Oliveira vs Fiziev, Luque vs Ponzinibbio, Walker vs Usman Fight Picks – October 11, 2025

Charles Oliveira vs Rafael Fiziev

  • Charles Oliveira
  • Age: 35
  • UFC Record: 23-11
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Armen Tsarukyan.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Justin Gaethje, Dustin Poirier, Kevin Lee, Jim Miller, and David Teymur. Knocked out Beneil Dariush, Michael Chandler and Nik Lentz. Beat Michael Chandler and Tony Ferguson.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Grappling: near plus plus (75)
  • Rafael Fiziev
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 7-4
  • Key Losses: Majority decision loss to Justin Gaethje.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Rafael dos Anjos, Brad Riddell, and Renato Moicano. Beat Ignacio Bahamondes, Bobby Green, and Marc Diakiese.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power (70)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Fiziev by 1st round knockout.


Vicente Luque vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

  • Vicente Luque
  • Age: 33
  • UFC Record: 15-6
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Randy Brown, Belal Muhammad, Chad Laprise, and Bryan Barbarena. Submitted and knocked out Niko Price. Also submitted Themba Gorimbo, Michael Chiesa, and Tyron Woodley. Beat Rafael dos Anjos.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Santiago Ponzinibbio
  • Age: 38
  • UFC Record: 12-8
  • Key Losses: Split decision losses to Muslim Salikhov, Michel Pereira, and Geoff Neal.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Carlston Harris, Alex Morono, Gunnar Nelson, and Neil Magny. Beat Miguel Baeza, Mike Perry, Nordine Taleb, and Zak Cummings.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Luque by 2nd round knockout.


Valter Walker vs Mohammed Usman

  • Valter Walker
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 14-1
  • UFC Record: 3-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted Kennedy Nzechukwu, Don’Tale Mayes, and Junior Tafa. Beat a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Split decision over an 8-3 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Mohammed Usman
  • Age: 36
  • UFC Record: 3-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Zac Pauga and a well rounded 5-1 fighter. Submitted a 4-1 striker. Beat Jake Collier, Junior Tafa, and a 5-2 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Walker by 1st round submission.


Vitor Petrino vs Thomas Petersen

  • Vitor Petrino
  • Age: 28
  • UFC Record: 1-0 at heavyweight. 5-2 overall.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Modestas Bukauskas, Rodolfo Bellato twice, and Gadzhimurad Antigulov. Submitted Austen Lane and Marcin Prachnio. Beat Tyson Pedro and Anton Turkalj.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Thomas Petersen
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 3-2
  • Key Wins: Beat Dont’Tale Mayes and Mohammed Usman.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Petrino by 1st round knockout.


Jhonata Diniz vs Mario Pinto

  • Jhonata Diniz
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 4-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Austen Lane and a 7-1 striker. Beat Karl Williams and Alvin Hines.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Mario Pinto
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 10-0
  • UFC Record: 2-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Austen Lane and a 6-0 striker. Beat a 5-1 striker and a well rounded 8-3 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Diniz by 1st round knockout.


Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Julia Polastri

  • Karolina Kowalkiewicz
  • Age: 39
  • UFC Record: 9-9
  • Key Losses: Submitted by Claudia Gadelha.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Felice Herrig. Beat Diana Belbita, Vanessa Demopoulos, Silvana Juarez, and Randa Markos. Split decision over Rose Namajunas in 2016.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Julia Polastri
  • Age: 27
  • UFC Record: 2-3
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-1 wrestler. Submitted a well rounded 9-2 fighter and a well rounded 8-2 fighter. Beat a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Split decision over Cory McKenna.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Polastri by 2nd round submission.


Irina Alekseeva vs Beatriz Mesquita

  • Irina Alekseeva
  • Age: 35
  • Pro Record: 5-3
  • UFC Record: 1-2
  • Key Losses: Lost to a well rounded 8-6 fighter.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Stephanie Egger. Beat a 5-2 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Beatriz Mesquita
  • Age: 34
  • Pro Record: 5-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 4-0 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Mesquita by 2nd round submission.


Jafel Filho vs Clayton Carpenter

  • Jafel Filho
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 3-2
  • Key Losses: Submitted by an 8-4 grappler.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Vinicius Salvador and a 7-1 striker. Submitted Ode Osbourne, Daniel Barez, a well rounded 5-0 fighter, a well rounded 8-3 fighter, and a well rounded 8-1 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Clayton Carpenter
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 8-1
  • UFC Record: 3-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted Lucas Rocha, Juancamilo Ronderos, a well rounded 3-1 fighter. Knocked out a 5-2 striker. Beat Edgar Chairez.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Filho by decision.


Lucas Rocha vs Stewart Nicoll

  • Lucas Rocha
  • Age: 25
  • Pro Record: 17-2
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 14-3 fighter, a 7-0 grappler, a 10-3 striker, a well rounded 5-1 fighter, and a 7-2 grappler. Beat an 11-3 wrestler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Stewart Nicoll
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 8-1
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-0 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Nicoll by 2nd round knockout.


Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown

  • Gabriel Bonfim
  • Age: 28
  • UFC Record: 6-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted Khaos Williams, Trevin GIles, Mounir Lazzez, a well rounded 6-0 fighter, a well rounded 6-2-1 fighter and a well rounded 13-3 fighter. Knocked out a well rounded 8-0 fighter. Beat Ange Loosa. Split decision over Stephen Thompson.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Randy Brown
  • Age: 35
  • UFC Record: 14-6
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Bryan Battle.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Alex Oliveira and Warlley Alves. Knocked out Nicolas Dalby, Muslim Salikhov, and Bryan Barbarena. Beat Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, Wellington Turman, Francisco Trinaldo, and Mickey Gall. Split decision over Khaos Williams.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: near plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Bonfim by 2nd round submission.


Lucas Almeida vs Michael Aswell

  • Lucas Almeida
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 2-4
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Danny Silva.
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 4-1 striker. Knocked out Michael Trizano, a well rounded 9-3 fighter, a 7-1 wrestler, a 12-3 grappler, and a well rounded 9-2 fighter. Beat Timothy Cuamba.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Michael Aswell
  • Age: 24
  • Pro Record: 10-3
  • UFC Record: 0-2
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Bogdan Grad
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-2 grappler and an 11-4 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Almeida by 1st round knockout.


Ricardo Ramos vs Kaan Ofli

  • Ricardo Ramos
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 8-6
  • Key Wins: Submitted Luiz Garagorri. Beat Bill Algeo and Journey Newsom. Knocked out Danny Chavez. Split decision wins over Josh Culibao and Kyung Ho Kang. 
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Kaan Ofli
  • Age: 32
  • Pro Record: 10-4
  • UFC Record: 0-2
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 6-1 striker. Beat a 5-2 wrestler and another 5-2 wrestler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Ramos by 2nd round knockout.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *