Song vs Figueiredo, Zhang vs Menifield, Pavlovich vs Teixeira Fight Picks – May 30, 2026

Yadong Song vs Deiveson Figueiredo

  • Yadong Song
  • Age: 28
  • UFC Record: 11-4-1
  • Key Draws: Fought Cody Stamann to a draw.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Ricky Simon, Marlon Moraes, Julio Arce, Felipe Arantes, and Alejandro Perez. Beat Henry Cejudo, Chris Gutierrez, Marlon Vera. Split decision over Casey Kenney.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
  • Deiveson Figueiredo  
  • Age: 38
  • UFC Record: 4-3 at 135 lbs. 14-5-1 overall.
  • Key Draws: Fought Brandon Moreno to a majority draw.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Joseph Benavidez, Marco Beltran, and John Moraga. Submitted Cody Garbrandt, Alex Perez, and Tim Elliott. Beat Marlon Vera, Rob Font, Moreno, and Alex Pantoja. Split decision over Montel Jackson.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Grappling: plus (70)

I think this fight will look similar to how Figueiredo vs Umar Nurmagomedov went, especially with it being 5 rounds.

Chris’ Pick: Song by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Song -200


Mingyang Zhang vs Alonzo Menifield

  • Mingyang Zhang
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 18-7
  • UFC Record: 3-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Anthony Smith, Brendson Ribeiro, a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Submitted a 4-0 grappler.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Alonzo Menifield
  • Age: 38
  • UFC Record: 12-6-1
  • Key Draws: Fought Crute to a majority draw.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Jimmy Crute. Knocked out Misha Cirkunov, Paul Craig, a 9-1 grappler, and a well rounded 8-1 fighter. Beat Oumar Sy, Dustin Jacoby. Split decision over Julius Walker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Zhang by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Zhang -250


Sergei Pavlovich vs Tallison Teixeira

  • Sergei Pavlovich
  • Age: 33
  • UFC Record: 8-3
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Curtis Blaydes and Tai Tuivasa, Derrick Lewis, Shamil Abdurakhimov, and Maurice Greene. Beat Waldo Cortes Acosta and Jairzinho Rozenstruik.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Tallison Teixeira
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 9-1
  • UFC Record: 3-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked Justin Tafa, out a 6-1 striker and a 4-1 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Pavlovich by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Pavlovich -225


Kai Asakura vs Cameron Smotherman

  • Kai Asakura
  • Age: 32
  • Pro Record: 21-6
  • UFC Record: 0-2
  • Key Losses: Knocked out by Kyoji Horiguchi and Manel Kape. Lost to a 24-5 wrestler.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Heili Alateng and a 29-4 striker. Beat Topnoi Kiwram. Split decision over Manel Kape.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Cameron Smotherman
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 12-6
  • UFC Record: 1-3
  • Key Wins: Beat Jake Hadley. Split decision win over a well rounded 2-1 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Smotherman by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Smotherman -135


Muslim Salikhov vs Jake Matthews

  • Muslim Salikhov
  • Age: 41
  • UFC Record: 9-5
  • Key Losses: Submitted by Alex Garcia.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Carlos Leal, Kenan Song, Andre Fialho, Nordine Taleb, a 5-1 striker, and a well rounded 6-2 fighter. Beat Francisco Trinaldo, Laureano Staropoli, and an 8-1 wrestler. Split decision wins over Santiago Ponzinibbio and Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Jake Matthews
  • Age: 31
  • UFC Record: 14-7
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Andrew Holbrook.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Chidi Njokuani and Darrius Flowers. Beat Francisco Prado, Phil Rowe, and Jingliang Li.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Matthews by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Matthews -135


Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji

  • Alex Perez
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 9-6
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Charles Johnson, Matheus Nicolau, Jussier Formiga and Jose Torres. Submitted Jordan Espinosa. Beat Mark de la Rosa and Eric Shelton.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Sumudaerji
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 6-4
  • Key Losses: Submitted by Louis Smolka and a 10-4 grappler.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Malcolm Gordon, a well rounded 5-0-1 fighter, and a 4-0 grappler. Beat Jesus Aguilar, Kevin Borjas and Zarrukh Adashev. Split decision over Mitch Raposo.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Perez by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Perez -300


