Shi vs Tomar, Yin vs Batbayar, Arimoto vs Larcinese Fight Picks – Road to UFC Season 5 – Macau Quarterfinals 3 & 4 – May 29, 2026

Ming Shi vs Puja Tomar

  • Ming Shi
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 17-6
  • UFC Record: 3-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Xiaocan Feng. Beat a 7-3 grappler, a 10-3 striker and a well rounded 14-3 fighter. Split decision over Huaxiong Dong.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Puja Tomar
  • Age: 32
  • Pro Record: 9-5
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 8-2-1 fighter. Split decision over Rayanne dos Santos.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)

I actually thought Shi won her last fight against Bruna Brasil. Yes, Brasil landed the bigger power shots but Shi got the better of Brasil in the clinch and out struck Brasil 31 to 24. Being that Brasil’s striking hovers between a 60-65, I think Shi does have 65 striking. With Shauna Bannon out striking Tomar 49 to 27 there’s no way Tomar’s striking is better than a 55.

Chris’ Pick: Shi by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Shi -400


Shuai Yin vs Namsrai Batbayar

  • Shuai Yin
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 18-6
  • UFC Record: 1-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-1 striker. Beat a well rounded 19-4 fighter. Split decision over a 19-17 wrestler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Namsrai Batbayar
  • Age: 25
  • Pro Record: 9-1
  • UFC Record: 2-0
  • Key Wins: Submitted Agulali and a 5-1 wrestler. Knocked out a 7-1 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

Despite the loss, Yin amazingly out struck Aaron Tau 93 to 70 proving his striking is a legit 65 grade. Yin’s cardio is plus as well.

Chris’ Pick: Yin by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Yin -250


Joseph Larcinese vs Ryoga Arimoto

  • Joseph Larcinese
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 5-0
  • Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 5-2 fighter. Knocked out a well rounded 10-2 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Ryoga Arimoto
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 10-1-2
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Larcinese by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Larcinese -135


Takaya Suzuki vs Otgonbaatar Boldbaatar

  • Takaya Suzuki
  • Age: 21
  • Pro Record: 7-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-0 striker, a well rounded 4-1 fighter, a 3-0 grappler, and a 3-0 wrestler. Majority decision over Kaito Oda.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Otgonbaatar Boldbaatar
  • Age: 23
  • Pro Record: 6-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-3 grappler. Submitted a well rounded 6-2 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (55)
  • Power: above average (55)
  • Grappling: above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Suzuki by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Suzuki -300


Eros Baluyot vs Takeru Uchida

  • Eros Baluyot
  • Age: 33
  • Pro Record: 7-0
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 6-1 striker and a 7-2 grappler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Takeru Uchida
  • Age: 23
  • Pro Record: 8-2
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Uchida trains with Tatsuro Taira and his grappling could be as high as a 65, possible I’m under rating it.

Chris’ Pick: Baluyot by 1st round submission.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Baluyot -135


Niushiyue Ji vs Kaito Oda

  • Niushiyue Ji
  • Age: 23
  • Pro Record: 16-4
  • UFC Record: 2-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 10-2 fighter. Beat Seung Guk Choi.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Kaito Oda
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 8-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out an 8-3 grappler and a 6-2 wrestler. Beat a 5-0 wrestler and a well rounded 4-0 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Ji by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Ji -125


Xiaocan Feng vs Farida Abdueva

  • Xiaocan Feng
  • Age: 24
  • Pro Record: 11-4
  • UFC Record: 2-2
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Arisa Matsuda.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Feier Huang and a 7-3 grappler. Submitted Miki Motono. Beat a 14-5 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Farida Abdueva
  • Age: 22
  • Pro Record: 7-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out an 11-4 grappler. Beat an 8-1 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Abdueva’s striking looked like it could be as high as a 65.

Chris’ Pick: Feng by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Feng -200


Arisa Matsuda vs Bo Meng

  • Arisa Matsuda
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 8-0
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Split decision wins over Xiaocan Feng and over a 4-0 grappler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Bo Meng
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 22-8
  • Key Wins: Beat a well rounded 9-1-1 fighter and an 8-0-1 grappler.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Matsuda by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Matsuda -225


Machi Fakuda vs Anelya Toktogonova

  • Machi Fakuda
  • Age: 22
  • Pro Record: 10-2
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 4-1 wrestler.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Anyela Toktogonova
  • Age: 20
  • Pro Record: 6-1-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 5-2 striker and a 3-0 striker. Beat a 3-0 striker.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Toktogonova by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Toktogonova -135


Huaxiang Dong vs Bo Hyun Park

  • Huaxiang Dong
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 14-3
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Ming Shi.
  • Key Wins: Beat Feier Huang and a 5-1 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Bo Hyun Park
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 8-3
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Wrestling: average (50)

Chris’ Pick: Dong by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Dong -300