Li vs Seo, Agulali vs Saikia, Aoi vs Yoon Fight Picks – Road to UFC Season 4 Shanghai Quarterfinals 2 – May 22, 2025

Kaiwen Li vs Dong Hyun Seo

• Kaiwen Li
• Age: 29
• Pro Record: 14-6
• UFC Record: 2-1
• Key Wins: Submitted a 4-1 striker. Knocked out a well rounded 5-1 fighter. Beat Kouya Kanda.
• Striking: above average (60)
• Power: above average (60)
• Wrestling: above average (60)

• Dong Hyun Seo
• Age: 34
• Pro Record: 7-2-1
• Key Wins: Knocked out a 3-0 grappler. Beat a well rounded 5-1 fighter.
• Striking: a little above average (55)
• Power: fringe average (45)
• Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Li by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Li -225

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Agulali vs Mridul Saikia

• Agulali
• Age: 22
• Pro Record: 12-1
• Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-3 grappler.
• Striking: above average (60)
• Power: above average (60)
• Wrestling: above average (60)

• Mridul Saikia
• Age: 28
• Pro Record: 8-0
• Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 3-0 fighter. Knocked out a well rounded 4-0 fighter.
• Striking: a little above average (55)
• Power: a little above average (55)
• Grappling: average (50)

Saikia’s record looks great, but I watched his last fight against a 7-5 wrestler. Didn’t like what I saw. Saikia struggled for a lot of the fight. Striking is barely a 55. He wasn’t as good as I thought he’d be. Agulali was impressive though and his wrestling could be as high as a 65.

Chris’ Pick: Agulali by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Agulali -250

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Jin Aoi vs Chang Min Yoon

• Jin Aoi
• Age: 28
• Pro Record: 14-5
• Key Losses: Lost to a 9-7-1 wrestler.
• Key Wins: Split decision over Kouya Kanda.
• Striking: a little above average (55)
• Power: fringe average (45)
• Wrestling: average (50)

• Chang Min Yoon
• Age: 31
• Pro Record: 7-2-1
• Key Draws: Split draw against a 7-2-1 wrestler.
• Key Wins: Submitted an 8-1 striker and a well rounded 5-2 fighter. Split decision win over a 12-2 wrestler.
• Striking: a little above average (55)
• Power: a little above average (55)
• Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Yoon by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Yoon -200

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Rio Tirto vs Aaron Tau

• Rio Tirto
• Age: 31
• Pro Record: 8-0
• Striking: average (50)
• Power: average (50)
• Grappling: a little above average (55)

• Aaron Tau
• Age: 31
• Pro Record: 9-1
• UFC Record: 0-1
• Striking: near plus (65)
• Power: near plus (65)
• Wrestling: above average (60)

I watched Tirto’s last fight and was underwhelmed. He took on a 4-3 fighter with 50 grappling. Tirto got the better of him on the ground in the 1st round, but appeared to be out of gas by the 2nd round. Tau showed on the Contender to have great cardio and durability.

Chris’ Pick: Tau by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Tau -400

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Aziz Khaydurov vs Mansher Khera

• Aziz Khaydurov
• Age: 31
• Pro Record: 21-6
• Key Wins: Submitted Yibugele, a 17-6 striker and a well rounded 21-7 fighter. Beat a well rounded 15-2 fighter.
• Striking: above average (60)
• Power: average (50)
• Grappling: near plus (65)

• Mansher Khera
• Age: 33
• Pro Record: 9-0
• Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 5-1 fighter and a 7-1 grappler. Knocked out a well rounded 7-1-1 fighter.
• Striking: a little above average (55)
• Power: a little above average (55)
• Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Khaydurov by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Khaydurov -175