Shi Ming vs Bruna Brasil
- Shi Ming
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 17-5
- UFC Record: 3-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Xiaocan Feng. Beat a 7-3 grappler, a 10-3 striker and a well rounded 14-3 fighter. Split decision over Huaxiong Dong.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Bruna Brasil
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 3-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out Marnic Mann. Submitted a well rounded 2-0 fighter. Beat Molly McCann, Shauna Bannon, and a 5-0 grappler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Despite the highlight reel head kick KO over Feng, Ming still only has 2 knockouts in 22 pro fights so I’m not prepared to upgrade her power yet. But her striking is very close to a 65 now. Feng did out strike her 47 to 28. With Wang Cong out striking Brasil 102 to 30, it would appear that Brasil’s breakout win over Molly McCann had more to do with McCann regressing vs Brasil taking a step forward.
Chris’ Pick: Brasil by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Brasil -125
Terrance Saeteurn vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel
- Terrance Saeteurn
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 8-1
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Nyamjargal Tumendemberel
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 8-1
- UFC Record: 2-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Carlos Hernandez.
- Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 6-0 fighter. Split decision over a 9-4 striker.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
Carlos Hernandez out struck Tumendemberel 40 to 24 so Tumendemberel’s striking is definitely a 55.
Chris’ Pick: Saeteurn by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Saeteurn -250
Kaiwen Li vs Keiichiro Nakamura
- Kaiwen Li
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 15-6
- UFC Record: 3-1
- Key Wins: Submitted a 4-1 striker. Knocked out a 7-2-1 wrestler and a well rounded 5-1 fighter. Beat Kouya Kanda.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Keiichiro Nakamura
- Age: 26
- Pro Record: 6-1
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 9-1-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: above average (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Nakamura by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Nakamura -250
Yawei Ren vs Sang Wook Kim
- Yawei Ren
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 9-3
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 3-1 striker. Submitted a 6-1 striker. Beat a 4-1 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Sang Wook Kim
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 12-3
- UFC Record: 2-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 6-0 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Ren by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Ren -125
Sulangrangbo vs Kai Xiong
- Sulangrangbo
- Age: 20
- Pro Record: 9-3
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Peter Danesoe.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Kai Xiong
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 7-1
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Wins: Submitted a 3-0 wrestler. Beat Chang Ho Lee and a 17-8-1 striker.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Sulangrangbo by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Sulangrangbo -300
Dom Mar Fan vs Jae Hyun Park
- Dom Mar Fan
- Age: 25
- Pro Record: 7-2
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 4-0 fighter. Submitted a 4-1 striker. Beat a well rounded 11-0 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Jae Hyun Park
- Age: 23
- Pro Record: 8-3
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Wins: Submitted a 6-1 striker. Knocked out a well rounded 13-5 fighter. Split decision over a well rounded 6-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Park’s opponent Jack Becker closed as a -155 favorite, probably because the market thought Becker’s grappling was a 60. I thought it was a 55. Regardless, Park didn’t just win, he dominated, showing up way, way improved.
Chris’ Pick: Park by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Park -250
Agulali vs Namsrai Batbayar
- Agulali
- Age: 20
- Pro Record: 13-1
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out an 8-0 striker and a 9-3 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Namsrai Batbayar
- Age: 24
- Pro Record: 8-1
- UFC Record: Knocked out a 7-1 striker.
- Key Wins: Submitted a 5-1 wrestler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
Possible Agulali’s wrestling could be as good as a 65 but I haven’t seen enough to know for sure.
Chris’ Pick: Agulali by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Agulali -300
Sebastian Szalay vs Chang Min Yoon
- Sebastian Szalay
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 9-1
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Beat Jieleyisi Baergeng, an 8-0 wrestler and a 6-0 wrestler. Split decision over a 4-0 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Chang Min Yoon
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 8-2-1
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Draws: Split draw against a 7-2-1 wrestler.
- Key Wins: Submitted an 8-1 striker and a well rounded 5-2 fighter. Split decision wins over a 14-5 striker and a 12-2 wrestler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
Yoon’s striking against Jin Aoi was really impressive as he out struck him 85 to 19. It’s possible Yoon’s striking could be as high as a 65. Outside chance.
Chris’ Pick: Szalay by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Szalay -175
Lawrence Lui vs Van Y Nghiem
- Lawrence Lui
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 6-1
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 6-2 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Van Y Nghiem
- Age: 26
- Pro Record: 6-1
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 12-4 grappler and a 6-2 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Ngheim by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Ngheim -225
Aaron Tau vs Shuai Yin
- Aaron Tau
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 10-1
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out an 8-0 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Shuai Yin
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 18-5
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-1 striker. Beat a well rounded 19-4 fighter. Split decision over a 19-17 wrestler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Tau by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Tau -200
Yun Seong Jang vs Kitt Campbell
- Yun Seong Jang
- Age: 22
- Pro Record: 7-1
- Key Wins: Beat Takashi Sato.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Kitt Campbell
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 15-7
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-0 striker, a well rounded 7-1-1 fighter, 4-0 grappler and a 5-0 striker. Beat a well rounded 10-3 fighter and a 12-3 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Campbell by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Campbell -175