Lerone Murphy vs Movsar Evloev
- Lerone Murphy
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 9-0-1
- Key Draws: Fought Zubaira Tukhugov to a split decision draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Aaron Pico, Makwan Amirkhani and Ricardo Ramos. Beat Josh Emmett, Dan Ige, Edson Barboza, Josh Culibao, Douglas Silva de Andrade, and a well rounded 7-1 fighter. Split decision over Gabriel Santos.
- Striking: near plus plus (75)
- Power: near plus plus (75)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Movsar Evloev
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 9-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 12-2 fighter and a 15-5 wrestler. Submitted an 11-3 striker. Beat Aljamain Sterling, Arnold Allen, Diego Lopes, Dan Ige, Hakeem Dawodu, Mike Grundy, Enrique Barzola, a 7-1 striker, a well rounded 6-2 fighter, and a 14-2 wrestler. Split decision win over Nik Lentz.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
Chris’ Pick: Murphy by 4th round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Murphy -200
Luke Riley vs Michael Aswell Jr
- Luke Riley
- Age: 26
- Pro Record: 12-0
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-2 grappler, a 5-0 wrestler, and a well rounded 6-2 fighter. Beat a 10-3 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Michael Aswell Jr
- Age: 25
- Pro Record: 11-3
- UFC Record: 1-2
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Bogdan Grad
- Key Wins: Knocked out Lucas Almeida, a 5-2 grappler and an 11-4 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Aswell Jr by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Aswell Jr -175
Michael Page vs Sam Patterson
- Michael Page
- Age: 38
- Pro Record: 24-3
- UFC Record: 1-1 at 170 lbs. 3-1 overall
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 28-5 grapper, a well rounded 17-3 fighter, a 9-3 striker, a well rounded 19-4 fighter, a well rounded 6-0 fighter and a 9-2 striker. Submitted a well rounded 7-1 fighter. Beat Jared Cannonier, Shara Magomedov, an 8-0 wrestler. Split decision over Douglas Lima.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Sam Patterson
- Age: 29
- UFC Record: 5-1
- Key Wins: Submitted Kiefer Crosbie, Yohan Lainesse, an 8-1 grappler and a 14-1 grappler. Knocked out Trey Waters, Danny Barlow, and a 9-3 striker. Beat an 18-6 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Patterson by 2nd round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Patterson -135
Iwo Baraniewski vs Austen Lane
- Iwo Baraniewski
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 7-0
- UFC Record: 2-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Ibo Aslan and a 4-0 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Austen Lane
- Age: 38
- UFC Record: 2-5
- Key Losses: Knocked out by a 7-4 striker.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Juan Adams and a 3-1 striker. Beat Robelis Despagne.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
After seeing Lane get submitted and knocked out in his last 2 fights, part of me doesn’t feel right to bump up Lane’s striking to a 65. But the truth is Mario Pinto’s 70 skills are real. And Lane out struck Pinto 31 to 12, just last year.
Chris’ Pick: Baraniewski by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Baraniewski -135
Roman Dolidze vs Christian Leroy Duncan
- Roman Dolidze
- Age: 37
- UFC Record: 8-4 at 185 lbs. 9-4 overall.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Kevin Holland, Jack Hermansson, Phil Hawes, Kyle Daukaus, a well rounded 8-3 fighter, a well rounded 15-4 fighter, and a 13-3 wrestler. Beat Laureano Staropoli. Split decision over John Allan.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Christian Leroy Duncan
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 6-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Marco Tulio, Eryk Anders, Claudio Ribeiro, Dennis Tiuliulin, a 5-0 grappler, an 8-0 wrestler, and a 10-2 striker. Beat Andrey Pulyaev.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Dolidze by splt decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Dolidze -135
Kurtis Campbell vs Danny Silva
- Kurtis Campbell
- Age: 23
- Pro Record: 8-0
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 10-2 fighter. Submitted a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Beat a 5-0 striker and a 5-0 grappler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Danny Silva
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 10-2
- UFC Record: 3-1
- Key Losses: Majority decision loss to Canaan Kawaihae.
