Malott vs Buckley, Blanchfield vs Jasudavicius, Nelson vs Perez Fight Picks – October 17, 2026

Mike Malott vs Joaquin Buckley

  • Mike Malott
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 8-1
  • Key Draws: Fought a 5-4 striker to a majority draw.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Gilbert Burns, Charlie Radtke, Mickey Gall, a well rounded 6-1 fighter. Submitted Adam Fugitt, Yohan Lainesse, a 8-0 striker, a 6-0 wrestler, and a 3-0 grappler. Beat Kevin Holland and Trevin Giles.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: near plus (70)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Joaquin Buckley
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 10-6
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Colby Covington, Stephen Thompson, Vicente Luque, Andre Fialho, Antonio Arroyo, Jordan Wright, Impa Kasanganay, a 4-0 grappler, a 9-3 grappler, and an 8-2 grappler. Beat Nursulton Ruziboev, Alex Morono and a 9-2 wrestler. Split decision wins over Abdul Razak Alhassan and a well rounded 5-1 fighter.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Malott by 2nd round submission.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Malott -200


Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius

  • Erin Blanchfield
  • Age: 27
  • UFC Record: 8-1
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Tracy Cortez.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Victoria Leonardo. Submitted Tracy Cortez, Jessica Andrade, Molly McCann, and JJ Aldrich. Beat Rose Namajunas, Taila Santos, Miranda Maverick, and Sarah Alpar. Majority decision over Kay Hansen.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
  • Jasmine Jasudavicius
  • Age: 37
  • UFC Record: 10-3
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to a 4-0 striker.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Jessica Andrade, Ariane da Silva and Priscila Cachoeira. Beat Karine Silva, Mayra Bueno Silva, Fatima Kline, Miranda Maverick, Gabriella Fernandes, Kay Hansen, and an 8-2 striker.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
  • Grappling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Blanchfield by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Blanchfield -135


Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez

  • Kyle Nelson
  • Age: 35
  • UFC Record: 6-5-1
  • Key Draws: Fought Doo Ho Choi to a majority draw.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Bill Algeo, Khama Worthy, and Marco Polo Reyes. Beat Matt Frevola, Fernando Padilla, and Blake Bilder.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Cristian Perez
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 15-2
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 10-1 fighter. Beat a 3-0 wrestler and a 4-0 wrestler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Nelson by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Nelson -225


Marc Andre Barriault vs Kyle Daukas

  • Marc-Andre Barriault
  • Age: 36
  • UFC Record: 6-10
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Chris Curtis.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Bruno Silva, Julian Marquez, Abu Azaitar, a 9-3 striker, and a 7-1 striker. Submitted Jordan Wright. Beat Eryk Anders and Dalcha Lungiambula.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Kyle Daukaus
  • Age: 33
  • UFC Record: 4-5
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Michel Pereira. Submitted Gerald Meerschaert, Jamie Pickett, and a 12-2 grappler. Beat Dustin Stoltzfus and an 8-1 wrestler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Daukaus by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Daukaus -250


Louis Jourdain vs Timmy Cuamba

  • Louis Jourdain
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 9-3
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 12-3 fighter. Submitted a 6-1 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Timmy Cuamba
  • Age: 27
  • UFC Record: 3-3
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Beat Chang Ho Lee and a well rounded 8-2 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Jourdain by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Jourdain -135


Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo

  • Nate Landwehr
  • Age: 38
  • UFC Record: 5-6
  • Key Wins: Submitted Austin Lingo and Ludovit Klein. Knocked out Jamall Emmers, a well rounded 6-1 fighter, a 13-2 grappler, and a well rounded 10-1 fighter. Beat Darren Elkins, a 6-2 grappler, a 9-2 grappler, and a 15-3 grappler (twice). Majority decision over David Onama.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Mandel Nallo
  • Age: 37
  • Pro Record: 14-4
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 6-0 fighter. Knocked out a well rounded 13-4-1 fighter, a 6-1 grappler, a 7-1 wrestler, and 9-2 grappler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Landwehr training with Kill Cliff now and moving up to 155 lbs where he might have more durability changes things for me and I think gives him a slight edge.

Chris’ Pick: Landwehr by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Landwehr -125


Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz

  • Tanner Boser
  • Age: 35
  • UFC Record: 4-4 at heavyweight. 4-5 overall.
  • Key Losses: Lost to Andrei Arlovski. Split decision loss to Ilir Latifi.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Ovince St Preux, Raphael Pessoa, and Philipe Lins.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Jhonata Diniz
  • Age: 35
  • UFC Record: 4-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Austen Lane and a 7-1 striker. Beat Karl Williams and Alvin Hines.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Boser by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Boser -225


Nick Galanti vs Julien Leblanc

  • Nick Galanti
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 8-1
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 15-1 fighter. Submitted a well rounded 6-2 fighter. Beat a well rounded 3-0 fighter and a well rounded 5-0 fighter.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Julien Leblanc
  • Age: 34
  • Pro Record: 10-3
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Darian Weeks.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Galanti by 1st round submission.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Galanti -135


Joel Faglier vs Javad Mahjoub

  • Joel Faglier
  • Age: 25
  • Pro Record: 6-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-2 striker.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)
  • Javad Mahjoub
  • Age: 35
  • Pro Record: 5-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 7-1 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Mahjoub’s striking could be as low as a 60, wrestling could be as high as a 65. Not a lot of video on him out there.

Chris’ Pick: Mahjoub by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Mahjoub -200


Mackenzie Stiller vs Katlyn Cerminara

  • Mackenzie Stiller
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 6-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 5-1 fighter and a well rounded 3-1 fighter. Beat an 8-3 grappler.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Katlyn Cerminara
  • Age: 37
  • UFC Record: 6-5 at 125 lbs. 10-5 overall.
  • Key Losses: Lost to Liz Carmouche. Lost a split decision to Jessica Eye.
  • Key Wins: Beat Jennifer Maia, Viviane Araujo, Cynthia Calvillo, Joanne Calderwood, Jennifer Maia, and Antonina Shevchenko. Split decision wins over Amanda Ribas and Irene Aldana.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Cerminara by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Cerminara -300


Steven Koslow vs Chad Anheliger

  • Steven Koslow
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 6-1
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Chad Anheliger
  • Age: 39
  • UFC Record: 3-3
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Jesse Strader, Brady Hiestand, a 4-1 grappler, and a 5-2 striker. Beat Charalampos Grigoriou. Split decision over a well rounded 16-3 fighter.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)

Koslow’s finally returns after a near 4 year hiatus. His grappling is really close to a 65. Very decent chance he shows up improved with his grappling fully being at a 65.

Chris’ Pick: Koslow by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Koslow -200


Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler

  • Melissa Croden
  • Age: 35
  • Pro Record: 8-3
  • UFC Record: 2-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Tainara Lisboa. Beat Darya Zheleznyakova.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Chelsea Chandler
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 3-3
  • Key Wins: Submitted Priscila Cachoeira. Knocked out Julija Stoliarenko and a 3-0 striker. Submitted a well rounded 4-0 fighter. Beat Josiane Nunes.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Chandler by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Chandler -135


Cody Chovancek vs SuYoung You

  • Cody Chovancek
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 9-0
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 10-1 fighter. Submitted a 6-0 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • SuYoung You
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 4-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 11-4 fighter. Knocked out a well rounded 19-5 fighter. Beat Long Xiao, AJ Cunningham, Jieleyisi Baergeng. Split decision over Zhawupasi Daermisi.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: You by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: You -135