Luis Dias de Assis vs Yi Sak Lee

  • Luis Dias de Assis
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 17-5
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 9-2 fighter. Submitted a 6-0 striker, a 10-3 striker, and a 4-0 striker.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Yi Sak Lee
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 8-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 5-1 striker.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Dias de Assis by 2nd round submission.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Dias de Assis -135


Jose Henrique vs Meng Ding

  • Jose Henrique
  • Age: 23
  • Pro Record: 8-1
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Split decision win over a well rounded 5-0-1 fighter.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)
  • Meng Ding
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 35-9
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Losses: Knocked out by a 3-2 striker and a well rounded 28-17 fighter.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 4-0 striker, another 4-0 striker, and a 6-0 striker.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Ding by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Ding -135


Cody Haddon vs Aoriqileng

  • Cody Haddon
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 8-1
  • UFC Record: 2-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-0 striker. Beat Dan Argueta.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Aoriqileng
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 4-4
  • Key WIns: Submitted a 9-2 striker. Knocked out Cody Gibson, Cameron Else, and a well rounded 5-1 fighter. Beat Johnny Munoz Jr, Jay Perrin, and a 5-0 grappler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

I know 100% for sure that Argueta’s striking isn’t worse than a 60. So it was really impressive to see Haddon out strike him 130 to 42. Total wipeout. Equally impressive was Haddon’s ability to keep up with Argueta’s pace as he stuffed 20 of Argueta’s 24 take down attempts. 

Chris’ Pick: Haddon by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Haddon -400


Rei Tsuruya vs Jesus Aguilar

  • Rei Tsuruya
  • Age: 23
  • UFC Record: 4-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Niushiyue Ji and a 4-1 wrestler. Submitted a 7-0 striker and an 8-3 wrestler. Beat Carlos Hernandez and Mark Climaco.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Jesus Aguilar
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 5-3
  • Key Wins: Submitted Stewart Nicoll, Edgar Chairez, an 11-1 striker, a well rounded 5-2 fighter, and a well rounded 8-3 fighter. Knocked out Shannon Ross. Beat Luis Gurule and a 6-2 grappler. Split decision over Mateus Mendonca.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Tsuruya by 1st round submission.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Tsuruya -400


Angela Hill vs Jingnan Xiong

  • Angela Hill
  • Age: 41
  • UFC Record: 12-13
  • Key Losses: Split decision losses to Amanda Lemos, Michelle Waterson, and Claudia Gadelha.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Luana Pinheiro. Knocked out Hannah Cifers. Beat Denise Gomes, Emily Ducote, Loopy Godinez, Ashley Yoder, and Maryna Moroz. Split decision wins over Ketlen Souza and Livinha Souza.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Jingnan Xiong
  • Age: 38
  • Pro Record: 19-2
  • Key Wins: Beat a well rounded 9-1 fighter and a 6-2 grappler, a well rounded 22-7 fighter, and an 11-3 grappler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Hill by split decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Hill -135


Kangjie Zhu vs Rodrigo Vera

  • Kangjie Zhu
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 21-4
  • UFC Record: 3-0
  • Key Losses: Lost to a 10-10 striker.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-3 grappler. Beat a well rounded 14-3 fighter and a well rounded 4-0 fighter. Split decision wins over Bin Xie and Shin Haraguchi.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: near plus (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)
  • Rodrigo Vera
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 21-1-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-3 grappler. Beat Juan Diaz, a well rounded 10-1 fighter, and a 13-0 grappler, and a well rounded 15-5-1 fighter.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Look, I know Vera has the glossy record and trains at Chute Boxe, but I watched him take on a well rounded 10-1 fighter and was a little let down. The opponent’s record is really padded, so much so, I thought the opponent had 50 tools. And Vera won, but he didn’t dominate the way I thought he would.

Chris’ Pick: Zhu by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Zhu -135


Jaqueline Amorim vs Loma Lookboonmee

  • Jaqueline Amorim
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 4-2
  • Key Wins: Submitted Polyana Viana, Vanessa Demopoulos, and Cory McKenna. Knocked out Montserrat Conejo.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Loma Lookboonmee
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 7-3
  • Key Losses: Submitted by a 1-1 grappler.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Elise Reed. Beat Istela Nunes, Bruna Brasil, Denise Gomes, Sam Hughes and Jinh Yu Frey. Split decision over Aleksandra Albu.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Amorim by 2nd round submission.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Amorim -250