Tai Tuivasa vs Marcin Tybura
- Tai Tuivasa
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 8-6
- Key Losses: Submitted by Serghei Spivac.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Derrick Lewis, Augusto Sakai, Greg Hardy, and Cyril Asker. Beat Andrei Arlovski.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Marcin Tybura
- Age: 38
- UFC Record: 10-7
- Key Wins: Knocked out Walt Harris and Greg Hardy. Beat Blagoi Ivanov, Andrei Arlovski, and Sergei Spivac. Majority decision over Alexandr Romanov.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Tuivasa by 2nd round knockout.
What I think the odds should be: Tuivasa -200
Bryan Battle vs Ange Loosa
- Bryan Battle
- Age: 29
- UFC Record: 5-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Gabe Green and Takashi Sato. Submitted AJ Fletcher and a well rounded 6-1 fighter. Beat Tresean Gore.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Ange Loosa
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 10-3
- UFC Record: 2-2
- Key Wins: Beat Rhys McKee and AJ Fletcher. Split decision loss to an 8-4 wrestler.
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 12-2 fighter. Split decision win over a 3-0 wrestler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Battle by decision.
What I think the odds should be: Battle -250
Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Ovince St Preux
- Kennedy Nzechukwu
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 7-4
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Nicolae Negumereanu.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Ion Cutelaba, Karl Roberson, Danilo Marques, and Carlos Ulberg. Submitted Devin Clark.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Ovince St Preux
- Age: 40
- UFC Record: 14-9 at light heavyweight. 13-11 overall.
- Key Losses: Split decision losses to Ben Rothwell and Volkan Oezdemir.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Alonzo Menifield, Corey Anderson, and Shogun Rua. Submitted Michal Oleksiejczuk, Tyson Pedro, Marcos Rogerio de Lima, and Yushin Okami. Split decision over Shogun Rua.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Nzechukwu by 2nd round knockout.
What I think the odds should be: Nzechukwu -400
Christian Rodriguez vs Isaac Dulgarian
- Christian Rodriguez
- Age: 26
- UFC Record: 4-1
- Key Wins: Submitted Joshua Weems. Beat Cameron Saaiman, Raul Rosas Jr, and a 5-1 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Isaac Dulgarian
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 6-0
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Francis Marshall and a 7-2 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Grappling: above average (60)
I picked Dulgarian to upset Marshall, but not like that. You rarely see it, but Dulgarian showed up to his UFC debut with 70 wrestling. I had Marshall’s wrestling as a 65. It’s probably not that now, but I know it’s at least a 60.
Chris’ Pick: Dulgarian by decision.
What I think the odds should be: Dulgarian -175
Macy Chiasson vs Pannie Kianzad
- Macy Chiasson
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 6-4
- Key Wins: Submitted Pannie Kianzad. Knocked out Sarah Moras and Gina Mazany. Beat Marion Reneau. Split decision over Norma Dumont.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Pannie Kianzad
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 5-4
- Key Losses: Submitted by a 5-5 striker.
- Key Wins: Beat Lina Lansberg, Alexis Davis, Sijara Eubanks, Bethe Correia, and Jessica-Rose Clark.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: fringe average (45)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chiasson was on her way to beating Irene Aldana, amazingly with wrestling, when Irena landed a freak heel up kick to the liver that ended the fight. Kianzad could have 70 striking and with how she was taken down and controlled by Ketlen Vieira, her wrestling could be a 60.
Chris’ Pick: Chiasson by 2nd round knockout.
What I think the odds should be: Chiasson -325
Gerald Meerschaert vs Bryan Barberena
- Gerald Meerschaert
- Age: 36
- UFC Record: 10-9
- Key Losses: Lost split decisions to Andre Petroski, Kevin Holland, and Eryk Anders.
- Key Wins: Submitted Bruno Silva, Dustin Stoltzfus, Makhmud Muradov, Bartosz Fabinski, Ryan Janes, Oskar Piechota, and Trevin Giles.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Bryan Barberena
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 9-9
- Key Losses: Majority decision loss to Jason Witt.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Robbie Lawler. Beat Darian Weeks and Warlley Alves. Split decision over Matt Brown.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: Meerschaert by 2nd round submission.
