Asplund vs Guarascio, Douglas vs Teague, Franco vs Vidal Fight Picks – Contender Series – September 9, 2025

Published on by Chris Schweppe

Steven Asplund vs Anthony Guarascio

  • Steven Asplund
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 5-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 3-1 fighter. Beat a 5-1 striker.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: average (50)
  • Anthony Guarascio
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 4-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-1 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Guarascio by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Guarascio -350

Cam Teague vs Lerryan Douglas

  • Cam Teague
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 9-1
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Austin Lingo.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Lerryan Douglas
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 12-5
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 10-2 wrestler, a well rounded 18-3 fighter, a 9-2 striker, a 7-2 striker, and a well rounded 6-1 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

It’s possible that Teague’s striking could be a 60 with how Kevin Vallejos out struck him 47 to 12.

Chris’ Pick: Douglas by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Douglas -250

Felipe Franco vs Freddy Vidal

  • Felipe Franco
  • Age: 24
  • Pro Record: 8-0
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Freddy Vidal
  • Age: NA
  • Pro Record: 3-0
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Franco by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Franco -125

Chasen Blair vs Samuel Sanches

  • Chasen Blair
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 7-3
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted an 8-2 grappler and a 4-1 striker.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)
  • Samuel Sanches
  • Age: 22
  • Pro Record: 10-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 17-5 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)

Blair fought on the Contender before against Kody Steele and it was a close fight until Blair got hit with a liver shot and crumpled up. But importantly, I still believe that Steele is over rated as Rongzhu out struck him 125 to 58. Wipeout. Thus, Blair’s tools are 55’s for me.

Chris’ Pick: Sanches by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Sanches -175

Shanelle Dyer vs Carol Foro

  • Shanelle Dyer
  • Age: 24
  • Pro Record: 6-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out an 8-2 grappler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Carol Foro
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 8-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 7-2 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Foro by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Foro -250

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