Mike Malott vs Gilbert Burns
- Mike Malott
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 7-1
- Key Draws: Fought a 5-4 striker to a majority draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Charlie Radtke, Mickey Gall, a well rounded 6-1 fighter. Submitted Adam Fugitt, Yohan Lainesse, a 8-0 striker, a 6-0 wrestler, and a 3-0 grappler. Beat Kevin Holland and Trevin Giles.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: near plus (70)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Gilbert Burns
- Age: 39
- UFC Record: 7-6 at 170 lbs. 13-9 overall.
- Key Losses: Lost to Rashid Magomedov and Michel Prazares.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Demian Maia. Submitted Neil Magny, Alex Oliveira, and Mike Davis. Beat Stephen Thompson, Tyron Woodley, Alexey Kunchenko, and Gunnar Nelson.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Burns’ fight with Michael Morales ended quick but to reaffirm that Burns’ skills are regressing, we look back to Burns vs Sean Brady where Brady accrued over 10 minutes of control time and out struck Burns a mind boggling 118 to 32.
Chris’ Pick: Malott by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Malott -300
Charles Jourdain vs Kyler Phillips
- Charles Jourdain
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 2-0 at 135 lbs. 8-7-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Sean Woodson. Majority decision loss to Shane Burgos.
- Key Draws: Split draw to an 8-1 strike
- Key Wins: Knocked out Doo Ho Choi. Submitted Davey Grant, Victor Henry, Ricardo Ramos, Lando Vannata and a 9-3 striker. Beat Kron Gracie and Andre Ewell.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Kyler Phillips
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 7-3
- Key Losses: Majority decision loss to Raulian Paiva.
- Key Wins: Submitted Marcelo Rojo. Knocked out a 4-1 grappler. Beat Pedro Munhoz, Roani Barcelos, Yadong Song, and an 8-1 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Vinicius Oliveira out struck Phillips 79 to 49 so there’s no way I can grade Phillips’ striking a 70. Jourdain out struck Grant 17 to 9 so I feel more comfortable grading his striking a 70 now. This fight should go similar to how Phillips vs Oliveira went.
Chris’ Pick: Jourdain by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Jourdain -300
Mandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert
- Mandel Nallo
- Age: 36
- Pro Record: 14-3
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 6-0 fighter. Knocked out a well rounded 13-4-1 fighter, a 6-1 grappler, a 7-1 wrestler, and 9-2 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Jai Herbert
- Age: 37
- UFC Record: 2-5-1
- Key Losses: Knocked out by Francisco Trinaldo. Split decision loss to Chris Padilla.
- Key Draws: Fought Ludovit Klein to a majority draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Khama Worthy, an 8-2 grappler, a 9-3 grappler, a well rounded 15-4 fighter, and a well rounded 11-3 fighter. Beat Rolando Bedoya and Kyle Nelson.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Didn’t see much of Nallo on the Contender so I’d say his grades have more projection baked in than usual.
Chris’ Pick: Herbert by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Herbert -125
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva
- Jasmine Jasudavicius
- Age: 37
- UFC Record: 9-3
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to a 4-0 striker.
- Key Wins: Submitted Jessica Andrade, Ariane da Silva and Priscila Cachoeira. Beat Mayra Bueno Silva, Fatima Kline, Miranda Maverick, Gabriella Fernandes, Kay Hansen, and an 8-2 striker.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Karine Silva
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 6-2
- Key Wins: Submitted Maryna Moroz, Ketlen Souza, Poliana Botelho, a well rounded 20-3 fighter, well rounded 7-2 fighter and a well rounded 8-1 fighter. Beat Dione Barbosa and Ariane da Silva.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Jasudavicius by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Jasudavicius -250
Thiago Moises vs Gauge Young
- Thiago Moises
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 10-6
- Key Wins: Knocked out Mitch Ramirez and Jamall Emmers. Submitted Melquizael Costa, Christos Giagos, and Michael Johnson. Beat Trey Ogden, Alexander Hernandez, and Bobby Green.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Gauge Young
- Age: 25
- Pro Record: 10-3
- UFC Record: 1-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 4-0 fighter. Beat Maheshate.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Young by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Young -175
Marcio Barbosa vs Dennis Buzukja
- Marcio Barbosa
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 17-2
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-2 striker, an 8-2 striker, a well rounded 10-3 fighter, a well rounded 6-2 fighter and a well rounded 13-2 fighter. Submitted a 5-0 grappler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Dennis Buzukja
- Age: 26
- UFC Record: 2-3
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Francis Marshall.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Connor Matthews.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Buzukaja by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Buzukja -175
Julien Leblanc vs Robert Valentin
- Julien Leblanc
- Age: 34
- Pro Record: 10-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Darian Weeks.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
- Robert Valentin
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 10-6
- UFC Record: 0-3
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Torrez Finney.
