Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit
- Ciryl Gane
- Age: 36
- UFC Record: 11-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Alex Pereira, Sergei Spivac, Tai Tuivasa, Derrick Lewis, and Junior dos Santos. Beat Alexander Volkov, Jairzinho Rozenstruik, and Tanner Boser. Split decision win over Alexander Volkov.
- Striking: near plus plus (75)
- Power: near plus plus (75)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Josh Hokit
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 9-0
- UFC Record: 4-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Denzel Freeman, Max Gimenis, and a 6-1 striker. Beat Curtis Blaydes.
- Striking: near plus plus (75)
- Power: near plus plus (75)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Hokit by 2nd round knockout.
Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes
- Kayla Harrison
- Age: 36
- Pro Record: 19-1
- UFC Record: 3-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out an 8-1 striker, a 4-1 striker, and a well rounded 4-1 fighter. Submitted a well rounded 6-2 fighter and a well rounded 5-1 fighter. Beat Ketlen Vieira, Aspen Ladd, a well rounded 11-2 fighter, and a 6-2 grappler.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: near plus plus (75)
- Amanda Nunes
- Age: 38
- UFC Record: 16-2
- Key Wins: Beat Irene Aldana, Germaine de Randamie twice. Once by knockout, the other by decision. Knocked out Holly Holm, Cris Cyborg, Raqual Pennington, and Ronda Rousey. Submitted Megan Anderson and Miesha Tate. Beat Julianna Pena, Felicia Spencer, and Valentina Shevchenko twice.
- Striking: near plus plus (75)
- Power: near plus plus (75)
- Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
If this fight was made in 2023 or 2024, I’d easily favor Nunes to win. But Nunes retired and hasn’t fought in almost 3 years. And it’s a lot to expect that her 75 tools are still intact, that there hasn’t been regression. Meanwhile Harrison has been active and her striking did fine against Pena, actually out striking her 15 to 5. Slight possibility Harrison’s grappling could be as high as an 80. I also have more faith in Harrison’s cardio over 5 rounds. But at the same time, I wouldn’t be too surprised if Nunes shows up, stuffs take downs and knocks Harrison out either.
Chris’ Pick: Nunes by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Nunes -135
Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui
- Caio Borralho
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 10-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Paul Craig and an 8-3 grappler. Submitted Michal Oleksiejczuk and a well rounded 5-2 fighter. Beat Renier de Ridder, Jared Cannonier, Makhmud Muradov, Armen Petrosyan, Gadzhi Omargadzhiev, a 10-2 striker, and a 7-0 grappler.
- Striking: near plus plus (75)
- Power: near plus plus (75)
- Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
- Yousri Belgaroui
- Age: 34
- Pro Record: 10-3
- UFC Record: 3-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Djorden Santos, Mansur Abdul Malik and Azamat Bekoev. Beat a well rounded 11-3 fighter.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Borralho by decision.
Uros Medic vs Kevin Holland
- Uros Medic
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 9-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out Daniel Rodriguez, Geoff Neal, Muslim Salikhov, Gilbert Urbina, Matthew Semelsberger, Omar Morales, Aalon Cruz, and a 7-1 striker.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Kevin Holland
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 7-5 at 170 lbs. 16-11 overall.
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Jack Della Maddalena.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Alex Oliveira, Jacare Souza, Joaquin Buckley and Anthony Hernandez. Submitted Vicente Luque, Michal Oleksiejczuk, Michael Chiesa and Tim Means. Beat Randy Brown, Gunnar Nelson and Alessio Di Chirico. Split decisions over Gerald Meerschaert and Darren Stewart.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Medic by 1st round knockout.
Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule
- Bilal Hasan
- Age: 25
- Pro Record: 10-0
- UFC Record: 2-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Nilson Rojas, a 9-1 striker, a well rounded 4-1 fighter, a 7-0 striker, and a 6-2-1 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Luis Gurule
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 2-4
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 3-0 fighter and a well rounded 3-0 fighter. Beat Daniel Barez, a well rounded 7-2 fighter, a 12-4 wrestler, and a 9-3 wrestler. Split decision over Nick Piccininni.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Hasan by decision.
Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke
- Stephen Thompson
- Age: 43
- UFC Record: 14-8-1
- Key Losses: Knocked out by Anthony Pettis. Majority decision loss to Tyron Woodley.
- Key Draws: Fought Tyron Woodley to a majority draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Kevin Holland. Beat Jorge Masvidal, Geoff Neal, and Vicente Luque.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Charlie Radtke
- Age: 36
- UFC Record: 5-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Matthew Semelsberger and Gilbert Urbina. Submitted Daniel Frunza and a 6-0 striker. Beat Francisco Prado and Blood Diamond. Split decision over a 3-1 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Radtke by 2nd round knockout.
Chris Duncan vs Drew Dober
- Chris Duncan
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 7-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-1 striker, a well rounded 8-2 fighter, and a 14-5 wrestler. Submitted Terrance McKinney, Jordan Vucenic, Bolaji Oki. Beat Mateusz Rebecki and Yanal Ashmoz. Split decision over Omar Morales.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Drew Dober
- Age: 38
- UFC Record: 15-11
- Key Wins: Knocked out Michael Johnson, Kyle Prepolec, Ricky Glenn, Bobby Green, Terrance McKinney, Alexander Hernandez, and Nasrat Haqparast. Beat Scott Holtzman.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Duncan by 1st round knockout.
Terrance McKinney vs Jim Miller
- Terrance McKinney
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 8-6
- Key Wins: Knocked out Kyle Nelson, Brendon Marotte, Mike Breeden, Matt Frevola, and an 11-3 grappler. Submitted Slava Borshchev and Fares Ziam.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Jim Miller
- Age: 43
- UFC Record: 28-18
- Key Wins: Knocked out Nik Motta. Submitted Jared Gordon, Damon Jackson, Gabriel Benitez, Donald Cerrone, Roosevelt Roberts, and Clay Guida.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: McKinney by 1st round knockout.
Donte Johnson vs Cesar Almeida
- Donte Johnson
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 9-0
- UFC Record: 4-0
- Key Wins: Submitted Sedriques Dumas. Knocked out Eric McConico, a well rounded 3-0 fighter. Split decision over Cody Brundage.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Cesar Almeida
- Age: 38
- UFC Record: 4-3
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Roman Kopylov.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Abdul Razak Alhassan and Dylan Budka. Beat Ihor Potieria and a 9-1 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Johnson by 1st round knockout.
Bia Mesquita vs Macy Chiasson
- Bea Mesquita
- Age: 35
- Pro Record: 8-0
- UFC Record: 3-0
- Key Wins: Submitted Melissa Mullins, Montserrat Rendon, Irina Alekseeva. Knocked out a well rounded 4-0 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: near plus plus (75)
- Macy Chiasson
- Age: 35
- UFC Record: 8-7
- Key Wins: Submitted Pannie Kianzad twice. Knocked out Mayra Bueno Silva, Sarah Moras and Gina Mazany. Beat Marion Reneau. Split decision over Norma Dumont.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Mesquita by 1st round submission.
Adrian Yanez vs Juan Diaz
- Adrian Yanez
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 8-3-1
- Key Losses: Split decision losses to Daniel Marcos, Domingo Pilarte in 2017, and Miles John in 2018.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Cody Garbrandt, Vinicius Salvador, Tony Kelley, Randy Costa, Gustavo Lopez, a 5-2 striker, and a well rounded 11-1 fighter. Submitted a 5-2 grappler. Split decision over Davey Grant.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Juan DIaz
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 16-1-1
- UFC Record: 2-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 14-5 striker. Submitted Malcolm Wellmaker and an 11-3 striker. Beat a 9-2 wrestler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Yanez by decision.
Samuel Sanches vs Evan Elder
- Samuel Sanches
- Age: 23
- Pro Record: 11-1
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 17-5 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Evan Elder
- Age: 29
- UFC Record: 3-2
- Key Wins: Submitted Darrius Flowers. Beat Gauge Young and Genaro Valdez.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Elder by decision.