Maheshate vs Flowers, Yilizhati vs Vines, Mangos vs Ahejiang Fight Picks – Road to UFC Season 5 Semifinals – August 28, 2026

Maheshate vs Darrius Flowers

  • Maheshate
  • Age: 26
  • UFC Record: 3-4
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Steve Garcia. Beat a 7-0 striker. Split decision over Gabriel Benitez.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)
  • Darrius Flowers
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 13-8
  • UFC Record: 2-3
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Lando Vannata, a 12-2 striker, a 4-1 grappler, and a well rounded 8-3 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Will be interesting to see which Maheshate shows up here as two fights against Nikolas Motta he showed 60 striking but in his last fight with Gauge Young, the tool regressed to a 55. Plus he’s taking this fight on short notice.

Chris’ Pick: Flowers by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Flowers -135


Maimaitijiang Yilizhati vs Tre’ston Vines

  • Maimaitijiang Yilizhati
  • Age: 24
  • Pro Record: 7-1
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)
  • Tre’ston Vines
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 10-4
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Beat a 4-0 grappler and a 5-1 striker.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Yilizhati by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Yilizhati -200


George Mangos vs Alinuer Ahejiang

  • George Mangos
  • Age: 22
  • Pro Record: 9-1
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted an 8-2 striker. Knocked out an 8-1 striker and a 9-2 wrestler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Ailinuer Ahejiang
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 17-3
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-2 striker. Beat a 5-1 striker. Split decision over a well rounded 10-1 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Mangos by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Mangos -135


Kasib Murdoch vs Rabindra Dhant

  • Kasib Murdoch
  • Age: 25
  • Pro Record: 8-0
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 6-0 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Rabindra Dhant
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 10-1
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 8-2 fighter and a 7-1 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Murdoch by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Murdoch -135


Bo Meng vs Machi Fukuda

  • Bo Meng
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 23-8
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Beat Arisa Matsuda, a well rounded 9-1-1 fighter and an 8-0-1 grappler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Machi Fakuda
  • Age: 22
  • Pro Record: 10-2
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 4-1 wrestler. Knocked out a 6-1-1 grappler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Fakuda by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Fukuda -225


Takaya Suzuki vs Joseph Larcinese

  • Takaya Suzuki
  • Age: 21
  • Pro Record: 8-1
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 6-0 fighter, a 5-0 striker, a well rounded 4-1 fighter, a 3-0 grappler, and a 3-0 wrestler. Majority decision over Kaito Oda.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Joseph Larcinese
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 6-0
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 5-2 fighter. Knocked out a well rounded 10-2 fighter. Split decision win over a 10-1-2 wrestler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Suzuki by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Suzuki -250


Dagiisuren Chagnaadorj vs Young Jae Song

  • Dagiisuren Chagnaadorj
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 11-2
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 11-3 fighter. Split decision over a well rounded 11-1 fighter.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Young Jae Song
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 10-1-1
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-2 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Song by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Song -135


Chungreng Koren vs Ryo Tajima

  • Chungreng Koren
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 8-2
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 7-0 fighter. Knocked out a 12-3 grappler.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Ryo Tajima
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 11-3
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Split decision over a 18-6 wrestler.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Haven’t seen enough of Tajima and it’s possible his striking could be a 60.

Chris’ Pick: Koren by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Koren -135


Bo Hyun Park vs Farida Abdueva

  • Bo Hyun Park
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 9-3
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Split decision win over Huaxiang Dong.
  • Striking: a little above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Farida Abdueva
  • Age: 22
  • Pro Record: 8-1
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Xiaocan Feng and an 11-4 grappler. Beat an 8-1 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

It’s possible Abdueva’s striking could be as high as a 65 but her fight with Xiaocan Feng only lasted 2 minutes.

Chris’ Pick: Abdueva by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Abdueva -135