Melquizael Costa vs Arnold Allen
- Melquizael Costa
- Age: 29
- UFC Record: 6-2
- Key Wins: Submitted Nuerdanbieke Shayilan. Knocked out Dan Ige, Morgan Charriere, a 14-2 striker. Beat Julian Erosa, Christian Rodriguez, Austin Lingo, a 4-0 striker, a 9-3 wrestler, and a 13-4 striker.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Arnold Allen
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 11-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out Calvin Kattar and Dan Hooker. Beat Giga Chikadze, Sodiq Yusuff, Nik Lentz, and Gilbert Melendez. Split decision over Makwan Amirkhani.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Allen’s durability and proven 5 round cardio is going to help him pull away late in the fight.
Chris’ Pick: Allen by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Allen -200
Daniel Santos vs Doo Ho Choi
- Daniel Santos
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 4-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Joo Sang Yoo, John Castaneda, a well rounded 8-0 fighter and a well rounded 7-0 fighter. Submitted a 7-2 striker. Beat Jeong Yeong Lee, Johnny Munoz Jr., and a well rounded 11-3-1 fighter.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Doo Ho Choi
- Age: 35
- UFC Record: 5-3-1
- Key Draws: Fought Kyle Nelson to a majority draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Nate Landwehr, Bill Algeo, Thiago Tavares and Sam Siscilia.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Turns out I was over rating Landwehr, but despite that, Choi definitely leveled up as he out struck Landwehr 62 to 15.
Chris’ Pick: Choi by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Choi -135
Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz
- Malcolm Wellmaker
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 10-1
- UFC Record: 3-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Kris Moutinho, Cameron Saaiman, a 13-2 striker, and a 5-2 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Juan DIaz
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 15-1-1
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 14-5 striker. Submitted an 11-3 striker. Beat a 9-2 wrestler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Wellmaker by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Wellmaker -225
Christian Edwards vs Modestas Bukauskas
- Christian Edwards
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 8-4
- Key Wins: Beat an 8-1 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Modestas Bukauskas
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 7-5
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Michal Oleksiejczuk.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Paul Craig, Raffael Cerqueira, Andreas Michaildis, a well rounded 5-0 fighter and an 8-1 striker. Submitted Marcin Prachnio. Beat Zac Pauga and Tyson Pedro. Split decision over Ion Cutelaba.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Edwards recent fight with Luke Fernandez in Cage Fury gives a good gauge where his skills are at and it’s possible that Edwards’ wrestling could be as low as a 55 but I think he just gassed out towards the end of the Hernandez fight and that I think the tool is closer to a 60.
Chris’ Pick: Bukauskas by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Bukauskas -250
Bernardo Sopai vs Timmy Cuamba
- Bernardo Sopaj
- Age: 25
- Pro Record: 12-3
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out an 11-4 wrestler and a well rounded 4-1 fighter. Beat Ricky Turcios and a 6-0 wrestler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Timmy Cuamba
- Age: 27
- UFC Record: 3-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Beat Chang Ho Lee and a well rounded 8-2 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Sopai by 2nd round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Sopai -250
Khaos Williams vs Nikolay Veretennikov
- Khaos Williams
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 6-4
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Randy Brown.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Carlston Harris, Miguel Baeza, Abdul Razak Alhassan, and Alex Morono. Beat Matthew Semelsberger and a well rounded 9-3 fighter. Split decision over Rolando Bedoya.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Nikolay Veretennikov
- Age: 36
- UFC Record: 2-4
- Key Wins: Knocked out Anthony Ivy and a 5-2 grappler. Beat an 8-1 wrestler. Split decision over Francisco Prado.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Williams by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Williams -135
Ivan Erslan vs Tuco Tokkos
- Ivan Erslan
- Age: 34
- Pro Record: 14-6
- UFC Record: 0-3
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Ion Cutelaba.
