Jieleyisi vs Yunfeng, Sahota vs Shuai, Kim vs Nakanishi – Road to UFC 3 – Shanghai Quarterfinals 4 – May 19, 2024

Jieleyisi Baergeng vs Yunfeng Li

  • Jieleyisi Baergeng
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 16-5
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Striking: average (50)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Grappling: average (50)
  • Yunfeng Li
  • Age: NA
  • Pro Record: 9-4
  • Key Losses: Knocked out by a 2-6 striker. Submitted by a 4-8 grappler.
  • Striking: fringe average (45)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Grappling: average (50)

Chris’ Pick: Jieleyisi by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Jieleyisi -135


Kierandip Singh Sahota vs Shuai Yin

  • Kierandip Singh Sahota
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 10-2
  • Key Wins: Beat a 6-1 grappler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)
  • Shuai Yin
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 16-4
  • Key Wins: Beat a well rounded 19-4 fighter. Split decision over a 19-17 wrestler.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)

At times, Shuai looks like he has 60 tools, but his cardio isn’t great and from what I’ve seen, isn’t the same fighter in the second half of his bouts.

Chris’ Pick: Sahota by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be: Sahota -175


Kyu Sung Kim vs Tokitaka Nakanishi

  • Kyu Sung Kim
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 12-5
  • Key Losses: Lost to an 11-7 wrestler.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-2 striker. Beat a well rounded 13-3 fighter.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: average (50)
  • Tokitaki Nakanishi
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 11-3
  • Key Losses: Submitted by a 9-8 grappler.
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 9-3 wrestler and a 5-2 wrestler.
  • Striking: average (50)
  • Power: below average (40)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Kim almost got knocked out in his last fight with a well rounded 12-5 fighter. But Kim was durable enough to survive and then took over after that. I thought he might have 60 striking, but after watching him it seems more like a 55. Also possible Kim’s wrestling might have improved to a 55.

Chris’ Pick: Kim by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be: Kim -125


Ruel Panales vs Toki Matsui

  • Ruel Panales
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 6-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 4-0 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Toki Matsui
  • Age: 24
  • Pro Record: 6-1
  • Key Loses: Lost to a 1-0 fighter.
  • Key Wins: Beat a 5-2 wrestler.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: average (50)

Panales looks really good. Striking could be as high as a 65.

Chris’ Pick: Panales by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Panales -250


Qihui Yan vs Lisa Kyriacou

  • Qihui Yan
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 24-4
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted Na Liang. Knocked out a 5-2 striker. Beat a 9-3 grappler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Lisa Kyriacou
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 7-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 4-1 fighter. Split decision over Priya Sharma.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Qihui had 4 minutes of top control and out struck Karine Silva 18 to 9 on the Contender.

Chris’ Pick: Qihui by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Qihui -350

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