- Key Wins: Submitted a 6-1 striker, a 10-3 wrestler, and an 11-3 grappler.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: Leblanc by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Leblanc -225
Tanner Boser vs Gokhan Saricam
- Tanner Boser
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 4-3 at heavyweight. 4-5 overall.
- Key Losses: Lost to Andrei Arlovski. Split decision loss to Ilir Latifi.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Ovince St Preux, Raphael Pessoa, and Philipe Lins.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Gokhan Saricam
- Age: 35
- Pro Record: 11-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 7-1 striker and a well rounded 8-3-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Boser by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Boser -250
Melissa Croden vs Dariya Zheleznyakova
- Melissa Croden
- Age: 34
- Pro Record: 7-3
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Tainara Lisboa.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Dariya Zheleznyakova
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 9-2
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-0 striker and a well rounded 3-0 fighter. Beat Melissa Mullins and Montserrat Rendon.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
It’s possible that Luana Santos leveled up in her last fight with Croden, but more likely that after Croden’s win over Lisboa we were all over rating her.
Chris’ Pick: Zheleznyakova by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Zheleznyakova -225
Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo
- Allan Nascimento
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 4-2
- Key Losses: Split decision losses to Tagir Ulanbekov and Raulian Paiva.
- Key Wins: Submitted Cody Durden, Carlos Hernandez, a 4-0 grappler, and a 10-3 grappler. Beat Jafel Filho, Jake Hadley, a well rounded 16-4 fighter, and a well rounded 8-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Mitch Raposo
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 10-3
- UFC Record: 1-3
- Key Losses: Split decision losses to Sumudaerji and Andre Lima.
- Key Wins: Beat Azat Maksum.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Raposo by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Raposo -135
JJ Aldrich vs Jamey-Lyn Horth
- JJ Aldrich
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 10-5
- Key Wins: Knocked out Na LIang. Beat Montana de la Rosa, Gillian Robertson, Vanessa Demopoulos, Polyana Viana, and Lauren Mueller. Split decision over Cortney Casey.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Jamey-Lyn Horth
- Age: 35
- UFC Record: 4-2
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Veronica Hardy.
- Key Wins: Submitted a 9-3 grappker. Knocked out Tereza Bleda and a well rounded 3-1 fighter. Beat Vanessa Demopoulos and Hailey Cowan. Split decision over Ivana Petrovic.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Horth by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Horth -250
Mark Vologdin vs John Castaneda
- Mark Vologdin
- Age: 25
- Pro Record: 12-4-1
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 4-1 striker and a 4-1 striker. Submitted a well rounded 5-2 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- John Castaneda
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 4-4
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Chris Gutierrez.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Eddie Wineland, a well rounded 6-1 fighter. Submitted Miles Johns. Beat Kyung Ho Kang, Muin Gafurov, and a 6-0 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Vologdin by 1st round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Vologdin -135
Jamie Siraj vs John Yannis
- Jamie Siraj
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 14-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-1 grappler. Submitted an 8-1 grappler. Beat a well rounded 4-1 fighter.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- John Yannis
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 9-4
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Cameron Smotherman.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Nick Aguirre. Split decision over a 7-2 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: Yannis by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Yannis -135