Bouafia vs Santana, Miller vs Drago, Pinas vs Ali Fight Picks – Contender Series – August 12, 2025

Ilian Bouafia vs Neemias Santana

  • Ilian Bouafia
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 6-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 4-1 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Neemias Santana
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 7-2-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 4-0-1 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Bouafia by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Bouafia -350


Ty Cole Miller vs Jimmy Drago

  • Ty Cole Miller
  • Age: 25
  • Pro Record: 5-0
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)
  • Jimmy Drago
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 7-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 5-2 fighter, a 4-0 striker, and a well rounded 4-1 fighter. Beat a 5-0 grappler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Drago by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Drago -225


Murtaza Talha vs Baysangur Susurkaev

  • Murtaza Talha
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 7-1
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted an 8-2 grappler, a 4-1 striker, and a 7-1 striker. Knocked out a 5-1 grappler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Baysangur Susurkaev
  • Age: 24
  • Pro Record: 8-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 6-0 fighter. Beat an 8-3 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Amazingly, Talha closed as a -350 favorite over Rodolfo Bellato, who now has a 2-1-1 record in the UFC. Talha’s striking numbers in the 1st round were close to equal with Bellato, but then Talha got hurt bad in the 2nd round and then it was all downhill from there. But that was close to 2 years ago. Good chance he shows up improved skill wise.

Chris’ Pick: Talha by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Talha -125


George Mangos vs Radley da Silva

  • George Mangos
  • Age: 21
  • Pro Record: 7-0
  • Key Wins: Submitted an 8-2 striker. Knocked out a 9-2 wrestler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Radley da Silva
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 7-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-0 grappler. Beat a well rounded 5-1 fighter.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Mangos by 1st round submission.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Mangos -500


Yuri Panferov vs Chris Ewert

  • Yuri Panferov
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 8-1
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Chris Ewert
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 7-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-2 striker. Beat a well rounded 3-0 fighter and a 4-0 striker.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)

It’s possible Ewert’s striking could be a 60. I watched his last fight, he put on a good pace.

Chris’ Pick: Panferov by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Panferov -175

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