could really see the size difference, Haraguchi being much smaller. He now moves down to 145 lbs where I expect his tools to play up.

Chris’ Pick: Haraguchi by 1st round submission.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Haraguchi -400

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Xiaocan Feng vs Kiran Singh

• Xiaocan Feng
• Age: 22
• Pro Record: 8-2
• Key Wins: Knocked out Feier Huang. Submitted Miki Motono. Beat a 14-5 striker.
• Striking: above average (60)
• Power: above average (60)
• Grappling: a little above average (55)

• Kiran Singh
• Age: 24
• Pro Record: 7-3
• Striking: average (50)
• Power: below average (40)
• Grappling: a little above average (55)

Maybe Singh has 60 grappling. But even if she does, Xiaocan has experience with a grappler like that when she beat Motono. Xiaocan’s striking could be as high as a 65, she’s got a long reach for 115 lbs.

Chris’ Pick: Xiaocan by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Xiaocan -350

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Feier Huang vs Miki Motono

• Feier Huang
• Age: 30
• Pro Record: 14-8
• Striking: average (50)
• Power: average (50)
• Grappling: average (50)

• Miki Motono
• Age: 29
• Pro Record: 8-4
• Striking: a little above average (55)
• Power: a little above average (55)
• Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Motono by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Motono -200

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Bahateboli Batebolati vs Han Seul Kim

• Bahatebole Batebolati
• Age: 25
• Pro Record: 8-1-1
• UFC Record: 1-0
• Key Wins: Split decision over a well rounded 8-2 fighter.
• Striking: near plus (65)
• Power: near plus (65)
• Wrestling: near plus (65)

• Han Seul Kim
• Age: 33
• Pro Record: 13-5
• UFC Record: 0-1
• Key Losses: Split decision loss to a 7-5 fighter.
• Key Wins: Knocked out a 7-1 wrestler. Submitted a 6-1 striker.
• Striking: a little above average (55)
• Power: a little above average (55)
• Wrestling: a little above average (55)

Won Bin Ki came in as a -170 favorite over Batebolati, which was crazy to me. But Batebolati exceeded even my expectations, striking was better than I thought, a 65. I also think his wrestling is probably a 65, but I’ll admit there’s some projection baked into the grade. 

Chris’ Pick: Batebolati by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be: Batebolati -450