Garcia vs Onama, Cortes-Acosta vs Delija, Gorimbo vs Wells Fight Picks – November 1, 2025

Steve Garcia vs David Onama

  • Steve Garcia
  • Age: 33
  • UFC Record: 4-0 at 155 lbs. 8-2 overall.
  • Key Losses: Submitted by Aalon Cruz. Split decision loss to a 5-0 wrestler.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Kyle Nelson, Seung Woo Choi, Melquizael Costa, Nuerdanbieke Shayilan, Chase Hooper, and a 7-1 grappler. Beat Calvin Kattar. Split decision over a 5-0 grappler.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • David Onama
  • Age: 31
  • UFC Record: 6-2
  • Key Losses: Majority decision loss to Nate Landwehr.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Garrett Armfield. Knocked out Gabriel Santos, a well rounded 3-0 fighter. Beat Giga Chikadze, Roberto Romero, Jonathan Pearce, and Gabriel Benitez.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Yes, Garcia did out strike Kattar 85 to 26 over 3 rounds in his last fight. But Kattar’s skills have fallen off a cliff and we haven’t seen Garcia’s wrestling be tested in a long time. I’m grading Garcia’s striking as a 70 for now, but it is possible it’s closer to a 65.

Chris’ Pick: Onama by decison.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Onama -175


Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Ante Delija

  • Waldo Cortes-Acosta
  • Age: 33
  • UFC Record: 8-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Ryan Spann, Lukasz Brzeski, a 5-0 striker, and a 9-1 striker. Beat Serghei Spivac, Robelis Despagne, Andre Arlovski, Chase Sherman, and Jared Vanderaa.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Ante Delija
  • Age: 35
  • Pro Record: 26-6
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Beat a 9-0 grappler.
  • Striking: near plus (70)
  • Power: near plus (70)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Cortes-Acosta by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Cortes-Acosta -175


Themba Gorimbo vs Jeremiah Wells

  • Themba Gorimbo
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 4-2
  • Key Losses: Knocked out by a well rounded 14-7 fighter.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Pete Rodriguez. Submitted a 6-0 wrestler. Beat Niko Price, Ramiz Brahimaj, Takashi Sato and a well rounded 3-0 fighter.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Jeremiah Wells
  • Age: 38
  • UFC Record: 3-2
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Max Griffin.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Court McGee, Warlley Alves, and a well rounded 5-1 fighter. Submitted Blood Diamond and a 6-2 wrestler. Beat an 11-4 grappler and an 18-5 wrestler. Split decision over Matthew Semelsberger.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Gorimbo by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Gorimbo -225


Isaac Dulgarian vs Yadier del Valle

  • Isaac Dulgarian
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 7-1
  • UFC Record: 2-1
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Christian Rodriguez.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Francis Marshall and a 7-2 striker. Submitted Brendon Marotte.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Yadier Del Valle
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 9-0
  • UFC Record: 2-0
  • Key Wins: Submitted Connor Matthews and a 3-0 wrestler. Beat a 17-5 wrestler, Michael Aswell, a 3-0 grappler, and a 4-1 wrestler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Dulgarian by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Dulgarian -200


Charlie Radtke vs Daniel Frunza

  • Charlie Radtke
  • Age: 35
  • UFC Record: 3-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Matthew Semelsberger and Gilbert Urbina. Submitted a 6-0 striker. Beat Blood Diamond. Split decision over a 3-1 grappler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)
  • Daniel Frunza
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 9-3
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-1 grappler, a 5-1 grappler and a well rounded 4-1 fighter. Beat a well rounded 16-1 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Radtke by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Radtke -135


Allan Nascimento vs Cody Durden

  • Allan Nascimento
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 3-2
  • Key Losses: Split decision losses to Tagir Ulanbekov and Raulian Paiva.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Carlos Hernandez, a 4-0 grappler, and a 10-3 grappler. Beat Jafel Filho, Jake Hadley, a well rounded 16-4 fighter, and a well rounded 8-1 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Cody Durden
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 6-6-1
  • Key Draws: Fought Chris Guttierez to a draw.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out JP Buys and a 6-2 grappler. Submitted Matt Schnell and a 10-3 wrestler. Beat Jake Hadley, Charles Johnson, Carlos Mota, and Qileng Aori.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Durden by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Durden -125


Billy Elekana vs Kevin Christian

  • Billy Elekana
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 8-2
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 4-0 striker and another 4-0 striker. Beat Ibo Aslan, a well rounded 5-1 fighter. Split decision over a 5-2 wrestler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Kevin Christian
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 9-2
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 4-0 striker, a 3-1 striker, and a well rounded 18-5 striker. Knocked out a 4-1 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Grading Christian’s striking a 60 is more of a projections. He’s only fought twice in the last 6 years. But those two fights came last year.

