Renato Moicano vs Chris Duncan
- Renato Moicano
- Age: 36
- UFC Record: 7-4 at 155 lbs. 11-7 overall.
- Key Wins: Submitted Brad Riddell, Alexander Hernandez, Jai Herbert, and Cub Swanson. Knocked out Benoit Saint Denis and Jalin Turner. Beat Drew Dober and Calvin Kattar. Split decision over Jeremy Stephens.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Chris Duncan
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 7-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-1 striker, a well rounded 8-2 fighter, and a 14-5 wrestler. Submitted Terrance McKinney, Jordan Vucenic, Bolaji Oki. Beat Mateusz Rebecki and Yanal Ashmoz. Split decision over Omar Morales.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Duncan by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Duncan -125
Virna Jandiroba vs Tabatha Ricci
- Virna Jandiroba
- Age: 37
- UFC Record: 8-4
- Key Wins: Submitted Amanda Lemos, Felice Herrig, a 6-2 wrestler, a well rounded 8-2 fighter and a 10-2 striker. Beat Xiaonan Yan, Loopy Godinez, Marina Rodriguez, and Angela Hill. Split decision wins over Mizuki Inoue and a 7-2 grappler.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: near plus plus (75)
- Tabatha Ricci
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 7-3
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Loopy Godinez.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Amanda Ribas. Submitted Jessica Penne. Beat Angela Hill, Gillian Robertson, Polyana Viana, and a 12-4 striker. Split decision over Tecia Pennington.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Jandiroba by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Jandiroba -225
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Brendson Ribeiro
- Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
- Age: 25
- Pro Record: 8-0
- UFC Record: 2-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-1 striker. Submitted a well rounded 5-2 fighter and a 5-1 striker. Beat a 7-0 striker.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Brendson Ribeiro
- Age: 29
- UFC Record: 3-4
- Key Losses: Majority decision loss to Magomed Gadzhiyasulov.
- Key Wins: Submitted Diyar Nurgozhay, Antonio Arroyo, and a 6-1 striker. Knocked out a well rounded 11-0 fighter and a 7-1 striker. Split decision over Caio Machado.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: Yakhyaev by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Yakhyaev -250
Ethyn Ewing vs Rafael Estevam
- Ethyn Ewing
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 9-2
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Billy Brand and a well rounded 6-1 fighter. Beat Malcolm Wellmaker and a well rounded 4-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Rafael Estevam
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 14-0
- UFC Record: 4-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 17-3 grappler and a well rounded 7-0 fighter. Submitted a well rounded 5-0 fighter. Beat Felipe Bunes, Jesus Aguilar, Charles Johnson, a 6-1 grappler, and a well rounded 7-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Estevam by 2nd round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Estevam -225
Tommy McMillen vs Manolo Zecchini
- Tommy McMillen
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 9-0
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Submitted a 3-0 grappler. Majority decision over a well rounded 7-0 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Manolo Zecchini
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 11-4
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: McMillen by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: McMillen -250
Robert Ruchala vs Jose Delano
- Robert Ruchala
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 11-2
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out an 18-4 striker, a 20-6 striker, an 11-2 wrestler. Beat a well rounded 7-0 fighter.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Jose Delano
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 16-3
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 7-0 striker and a well rounded 9-1 fighter. Submitted a well rounded 17-6 fighter. Beat a well rounded 13-2 fighter, a well rounded 14-1 fighter, a well rounded 7-1 fighter, a well rounded 14-4 fighter, and a 9-1-1 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
I thought Delano would roll on the Contender and boy did he ever. Out struck his opponent 139 to 35. Exceeded even my expectations.
Chris’ Pick: Ruchala by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Ruchala -225
Guilherme Pat vs Thomas Petersen
- Guilherme Pat
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 6-0
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Beat Allen Frye.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Thomas Petersen
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 3-3
- Key Wins: Beat Dont’Tale Mayes and Mohammed Usman.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Petersen by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Petersen -225
Alessandro Costa vs Stewart Nicoll
- Alessandro Costa
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 4-2
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to a 10-2 striker.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Kevin Borjas, Jimmy Flick and a 9-2 wrestler. Beat a 4-1 grappler. Split decision over a 12-0 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Stewart Nicoll
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 8-2
- UFC Record: 0-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-0 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Costa by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Costa -300
Lando Vannata vs Darrius Flowers
- Lando Vannata
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 4-7-2
- Key Losses: Lost to Bobby Green, Drakkar Klose, and Marc Diakiese.
- Key Draws: Fought Matt Frevola and Bobby Green to draws.Key Wins: Knocked out John Makdessi. Beat Yancy Medeiros. Split decision over Mike Grundy.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
- Darrius Flowers
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 12-8
- UFC Record: 1-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 12-2 striker, a 4-1 grappler, and a well rounded 8-3 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Vannata by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Vannata -250
Hailey Cowan vs Alice Pereira
- Hailey Cowan
- Age: 34
- Pro Record: 7-4
- UFC Record: 1-2
- Key Losses: Submitted by a 1-2 fighter.
- Key Wins: Split decision over an 8-2 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Alice Pereira
- Age: 20
- Pro Record: 6-1
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Montse Rendon.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
I think Montserrat Rendon’s striking was better than I realized. More like a 65. Because I’m pretty sure Rendon has 65 wrestling. And Pereira stuffed all her take downs. Not very likely that Pereira’s wrestling is better than her striking, but I could be wrong if Rendon’s tools are more like 60’s.
Chris’ Pick: Pereira by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Pereira -225
Tresean Gore vs Azamat Bekoev
- Tresean Gore
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 2-4
- Key Wins: Submitted Antonio Trocoli and Josh Fremd.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Azamat Bekoev
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 20-4
- UFC Record: 2-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Ryan Loder and Zachary Reese. Submitted a well rounded 7-2 fighter and a 4-0 grappler. Beat a well rounded 6-1 fighter and a well rounded 9-2 fighter. Split decision over Dylan Budka.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Bekoev by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Bekoev -135
Dione Barbosa vs Melissa Gatto
- Dione Barbosa
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 3-2
- Key Wins: Submitted Diana Belbita and a well rounded 5-1 fighter. Beat Ernesta Kareckaite and Karine Silva.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Melissa Gatto
- Age: 29
- UFC Record: 3-2
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Ariane Lipski.
- Key Draws: Fought a 9-4-1 striker to a draw.
- Key Wins: Submitted Karol Rosa. Knocked out Tamires Vidal and Victoria Leonardo.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Gatto by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Gatto -135
Kai Kamaka III vs Dakota Hope
- Kai Kamaka III
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 17-7-1
- UFC Record: 1-2-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to TJ Brown.
- Key Draws: Fought Danny Chavez to majority draw.
- Key Wins: Beat a 6-1 wrestler and a well rounded 4-0 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Dakota Hope
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 11-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-1 grappler
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Hope by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Hope -200