- Key Wins: Beat a 7-1 striker and a 4-0 wrestler. Split decision wins over Lucas Almeida and Josh Culibao.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Silva by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Silva -225
Mason Jones vs Axel Sola
- Mason Jones
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 3-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Bolaji Oki, a well rounded 8-1 fighter and a 6-2 grappler, and a 12-1 wrestler. Beat Jeremy Stephens and David Onama.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Axel Sola
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 11-0-1
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Rhys McKee, a 5-0 striker, a well rounded 4-0 fighter, and a 4-0 grappler. Beat a 6-1 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Jones by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Jones -250
Nathaniel Wood vs Losene Keita
- Nathaniel Wood
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 10-3
- Key Wins: Submitted Johnny Eduardo and Jose Quinonez, Beat Jose Delgado, Morgan Charriere, Daniel Pineda, Andre Fili, Charles Jourdain, and Charles Rosa.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Losene Keita
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 16-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 16-1 wrestler, a well rounded 10-2 fighter, a 5-1 striker, a well rounded 9-3 fighter, and an 8-1 striker. Beat a well rounded 17-4 fighter and a well rounded 12-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Wood by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Wood -225
Felipe Franco vs Mario Pinto
- Felipe Franco
- Age: 25
- Pro Record: 9-1
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Mario Pinto
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 11-0
- UFC Record: 3-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Jhonata Diniz, Austen Lane and a 6-0 striker. Beat a 5-1 striker and a well rounded 8-3 fighter.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
The market had Pinto vs Diniz as a pick em but instead Pinto leveled up and dominated Diniz on the ground. Definitely 70 wrestling for me.
Chris’ Pick: Pinto by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Pinto -600
Mantas Kondratavicius vs Antonio Trocoli
- Mantas Kondratavicius
- Age: 26
- Pro Record: 7-1
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 7-0 striker. Submitted a 5-2 striker.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
- Antonio Trocoli
- Age: 35
- Pro Record: 12-6
- UFC Record: 0-3
- Key Losses: Knocked out by a 7-3 striker.
- Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 7-1 fighter and a 3-1 grappler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Trocoli by 3rd round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Trocoli -200
Brando Pericic vs Louie Sutherland
- Brando Pericic
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 5-1
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-1 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Louie Sutherland
- Age: 32
- Pro Record: 10-4
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 4-1 fighter and a well rounded 4-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Sutherland by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Sutherland -200
Shem Rock vs Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
- Shem Rock
- Age: 32
- Pro Record: 11-2-1
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 6-1 fighter. Submitted a 4-1 striker and a 7-1 wrestler. Split decision win over a 15-9 wrestler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 15-4
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Losses: Knocked out by a 6-7 striker.
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-2 grappler, a well rounded 21-4 fighter and a 3-0 grappler. Submitted an 8-3 wrestler. Beat a well rounded 12-1 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Rock was way, way better than I thought he’d be when he made his UFC debut against Nurullo Aliev. Much more well rounded than I thought. Al-Selwady’s striking is really close to a 65, but not quite there.
Chris’ Pick: Rock by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Rock -175
Shanelle Dyer vs Ravena Oliveira
- Shanelle Dyer
- Age: 24
- Pro Record: 6-1
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out an 8-2 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Ravena Oliveira
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 7-3-1
- UFC Record: 0-2
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: Dyer by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Dyer -250
Melissa Mullins vs Luana Carolina
- Melissa Mullins
- Age: 34
- Pro Record: 6-2
- UFC Record: 1-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Klaudia Sygula, a 7-0 striker. Beat Irina Alekseeva and a 3-1 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Luana Carolina
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 6-4
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Joanne Wood.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Julija Stoliarenko. Beat Lucie Pudilova, Ivana Petrovic, an 8-2 striker, and a 7-0 wrestler. Split decision over Poliana Botelho.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Mullins by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Mullins -135