Chris’ Pick: Elekana by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Elekana -400


Changho Lee vs Timmy Cuamba

  • Changho Lee
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 11-1
  • UFC Record: 4-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Cortavious Romious, Zhawupasi Daermisi and an 11-1 grappler. Split decision over Long Xiao.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Timmy Cuamba
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 9-3
  • UFC Record: 2-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Beat a well rounded 8-2 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Cuamba by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Cuamba -300


Donte Johnson vs Sedriques Dumas

  • Donte Johnson
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 6-0
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 3-0 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)
  • Sedriques Dumas
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 4-3
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 7-0 striker. Beat Denis Tiuliulin, Abu Azaitar, and Cody Brundage.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Definitely a possibility that Johnson’s striking is a 65 with how all 6 of his wins are first round KO’s. But also possible he blitzes every time in the first round and that his cardio wouldn’t hold up over 3 rounds with how hard he throws. Dumas has been knocked out in 2 of his last 3 fights.

Chris’ Pick: Johnson by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Johnson -125


Ketlen Vieira vs Norma Dumont

  • Ketlen Vieira
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 9-4
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Raquel Pennington.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Sara McMann. Beat Macy Chiasson, Pannie Kianzad, Miesha Tate, Sijara Eubanks, and Ashley Evans-Smith. Split decision over Holly Holm.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
  • Norma Dumont
  • Age: 35
  • UFC Record: 8-2
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Macy Chiasson.
  • Key Wins: Beat Irene Aldana, Germaine de Randamie, Chelsea Chandler, Karol Rosa, Danyelle Wolf, Aspen Ladd and Ashlee Evans-Smith. Split decision win over Felicia Spencer.
  • Striking: near plus plus (75)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Even if you say Aldana’s striking has regressed to a 65, Dumont still out struck her 156 to 67. So I think Dumont’s 75 striking grade is justified.

Chris’ Pick: Dumont by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Dumont -175


Montserrat Ruiz vs Alice Ardelean

  • Montserrat Ruiz
  • Age: 32
  • Pro Record: 10-4
  • UFC Record: 1-3
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 10-3 striker. Beat Cheyanne Buys and a 7-2 grappler.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Alice Ardelean
  • Age: 33
  • Pro Record: 10-7
  • UFC Record: 1-2
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Shauna Bannon.
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 3-0 striker. Beat Rayanne dos Santos.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Ardelean out struck dos Santos 150 to 75. Wow.

Chris’ Pick: Ardelean by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Ardelean -350


Seok Hyun Ko vs Phil Rowe

  • Seok Hyun Ko
  • Age: 32
  • Pro Record: 12-2
  • UFC Record: 2-0
  • Key Wins: Beat Oban Elliott, a 9-0 striker, and well rounded 6-1 fighter.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Phil Rowe
  • Age: 35
  • UFC Record: 5-3
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Neil Magny.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Niko Price, Jason Witt, Orion Cosce, and a 7-1 grappler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Previously, I thought Ko’s best tool was his striking, but then he out classed Elliott on the ground showing off 70 wrestling. So me grading Ko’s striking a 70 is more of a projection where I could be wrong.

Chris’ Pick: Ko by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Ko -250


Talita Alencar vs Ariane Carnelossi

  • Talita Alencar
  • Age: 34
  • Pro Record: 6-1-1
  • UFC Record: 2-1-1
  • Key Draws: Fought Stephanie Luciano to a draw.
  • Key Wins: Beat Vanessa Demopoulos. Split decision over Rayanne dos Santos.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Ariane Carnelossi
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 3-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Na Liang and an 8-1 striker. Submitted Istela Nunes. Beat Piera Rodriguez.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)

Carnelossi has only fought once in the past 3 years. But as we’ve recently seen with Mizuki Inoue, there’s a lot of times inactive fighters show up improved. Very real chance same thing happens with Carnelossi.

Chris’ Pick: Alencar by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Alencar -225

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