What I think the odds should be: Meerschaert -250
Mike Davis vs Natan Levy
- Mike Davis
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 3-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-2 striker. Beat Slava Borshchev and Mason Jones.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Natan Levy
- Age: 32
- Pro Record: 8-1
- UFC Record: 3-1
- Key Wins: Submitted a 6-0 grappler. Beat Genaro Valdez. Majority decision over a 5-3 grappler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
I can’t deny Levy anymore. He’s definitely leveled up. Was able to take Valdez down multiple times and out struck him. But it won’t be enough to beat Davis.
Chris’ Pick: Davis by 2nd round knockout.
What I think the odds should be: Davis -250
Josiane Nunes vs Chelsea Chandler
- Josiane Nunes
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 10-1
- UFC Record: 3-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Bea Malecki, a 6-1 striker, a 3-0 grappler. Beat Zarah Fairn and Ramona Pascual.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Chelsea Chandler
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 5-2
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Julija Stoliarenko and a 3-0 striker. Submitted a well rounded 4-0 fighter
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Nunes closed as a massive -600 favorite over Fairn. Fight was a lot closer. I thought Fairn won the fight as Fairn out struck her 107 to 82. But I know for sure Fairn’s striking isn’t better than a 65.
Chris’ Pick: Chandler by decision.
What I think the odds should be: Chandler -200
Jafel Filho vs Ode Osbourne
- Jafel Filho
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 15-3
- UFC Record: 2-1
- Key Losses: Submitted by an 8-4 grappler.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Vinicius Salvador and a 7-1 striker. Submitted Daniel Barez, a well rounded 5-0 fighter, a well rounded 8-3 fighter, and a well rounded 8-1 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Ode Osbourne
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 5-4
- Key Wins: Knocked out Zarrukh Adashev. Submitted a well rounded 5-1 fighter. Beat CJ Vergara. Split decision over Charles Johnson.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Filho by 2nd round submission.
What I think the odds should be: Filho -175
Josh Culibao vs Danny Silva
- Josh Culibao
- Age: 29
- UFC Record: 3-2-1
- Key Draws: Fought Charles Jourdain to a split draw.
- Key Wins: Submitted Melsik Baghdasaryan. Knocked out a 6-2 striker. Split decision over Seung Woo Choi.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Danny Silva
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 8-1
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Losses: Majority decision loss to Canaan Kawaihae.
- Key Wins: Beat a 7-1 striker and a 4-0 wrestler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: Culibao by decision.
What I think the odds should be: Culibao -200
Jaqueline Amorim vs Cory McKenna
- Jaqueline Amorim
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 7-1
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Montserrat Conejo.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Cory McKenna
- Age: 24
- UFC Record: 4-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Elise Reed.
- Key Wins: Submitted Miranda Granger. Beat Cheyanne Vlismas, Kay Hansen, and a 5-1 grappler. Split decision over a 3-0 grappler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Amorim’s grappling for sure leveled up to a 70 in the Conejo fight. I didn’t see any of the striking but I’m projecting a 65 grade.
Chris’ Pick: Amorim by decision.
What I think the odds should be: Amorim -225
Mitch Ramirez vs Thiago Moises
- Mitch Ramirez
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 8-1
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-0 striker and an 11-3 grappler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
- Thiago Moises
- Age: 28
- UFC Record: 8-4
- Key Wins: Knocked out Jamall Emmers. Submitted Melquizael Costa, Christos Giagos, and Michael Johnson. Beat Alexander Hernandez and Bobby Green.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
It’s possible Ramirez’s wrestling could be a 60 but I haven’t seen enough of him to know for sure.
Chris’ Pick: Moises by 3rd round submission.
What I think the odds should be: Moises -135
Charalampos Grigoriou vs Chad Anheliger
- Charalampos Grigoriou
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 8-3
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-3 striker.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Chad Anheliger
- Age: 37
- Pro Record: 12-7
- UFC Record: 2-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Jesse Strader, Brady Hiestand, a 4-1 grappler, and a 5-2 striker. Split decision over a well rounded 16-3 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Anheliger by decision.
What I think the odds should be: Anheliger -175