Quillan Salkilld vs Mateusz Gamrot
- Quillan Salkilld
- Age: 26
- UFC Record: 6-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Beneil Dariush, Jamie Mullarkey, Nasrat Haqparast, Anshul Jubli, a 3-1 grappler, and a 6-1 striker. Submitted a well rounded 4-1 fighter. Beat Yanal Ashmouz and a 9-1 striker.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Mateusz Gamrot
- Age: 35
- UFC Record: 9-4
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Dan Hooker.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Diego Ferreira, Scott Holtzman, Norman Parke, a well rounded 9-1-1 fighter, a 16-0-1 grappler, and a 15-3 striker. Submitted Esteban Ribovics, Jeremy Stephens, and a 9-1 grappler. Beat Ludovit Klein, Rafael dos Anjos, Arman Tsarukyan, a 12-3-1 wrestler, a 24-4 grappler, a 21-7 grappler, and a 12-3 grappler. Split decision over Jalin Turner.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Gamrot’s wrestling is a border line 75. Salkilld has 4 first round finishes in his last 5 UFC fights. I’m not sure what his cardio looks, especially over 5 rounds. I think Gamrot is durable enough to survive the 1st round and take over in the 2nd half of the fight.
Chris’ Pick: Gamrot by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Gamrot -200
Diego Ferreira vs Billy Quarantillo
- Diego Ferreira
- Age: 41
- UFC record: 9-7
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Beneil Dariush.
- Key Wins: Submitted Anthony Pettis. Knocked out Michael Johnson. Beat Oliver Aubin-Mercier, Rustam Khalibov, and Mairbek Taisumov.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Billy Quarantillo
- Age: 37
- UFC Record: 7-5
- Key Losses: Knocked out by Michel Quinones.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Alexander Hernandez, Gabriel Benitez, Kyle Nelson, a well rounded 8-2 fighter, a 5-1 wrestler, and a well rounded 6-2 fighter. Beat Damon Jackson and Spike Carlyle.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Ferreira by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Ferreira -135
Yadier del Valle vs Darren Elkins
- Yadier Del Valle
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 10-1
- UFC Record: 3-1
- Key Wins: Submitted Connor Matthews and a 3-0 wrestler. Beat a 17-5 wrestler, Michael Aswell, a 3-0 grappler, and a 4-1 wrestler.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: fringe average (45)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Darren Elkins
- Age: 42
- UFC Record: 19-11
- Key Wins: Knocked out Darrick Minner and Mirsad Bektic. Submitted TJ Brown, Luiz Garagorri. Beat Daniel Pineda, Chas Skelly, and Godofredo Pepey. Split decision over Dennis Bermudez.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: fringe average (45)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
It is possible Jordan Leavitt at featherweight was able to level up his skills and that I’ve downgraded del Valle too much.
Chris’ Pick: del Valle by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: del Valle -135
Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara
- Amanda Lemos
- Age: 39
- UFC Record: 8-6
- Key Wins: Knocked out Montserrat Ruiz and Livinha Souza. Submitted Michelle Waterson and Miranda Granger. Beat Iasmin Lucindo, MacKenzie Dern, and Mizuki Inoue. Split decision over Angela Hill.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Alexia Thainara
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 14-1
- UFC Record: 4-0
- Key Wins: Submitted Molly McCann and Rayanne dos Santos. Knocked out a 3-1 striker. Beat Bruna Brasil, Loma Lookboonmee, a well rounded 7-0 fighter, and a well rounded 5-2 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Lemos by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Lemos -225
Ty Miller vs Billy Ray Goff
- Ty Miller
- Age: 26
- Pro Record: 7-0
- UFC Record: 2-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Adam Fugitt. Beat a 7-2 striker.
- Striking: above average (70)
- Power: average (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Billy Ray Goff
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 9-4
- UFC Record: 2-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Yusaku Kinoshita, a 9-1 striker, 3-0 grappler and a 5-0 striker, and a well rounded 7-2 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Miller by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Miller -225
Steven Asplund vs Guilherme Pat
- Steven Asplund
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 7-2
- UFC Record: 2-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Sean Sharaf, a 4-0 striker, and a well rounded 3-1 fighter. Beat a 5-1 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Guilherme Pat
- Age: 32
- Pro Record: 6-1
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Losses: Majority loss to Thomas Petersen.
- Key Wins: Beat Allen Frye.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Slight possibility that Asplund’s striking is a 60. Haven’t see enough of his stand up yet.
Chris’ Pick: Asplund by 3rd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Asplund -200
Bruno Lopes vs Diyar Nurgozhay
- Bruno Lopes
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 2-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out Gregory Rodrigues and a 13-2 striker. Submitted a well rounded 10-3 fighter. Beat Magomed Gadzhiyasulov and a well rounded 5-0 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Diyar Nurkozhay
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 11-2
- UFC Record: 2-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 8-2-1 fighter. Beat Rafael Tobias and a 12-3 grappler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Nurgozhay’s striking might have leveled up to a 65 but that all depends on how good Rafael Tobias is.
Chris’ Pick: Lopes by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Lopes -225
Louie Sutherland vs Jose Luiz Montanha
- Louie Sutherland
- Age: 32
- Pro Record: 11-5
- UFC Record: 1-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 4-1 fighter and a well rounded 4-1 fighter. Beat Tai Tuivasa.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Jose Luiz Montanha
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 5-1
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Sutherland by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Sutherland -400
Manoel Sousa vs Richie Miranda
- Manoel Sousa
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 14-1
- UFC Record: 2-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Bolaji Oki, Mauricio Ruffy, a well rounded 12-1 fighter, and a well rounded 13-4 fighter. Beat a well rounded 8-2-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Richie Miranda
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 13-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-0 wrestler. Submitted an 8-1 striker and a well rounded 4-0-1 fighter. Beat a 7-0 striker, a well rounded 5-1 fighter, and a well rounded 8-3 fighter. Split decision over a well rounded 4-1 fighter.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: fringe average (45)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Sousa by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Sousa -350
Miles Johns vs Gianni Vazquez
- Miles Johns
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 7-5
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Jean Matsumoto.
- Key Wins: Submitted a 5-0 striker. Beat Douglas Silva de Andrade, Vince Morales, a 7-1 grappler, a well rounded 11-3 fighter, and a well rounded 6-2 fighter. Knocked out Kevin Natividad. Beat Cody Gibson. Split decision over Cole Smith and a 7-2 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Gianni Vazquez
- Age: 32
- Pro Record: 14-6
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 5-2 fighter. Split decision over David Martinez.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Vazquez is a flyweight and was getting ready for a flyweight fight but has taken this fight on a couple days. His last fight in the UFC against Javid Basharat was at bantamweight and now he’s fighting here at featherweight against a bantamweight. Vazquez is better than his record says, but his tools aren’t going to play up as much at the higher weight class.
Chris’ Pick: Johns by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Johns -250
Juliana Miller vs Ravena Oliveira
- Juliana Miller
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 2-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out Brogan Walker. Beat Ivana Petrovic.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Ravena Oliveira
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 7-4-1
- UFC Record: 0-3
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: Miller by 2nd round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Miller -225
Carol Foro vs Giovanna Canuto
- Carol Foro
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 9-1
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 7-2 striker. Beat Shanelle Dyer.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Giovanna Canuto
- Age: 23
- Pro Record: 7-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 3-0 fighter. Submitted a 5-2 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Foro by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Foro -200