Murphy vs Evloev, Riley vs Aswell, Page vs Patterson Fight Picks – March 21, 2026

Lerone Murphy vs Movsar Evloev

  • Lerone Murphy
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 9-0-1
  • Key Draws: Fought Zubaira Tukhugov to a split decision draw.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Aaron Pico, Makwan Amirkhani and Ricardo Ramos. Beat Josh Emmett, Dan Ige, Edson Barboza, Josh Culibao, Douglas Silva de Andrade, and a well rounded 7-1 fighter. Split decision over Gabriel Santos.
  • Striking: near plus plus (75)
  • Power: near plus plus (75)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Movsar Evloev
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 9-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 12-2 fighter and a 15-5 wrestler. Submitted an 11-3 striker. Beat Aljamain Sterling, Arnold Allen, Diego Lopes, Dan Ige, Hakeem Dawodu, Mike Grundy, Enrique Barzola, a 7-1 striker, a well rounded 6-2 fighter, and a 14-2 wrestler. Split decision win over Nik Lentz.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus plus (75)

Chris’ Pick: Murphy by decision.


Luke Riley vs Michael Aswell

  • Luke Riley
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 12-0
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-2 grappler, a 5-0 wrestler, and a well rounded 6-2 fighter. Beat a 10-3 grappler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Michael Aswell
  • Age: 25
  • Pro Record: 11-3
  • UFC Record: 1-2
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Bogdan Grad
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Lucas Almeida, a 5-2 grappler and an 11-4 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Aswell by decision.


Michael Page vs Sam Patterson

  • Michael Page
  • Age: 38
  • Pro Record: 24-3
  • UFC Record: 1-1 at 170 lbs. 3-1 overall
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 28-5 grapper, a well rounded 17-3 fighter, a 9-3 striker, a well rounded 19-4 fighter, a well rounded 6-0 fighter and a 9-2 striker. Submitted a well rounded 7-1 fighter. Beat Jared Cannonier, Shara Magomedov, an 8-0 wrestler. Split decision over Douglas Lima.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Sam Patterson
  • Age: 29
  • UFC Record: 5-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted Kiefer Crosbie, Yohan Lainesse, an 8-1 grappler and a 14-1 grappler. Knocked out Trey Waters, Danny Barlow, and a 9-3 striker. Beat an 18-6 grappler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Patterson by 2nd round submission.


Iwo Baraniewski vs Austen Lane

  • Iwo Baraniewski
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 7-0
  • UFC Record: 2-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Ibo Aslan and a 4-0 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Austen Lane
  • Age: 38
  • UFC Record: 2-5
  • Key Losses: Knocked out by a 7-4 striker.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Juan Adams and a 3-1 striker. Beat Robelis Despagne.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Baraniewski by 1st round knockout.


Roman Dolidze vs Christian Leroy Duncan

  • Roman Dolidze
  • Age: 37
  • UFC Record: 8-4 at 185 lbs. 9-4 overall.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Kevin Holland, Jack Hermansson, Phil Hawes, Kyle Daukaus, a well rounded 8-3 fighter, a well rounded 15-4 fighter, and a 13-3 wrestler. Beat Laureano Staropoli. Split decision over John Allan.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Christian Leroy Duncan
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 6-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Marco Tulio, Eryk Anders, Claudio Ribeiro, Dennis Tiuliulin, a 5-0 grappler, an 8-0 wrestler, and a 10-2 striker. Beat Andrey Pulyaev.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Dolidze by decision.


Kurtis Campbell vs Danny Silva

  • Kurtis Campbell
  • Age: 23
  • Pro Record: 8-0
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 10-2 fighter. Submitted a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Beat a 5-0 striker and a 5-0 grappler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Danny Silva
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 10-2
  • UFC Record: 3-1
  • Key Losses: Majority decision loss to Canaan Kawaihae.
  • Key Wins: Beat a 7-1 striker and a 4-0 wrestler. Split decision wins over Lucas Almeida and Josh Culibao.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Silva by decision.


Mason Jones vs Axel Sola

  • Mason Jones
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 3-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Bolaji Oki, a well rounded 8-1 fighter and a 6-2 grappler, and a 12-1 wrestler. Beat Jeremy Stephens and David Onama.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Axel Sola
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 11-0-1
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Rhys McKee, a 5-0 striker, a well rounded 4-0 fighter, and a 4-0 grappler. Beat a 6-1 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Jones by 1st round knockout.


Nathaniel Wood vs Losene Keita

  • Nathaniel Wood
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 10-3
  • Key Wins: Submitted Johnny Eduardo and Jose Quinonez, Beat Jose Delgado, Morgan Charriere, Daniel Pineda, Andre Fili, Charles Jourdain, and Charles Rosa.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Losene Keita
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 16-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 16-1 wrestler, a well rounded 10-2 fighter, a 5-1 striker, a well rounded 9-3 fighter, and an 8-1 striker. Beat a well rounded 17-4 fighter and a well rounded 12-1 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Wood by decision.


Brando Pericic vs Louie Sutherland

  • Brando Pericic
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 5-1
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-1 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Louie Sutherland
  • Age: 32
  • Pro Record: 10-4
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 4-1 fighter and a well rounded 4-1 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Sutherland by 1st round knockout.


Mantas Kondratavicius vs Antonio Trocoli

  • Mantas Kondratavicius
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 7-1
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 7-0 striker. Submitted a 5-2 striker.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)
  • Antonio Trocoli
  • Age: 35
  • Pro Record: 12-6
  • UFC Record: 0-3
  • Key Losses: Knocked out by a 7-3 striker.
  • Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 7-1 fighter and a 3-1 grappler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Trocoli by 2nd round submission.


Mick Parkin vs Mario Pinto

  • Mick Parkin
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 5-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Lukasz Brzeski. Submitted Eduardo Neves. Beat Mohammed Usman, Caio Machado, and Jamal Pogues.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Mario Pinto
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 11-0
  • UFC Record: 3-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Jhonata Diniz, Austen Lane and a 6-0 striker. Beat a 5-1 striker and a well rounded 8-3 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Pinto by 2nd round knockout.


Melissa Mullins vs Luana Carolina

  • Melissa Mullins
  • Age: 34
  • Pro Record: 6-2
  • UFC Record: 1-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Klaudia Sygula, a 7-0 striker. Beat Irina Alekseeva and a 3-1 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Luana Carolina
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 6-4
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Joanne Wood.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Julija Stoliarenko. Beat Lucie Pudilova, Ivana Petrovic, an 8-2 striker, and a 7-0 wrestler. Split decision over Poliana Botelho.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Carolina by split decision.


Shem Rock vs Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

  • Shem Rock
  • Age: 32
  • Pro Record: 11-2-1
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 6-1 fighter. Submitted a 4-1 striker and a 7-1 wrestler. Split decision win over a 15-9 wrestler.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)
  • Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 15-4
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Losses: Knocked out by a 6-7 striker.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-2 grappler, a well rounded 21-4 fighter and a 3-0 grappler. Submitted an 8-3 wrestler. Beat a well rounded 12-1 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Al-Selwady by decision.


Shanelle Dyer vs Ravena Oliveira

  • Shanelle Dyer
  • Age: 24
  • Pro Record: 6-1
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out an 8-2 grappler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Ravena Oliveira
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 7-3-1
  • UFC Record: 0-2
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Dyer by split decision.