Whittaker vs de Ridder, Yan vs McGhee, Magomedov vs Barriault Fight Picks – July 26, 2025

Robert Whittaker vs Reinier de Ridder

  • Robert Whittaker
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 14-4 at 185 lbs.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Ikram Aliskerov, Derek Brunson, Jacare Souza. Beat Paulo Costa, Yoel Romero (twice), MarvinJared Cannonier, and Uriah Hall.
  • Striking: near plus plus (75)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Reinier de Ridder
  • Age: 34
  • Pro Record: 20-2
  • UFC Record: 3-0
  • Key Wins: Submitted Kevin Holland, Gerald Meerschaert, a well rounded 12-2 fighter, a 17-1 grappler, and a well rounded 23-4 fighter. Knocked out Bo Nickal, a 6-1 striker, and a well rounded 30-6 fighter. Beat an 11-3 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Whittaker by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Whittaker -300


Petr Yan vs Marcus McGhee

  • Petr Yan
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 10-4
  • Key Losses: Split decision losses to Sean O’Malley and Aljamain Sterling.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Douglas Silva de Andrade and Urijah Faber. Beat Deiveson Figueiredo, Song Yadong, Cory Sandhagen, Jimmie Rivera, and John Dodson.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Marcus McGhee
  • Age: 35
  • Pro Record: 10-1
  • UFC Record: 4-0
  • Key Wins: Submitted Journey Newson. Knocked out Gaston Bolanos, JP Buys, and a 4-1 grappler. Beat Jonathan Martinez.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Ghee out striking Martinez 100 to 46 is truly stunning. Very possible his striking could be as high as a 75, wrestling could be a 70, we just haven’t seen him use it as much lately.

Chris’ Pick: McGhee by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: McGhee -175


Shara Magomedov vs Marc Andre Barriault

  • Shara Magomedov
  • Age: 31
  • UFC Record: 4-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Armen Petrosyan, Antonio Trocolli, a 16-4 striker, a 4-1 striker, and a well rounded 9-2 fighter. Beat Bruno Silva and a 21-5 wrestler.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Marc-Andre Barriault
  • Age: 35
  • UFC Record: 6-8
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Chris Curtis.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Bruno Silva, Julian Marquez, Abu Azaitar, a 9-3 striker, and a 7-1 striker. Submitted Jordan Wright. Beat Eryk Anders and Dalcha Lungiambula.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Magomedov by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Magomedov -300


Asu Almabayev vs Jose Ochoa

  • Asu Almabayev
  • Age: 31
  • UFC Record: 4-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 10-1 striker. Submitted Ode Osbourne, a well rounded 6-0 fighter, a well rounded 5-0 fighter and a well rounded 10-2 fighter. Beat Jose Johnson, CJ Vergara, a 4-0 grappler, and a 14-4 wrestler.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Grappling: plus (65)
  • Jose Ochoa
  • Age: 24
  • Pro Record: 8-1
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Cody Durden. Submitted a well rounded 5-0 fighter.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

Almabayev is very similar to Ochoa’s last opponent Durdan and we all saw how that ended up.

Chris’ Pick: Ochoa by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Ochoa -175


Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov

  • Nikita Krylov
  • Age: 33
  • UFC Record: 10-7
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Alexander Gustafsson, Ed Herman, and Walt Harris. Submitted Ryan Spann, Marcos Rogerio de Lima, Francimar Barroso, and Ovince St. Preux. Beat Volkan Oezdemir.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
  • Bogdan Guskov
  • Age: 32
  • Pro Record: 17-3
  • UFC Record: 3-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Ryan Spann, a well rounded 13-3 fighter and a 4-1 grappler. Submitted Billy Elekana.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Krylov by 1st round submission.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Krylov -500


Bryce Mitchell vs Said Nurmagomedov

  • Bryce Mitchell
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 9-3
  • Key Wins: Submitted Matt Sayles. Knocked out Kron Gracie. Beat Dan Ige, Edson Barboza, Andre Fili, Charles Rosa, and Bobby Moffett.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Said Nurmagomedov
  • Age: 33
  • UFC Record: 6-3
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Cody Stamann, Ricardo Ramos, and Mark Striegl. Submitted Muin Gafurov and Saidyokub Kahkramonov. Beat a well rounded 9-2 fighter, a well rounded 11-2 fighter, and a 16-3 grappler. Split decision over Justin Scoggins.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Mitchell by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Mitchell -200


Carlos Leal vs Muslim Salikhov

  • Carlos Leal
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 22-6
  • UFC Record: 2-0
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to a 15-6 wrestler.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Alex Morono, a 12-3 wrestler, a well rounded 13-3 fighter, and a well rounded 21-6 fighter. Submitted an 8-3 striker. Beat a well rounded 9-0 fighter. Split decision over a 8-3 wrestler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Muslim Salikhov
  • Age: 41
  • UFC Record: 8-4
  • Key Losses: Submitted by Alex Garcia.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Kenan Song, Andre Fialho, Nordine Taleb, a 5-1 striker, and a well rounded 6-2 fighter. Beat Francisco Trinaldo, Laureano Staropoli, and an 8-1 wrestler. Split decision wins over Santiago Ponzinibbio and Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Leal by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Leal -135


Da’Mon Blackshear vs Davey Grant

  • Da’Mon Blackshear
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 5-3-1
  • Key Draws: Fought to majority draw with Youssef Zalal.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Luan Lacerda. Submitted Cody Gibson, Cody Stamann, Jose Johnson, Aalon Cruz, a well rounded 5-0 fighter, and a 5-2 wrestler. Beat Heili Alateng, a well rounded 5-1 fighter and a 5-1 grappler.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Davey Grant
  • Age: 39
  • UFC Record: 9-6
  • Key Losses: Submitted by Damian Stasiak and Manny Bermudez. Split decision loss to Daniel Marcos.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Raphael Assuncao. Knocked out Louis Smolka and Jonathan Martinez. Beat Ramon Taveras and Marlon Vera in 2016.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Blackshear by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Blackshear -300


Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci

  • Amanda Ribas
  • Age: 31
  • UFC Record: 7-5
  • Key Losses: Knocked out by Polyana Viana. Beat Viviane Araujo. Split decision loss to Katlyn Chookagian.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Luana Pinheiro. Submitted Paige VanZant and Emily Whitmire. Beat Virna Jandiroba, Randa Markos, and MacKenzie Dern.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Tabatha Ricci
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 6-3
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Loopy Godinez.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Jessica Penne. Beat Angela Hill, Gillian Robertson, Polyana Viana, and a 12-4 striker. Split decision over Tecia Pennington.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Ribas by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Ribas -250


Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana

  • Ibo Aslan
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 14-2
  • UFC Record: 3-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Raffael Cerqueira, Anton Turkalj, a 12-2 striker, and a 4-0 grappler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Billy Elekana
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 7-2
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 4-0 striker and another 4-0 striker. Beat a well rounded 5-1 fighter. Split decision over a 5-2 wrestler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Elekana by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Elekana -175


Mohammad Yahya vs Steve Nguyen

  • Mohammad Yahya
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 12-5
  • UFC Record: 0-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 7-2 wrestler. Beat a well rounded 5-2 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)
  • Steve Nguyen
  • Age: 32
  • Pro Record: 9-2
  • UFC Record: 2-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 11-2 fighter and a 5-2 grappler. Beat a 5-0 striker.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Yahya by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Yahya -300


Marcus Buchecha vs Martin Buday

  • Marcus Buchecha
  • Age: 35
  • Pro Record: 5-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 14-3 striker, a 5-0 striker, and a 5-1 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Martin Buday
  • Age: 33
  • UFC Record: 7-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted Josh Parisian. Knocked out a 7-1 striker. Beat Uran Satybaldiev, Jake Collier, and Chris Barnett. Split decision wins over Andrei Arlovski and Lukas Brzeski.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Buchecha by 1st round submission.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Bucheca -175


Movsar Evloev vs Aaron Pico

  • Movsar Evloev
  • Age: 31
  • UFC Record: 9-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 12-2 fighter and a 15-5 wrestler. Submitted an 11-3 striker. Beat Aljamain Sterling, Arnold Allen, Diego Lopes, Dan Ige, Hakeem Dawodu, Mike Grundy, Enrique Barzola, a 7-1 striker, a well rounded 6-2 fighter, and a 14-2 wrestler. Split decision win over Nik Lentz.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
  • Aaron Pico
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 13-4
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 9-1 fighter, a well rounded 12-3 fighter and an 18-4 grappler. Beat a 12-0 wrestler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Evloev by 2nd round submission.

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