Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos
- Josh Emmett
- Age: 40
- UFC Record: 8-5 at 145 lbs.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Bryce Mitchell, Ricardo Lamas, Michael Johnson and Mirsad Bektic. Beat Dan Ige and Shane Burgos. Split decision over Calvin Kattar.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Kevin Vallejos
- Age: 24
- UFC Record: 4-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Giga Chikadze, Seung Woo Choi, Luiz Garagorri, an 8-0 striker, and a well rounded 6-0 fighter. Beat Danny Silva.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Emmett by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Emmett -125
Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson
- Amanda Lemos
- Age: 38
- UFC Record: 8-5
- Key Wins: Knocked out Montserrat Ruiz and Livinha Souza. Submitted Michelle Waterson and Miranda Granger. Beat Iasmin Lucindo, MacKenzie Dern, and Mizuki Inoue. Split decision over Angela Hill.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Gillian Robertson
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 5-1 at 115 lbs. 13-7 overall.
- Key Wins: Submitted Piera Rodriguez, Mariya Agapova, Priscila Cachoeira, Cortney Casey, Emily Whitmire, and Molly McCann. Knocked out Marina Rodriguez, Polyana Viana, and Sarah Frota. Beat Luana Pinheiro, Michelle Waterson-Gomez, and Poliana Botelho.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Lemos by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Lemos -225
Jose Miguel Delgado vs Andre Fili
- Jose Miguel Delgado
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 10-2
- UFC Record: 3-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Hyder Amil, Connor Matthews, a well rounded 7-0 fighter, a well rounded 4-1 fighter, and a 7-2 striker.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Andre Fili
- Age: 35
- UFC Record: 13-11
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Michael Johnson.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Lucas Almeida, Gabriel Benitez, and Sheymon Moraes. Split decision wins over Christian Rodriguez, Cub Swanson, Bill Algeo, and Charles Jourdain.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Fili’s striking is squarely in a bubble between a 65 and 70 grade but after his last fight with Rodriguez I’d say it’s closer to a 70.
Chris’ Pick: Delgado by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Delgado -200
Marwan Rahiki vs Harry Hardwick
- Marwan Rahiki
- Age: 23
- Pro Record: 7-0
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 9-2 fighter and a 6-1 wrestler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Harry Hardwick
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 13-4-1
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Wins: Submitted a 6-0 striker, a 6-1 striker, and a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Knocked out a 5-2 grappler and an 11-1-1 striker. Majority decision over a 7-2 striker. Split decision over a well rounded 9-2 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Rahiki by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think odds I think the favorite should be at: Rahiki -200
Oumar Sy vs Ion Cutelaba
- Oumar Sy
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 12-1
- UFC Record: 3-1
- Key Wins: Submitted George Tokkos. Knocked out Brendson Ribeiro and a well rounded 5-0 fighter. Beat Da Woon Jung and a well rounded 7-2 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Ion Cutelaba
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 7-10-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Modestas Bukauskas.
- Key Draws: Fought Dustin Jacoby to a split draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Tanner Boser, Khalil Rountree, and Gadzhimurad Antigulov. Beat Devin Clark. Split decision over Ivan Erslan.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Sy by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Sy -135
Bruno Silva vs Charles Johnson
- Bruno Silva
- Age: 35
- UFC Record: 5-4
- Key Draws: Fought Casey Kenney and a 4-0 grappler to draws.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Victor Rodriguez, JP Buys, and a 4-0 grappler. Submitted Hyun Sung Park and Tyson Nam.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Charles Johnson
- Age: 35
- UFC Record: 7-6
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Ode Osbourne.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Lone’er Kavanagh, Joshua Van, Jimmy Flick and a well rounded 6-0 fighter. Submitted a well rounded 6-0 fighter. Beat Sumudaerji, Jake Hadley and Azat Maksum. Split decision wins over Zhulgas Zhumagulov, a well rounded 7-2 fighter and a 5-1 wrestler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Silva by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Silva -135
Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai
- Chris Curtis
- Age: 38
- UFC Record: 7-4
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Brendan Allen.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Joaquin Buckley, Brendan Allen, Phil Hawes, a well rounded 13-3 fighter. a 10-1 striker, an 8-2 striker and an 18-5 wrestler. Beat Rodolfo Vieira, a 9-3 grappler, a well rounded 5-0 fighter, and a well rounded 18-4 fighter. Split decision wins over Max Griffin and Marc Andre Barriault. Majority decision win over an 11-4 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Myktybek Orolbai
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 14-2-1
- UFC Record: 3-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Mateusz Rebecki.