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 10-1 fighter, an 11-4 striker, a well rounded 8-3 fighter. Beat a well rounded 10-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Tuco Tokkos
- Age: 35
- Pro Record: 11-5
- UFC Record: 1-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 4-1 striker and a 9-3 wrestler. Submitted Junior Tafa and a well rounded 5-1 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Erslan by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Erslan -250
Thomas Gantt vs Artur Minev
- Thomas Gantt
- Age: 33
- Pro Record: 11-0
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 5-0 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Artur Minev
- Age: 22
- Pro Record: 7-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 4-1 fighter.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: a little above average (60)
Watched Minev’s second to last fight. Wasn’t overly impressed, Minev took on a well rounded 27-12 fighter and Minev got dropped and almost lost the fight, won by majority decision.
Chris’ Pick: Gantt by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Gantt -250
Ketlen Vieira vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti
- Ketlen Vieira
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 9-5
- Key Losses: Split decision losses to Norma Dumont and Raquel Pennington.
- Key Wins: Submitted Sara McMann. Beat Macy Chiasson, Pannie Kianzad, Miesha Tate, Sijara Eubanks, and Ashley Evans-Smith. Split decision over Holly Holm.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
- Jacqueline Cavalcanti
- Age: 28
- UFC Record: 5-0
- Key Wins: Beat Mayra Bueno Silva, Julia Avila, Josiane Nunes, Zarah Fairn, and a 4-1 striker. Split decision over Nora Cornolle.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Vieira by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Vieira -225
Andre Petroski vs Cody Brundage
- Andre Petroski
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 7-4
- Key Wins: Submitted Nick Maximov and Yaozong Hu. Beat Dylan Budka, Josh Fremd, and Wellington Turman. Split decision over Gerald Meerschaert.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Cody Brundage
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 5-9-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Donte Johnson.
- Key Draws: Fought Mansur Abdul-Malik to a draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Julian Marquez, Zachary Reese and Tresean Gore. Submitted Dalcha Lungiambula and a 4-1 grappler. Split decision loss to Eric McConico.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Petroski by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Petroski -225
Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana
- Alice Ardelean
- Age: 33
- Pro Record: 11-7
- UFC Record: 2-2
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Shauna Bannon.
- Key Wins: Submitted a 3-0 striker. Beat Montserrat Conejo Ruiz and Rayanne dos Santos.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Polyana Viana
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 4-7
- Key Losses: Submitted by Veronica Macedo. Split decision loss to Hannah Cifers.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Jinh Yu Frey and Amanda Ribas back in 2015. Submitted Mallory Martin and Emily Whitmire.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: a little above (55)
Chris’ Pick: Ardelean by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Ardelean -350
Daniel Barez vs Luis Gurule
- Daniel Barez
- Age: 37
- Pro Record: 17-7
- UFC Record: 1-3
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Carlos Hernandez.
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 10-2 striker. Submitted a 6-0 grappler. Beat Victor Altamirano and a 3-0 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Luis Gurule
- Age: 32
- Pro Record: 10-3
- UFC Record: 1-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 3-0 fighter and a well rounded 3-0 fighter. Beat a well rounded 7-2 fighter, a 12-4 wrestler, and a 9-3 wrestler. Split decision over Nick Piccininni.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Barez has only had 4 fights in the last 3 years. Very inactive. And possible I’m over rating his striking, could be a 55.
Chris’ Pick: Gurule by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Gurule -200
Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari
- Shauna Bannon
- Age: 32
- Pro Record: 7-2
- UFC Record: 2-2
- Key Wins: Submitted Puja Tomar. Knocked out a well rounded 3-0 fighter. Beat a 3-0-1 striker. Split decision over Alice Ardelean.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Nicolle Caliari
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 8-4
- UFC Record: 1-2
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Ernesta Kareeckaite.
- Key Wins: Submitted Corinne Laframboise, a well rounded 8-2 fighter and a well rounded 6-2 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Pretty sure if Sam Hughes was able to out class Bannon on the ground that Caliari will be able to do the same thing.
Chris’ Pick: Caliari by 1st round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Caliari -300