Tsarukyan vs Hooker, Muhammad vs Machado Garry, Oezdemir vs Menifield Fight Picks – November 22, 2025

Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker

  • Arman Tsarukyan
  • Age: 29
  • UFC Record: 9-2
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 6-0 wrestler and a 17-4 striker. Knocked out Beneil Dariush, Joaquim Silva, Joel Alvarez, Christos Giagos, and a 15-5 striker. Beat Damir Ismagulov, Davi Ramos, Matt Frevola, and a 5-1 wrestler. Split decision over Charles Oliveira.
  • Striking: near plus plus (75)
  • Power: near plus plus (75)
  • Wrestling: plus plus (80)
  • Dan Hooker
  • Age: 35
  • UFC Record: 10-4 at 155 lbs. 13-8 overall.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Claudio Puelles and James Vick. Beat Al Iaquinta and Nasrat Haqparast. Split decision wins over Mateusz Gamrot, Jalin Turner, and Paul Felder.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Small sample size, but Tsarukyan out striking Oliveira 23 to 7 is really impressive.   

Chris’ Pick: Tsarukyan by 2nd round knockout.


Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Garry

  • Belal Muhammad
  • Age: 37
  • UFC Record: 15-4
  • Key Losses: Lost to Alan Jouban. 
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Sean Brady. Beat Leon Edwards, Gilbert Burns, Vicente Luque, Stephen Thompson, Demian Maia, Lyman Good, Chance Rencountre, and Randy Brown. 
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
  • Ian Machado Garry
  • Age: 27
  • UFC Record: 9-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Daniel Rodriguez, Kenan Song, Jordan Williams, a 4-0 grappler, and a 6-2 striker. Beat Carlos Prates, Michael Page, Neil Magny, Gabe Green, Darian Weeks, and a well rounded 17-6 fighter. Split decision over Geoff Neal.
  • Striking: near plus plus (75)
  • Power: near plus plus (75)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Machado Garry by split decision.


Volkan Oezdemir vs Alonzo Menifield

  • Volkan Oezdemir
  • Age: 36
  • UFC Record: 8-7
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Dominick Reyes.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Johnny Walker, Ilir Latifi, Misha Cirkunov, and Jimi Manuwa. Submitted Bogdan Guskov. Beat Paul Craig. Split decision win over Aleksandar Rakic and Ovince St. Preux.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Alonzo Menifield
  • Age: 38
  • UFC Record: 12-5-1
  • Key Draws: Fought Crute to a majority draw.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Jimmy Crute. Knocked out Misha Cirkunov, Paul Craig, a 9-1 grappler, and a well rounded 8-1 fighter. Beat Oumar Sy, Dustin Jacoby. Split decision over Julius Walker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Oezdemir by decision.


Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai

  • Jack Hermansson
  • Age: 37
  • UFC Record: 11-7
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Sean Strickland.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Thales Leites. Submitted Kelvin Gastelum, David Branch, and Gerald Meerschaert. Beat Joe Pyfer, Chris Curtis, Edmen Shahbazyan and Jacare Souza.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Myktybek Orolbai
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 13-2-1
  • UFC Record: 2-1
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Mateusz Rebecki.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Uros Medic. Knocked out a well rounded 8-1 fighter. Beat Elves Brener, a well rounded 6-1 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Orolbai by 2nd round knockout.


Serghei Spivac vs Shamil Gaziev

  • Serghei Spivac
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 8-6
  • Key Losses: Lost to Marcin Tybura.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Marcin Tybura, Derrick Lewis, Greg Hardy, Tai Tuivasa, and a 5-1 striker. Knocked out Augusto Sakai and Jared Vanderaa. Beat Alexei Oleinik. Majority decision over Carlos Felipe.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Shamil Gaziev
  • Age: 35
  • UFC Record: 4-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Thomas Petersen, Martin Buday, Darko Stosic, and a 4-0 striker. Submitted a well rounded 6-0 fighter. Beat Don’Tale Mayes. Split decision over a 13-0 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Gaziev by 1st round knockout.


Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev

  • Alex Perez
  • Age: 33
  • UFC Record: 8-5
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Matheus Nicolau, Jussier Formiga and Jose Torres. Submitted Jordan Espinosa. Beat Mark de la Rosa and Eric Shelton.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Asu Almabayev
  • Age: 31
  • UFC Record: 5-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 10-1 striker. Submitted Ode Osbourne, a well rounded 6-0 fighter, a well rounded 5-0 fighter and a well rounded 10-2 fighter. Beat Jose Ochoa, Jose Johnson, CJ Vergara, a 4-0 grappler, and a 14-4 wrestler.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Grappling: plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Perez by 2nd round knockout.


Bogdan Grad vs Luke Riley

  • Bogdan Grad
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 15-3
  • UFC Record: 2-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Lucas Alexander and a 4-0 grappler. Submitted a well rounded 6-2 fighter. Beat a well rounded 17-6 fighter. Split decision over a 9-1 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Luke Riley
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 11-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-2 grappler, a 5-0 wrestler, and a well rounded 6-2 fighter. Beat a 10-3 grappler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Grad by decision.


Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Raffael Cerqueira

  • Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
  • Age: 24
  • Pro Record: 7-0
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-1 striker. Submitted a well rounded 5-2 fighter and a 5-1 striker. Beat a 7-0 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Raffael Cerqueira
  • Age: 35
  • Pro Record: 11-3
  • UFC Record: 0-3
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 4-1 fighter. Beat a 4-1 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Yahkyaev by 1st round knockout.


Tagir Ulanbekov vs Kyoji Horiguchi

  • Tagir Ulanbekov
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 6-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted Cody Durden, Nathan Maness, a 15-2 wrestler and a 13-2 grappler. Knocked out a 4-0 grappler. Beat Azat Maksum, Clayton Carpenter, Bruno Silva, an 8-1 grappler, and a 9-2 wrestler. Split decision over Allan Nascimento.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Kyoji Horiguchi
  • Age: 35
  • Pro Record: 34-5
  • UFC Record: 7-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted Manel Kape. Knocked out Ian McCall. Beat Darrell Montague, Chico Camus, Neil Seery, Ali Bagautinov.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Ulanbekov by decision.


Aleksandre Topuria vs Bekzat Almakhan

  • Aleksandre Topuria
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 6-1
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Beat Colby Thicknesse.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Bekzat Almakhan
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 12-2
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Brad Katona, a well rounded 15-5 fighter, a 12-4-1 striker, a 12-4 grappler, a well rounded 9-3 fighter, and a 10-3 wrestler. Submitted a 7-2 grappler. Beat a well rounded 14-1 fighter.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Almakhan by decision.


Ismail Naurdiev vs Ryan Loder

  • Ismail Naurdiev
  • Age: 29
  • UFC Record: 2-3
  • Key Wins: Beat Siyar Bahadurzada and Michel Prazeres.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Ryan Loder
  • Age: 34
  • Pro Record: 7-2
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Robert Valentin and an 8-3 grappler. Beat a 5-0 wrestler.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Naurdiev by decision.


Saygid Izagakhmaev vs Nicolas Dalby

  • Saygid Izagakhmaev
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 22-2
  • Key Losses: Submitted by Carlston Harris.
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 12-2 wrestler, an 18-3-1 grappler, and a 5-1 wrestler. Beat a 15-4 striker and a well rounded 9-2 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Nicolas Dalby
  • Age: 40
  • UFC Record: 6-4-1
  • Key Wins: Beat Muslim Salikhov, Claudio Silva, Daniel Rodriguez, and Alex Oliveira. Split decisions over Warlley Alves and Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Dalby by decision.


Nurullo Aliev vs Shaqueme Rock

  • Nurullo Aliev
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 10-0
  • UFC Record: 3-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 3-0 grappler. Beat Joe Solecki, a 5-1 wrestler and a well rounded 8-2 fighter. Majority decision wins over Rafael Alves and a 5-2 wrestler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Shaqueme Rock
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 11-1-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 6-1 fighter. Submitted a 4-1 striker and a 7-1 wrestler. Split decision win over a 15-9 wrestler.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Aliev by 2nd round submission.


Marek Bujlo vs Denzel Freeman

  • Marek Bujlo
  • Age: 33
  • Pro Record: 6-0
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Denzel Freeman
  • Age: 33
  • Pro Record: 6-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted Steven Asplund. Knocked out a well rounded 8-2 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Freeman by 2nd round submission.

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