- Key Wins: Submitted Uros Medic. Knocked out Jack Hermansson and a well rounded 8-1 fighter. Beat Elves Brener, a well rounded 6-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Orolbai by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Orolbai -175
Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund
- Vitor Petrino
- Age: 28
- UFC Record: 2-0 at heavyweight. 6-2 overall.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Thomas Petersen, Modestas Bukauskas, Rodolfo Bellato twice, and Gadzhimurad Antigulov. Submitted Austen Lane and Marcin Prachnio. Beat Tyson Pedro and Anton Turkalj.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Steven Asplund
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 7-1
- UFC Record: 2-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Sean Sharaf, a 4-0 striker, and a well rounded 3-1 fighter. Beat a 5-1 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Asplund’s striking is close to a 70. He out struck Sharaf a mind boggling 166 to 66.
Chris’ Pick: Petrino by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Petrino -135
Elijah Smith vs SuYoung You
- Elijah Smith
- Age: 23
- Pro Record: 9-1
- UFC Record: 3-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Toshiomi Kazawa, a 2-0 striker, and a 7-1 wrestler. Beat Vince Morales, an 8-0 striker, and a well rounded 4-0 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- SuYoung You
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 4-0
- Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 11-4 fighter. Knocked out a well rounded 19-5 fighter. Beat Long Xiao, AJ Cunningham, Jieleyisi Baergeng. Split decision over Zhawupasi Daermisi.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Smith by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Smith -250
Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa
- Bolaji Oki
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 3-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-1 grappler. Beat Michael Aswell and an 11-0 striker. Split decision over Timothy Cuamba.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Manoel Sousa
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 13-1
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Mauricio Ruffy, a well rounded 12-1 fighter, and a well rounded 13-4 fighter. Beat a well rounded 8-2-1 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
Cristian Perez proved he was much better than I thought on the Contender, with 60 grappling and accruing over 7 minutes of control time on Sousa.
Chris’ Pick: Oki by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Oki -225
Brad Tavares vs Eryk Anders
- Brad Tavares
- Age: 38
- UFC Record: 16-11
- Key Wins: Knocked out Krzysztof Jotko. Beat Gerald Meerschaert, Antonio Carlos, Jr and Elias Theodorou. Split decision over Omari Akhmedov.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Eryk Anders
- Age: 38
- UFC Record: 8-7 at 185 lbs.
- Key Losses: Split decision losses to Jun Yong Park, Lyoto Machida, and Elias Theodorou.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Chris Weidman, Kyle Daukaus, and Rafael Natal. Beat Jamie Pickett, Darren Stewart and Markus Perez. Split decision over Gerald Meerschaert.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Tavares by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Tavares -250
Bea Mesquita vs Montserrat Rendon
- Bea Mesquita
- Age: 34
- Pro Record: 6-0
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Submitted Irina Alekseeva. Knocked out a well rounded 4-0 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: near plus plus (75)
- Montserrat Rendon
- Age: 36
- Pro Record: 7-1
- UFC Record: 2-1
- Key Wins: Split decision wins over Alice Pereira and Tamires Vidal.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Mesquita by 1st round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Mesquita -300
Hecher Sosa vs Luan Lacerda
- Hecher Sosa
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 12-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 14-3 grappler and a 3-0 striker.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Luan Lacerda
- Age: 33
- Pro Record: 13-3
- UFC Record: 1-2
- Key Wins: Submitted Saimon Oliveira, Raulian Paiva, a 9-2 striker, a 5-2 striker, a 9-3 grappler, and a 6-1 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Slight chance I’m over rating Sosa’s striking. Tool could be a 65. Grappling is definitely a 70 though.
Chris’ Pick: Sosa by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Sosa -350
Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes
- Piera Rodriguez
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 5-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 13-4 grappler and a 3-1 grappler. Beat Josefine Knutsson, Sam Hughes, Kay Hansen, and an 8-2 striker. Split decision over Ketlen Souza.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: above average (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Sam Hughes
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 6-5
- Key Wins: Submitted Shauna Bannon and a 4-1 grappler. Beat Jaqueline Amorim and a well rounded 3-1 fighter. Majority decision over Istela Nunes. Split decision wins over Stephanie Luciano and Viktoriia Dudakova.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Rodriguez by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Rodriguez -135
