Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez
- Uros Medic
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 8-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out Geoff Neal, Muslim Salikhov, Gilbert Urbina, Matthew Semelsberger, Omar Morales, Aalon Cruz, and a 7-1 striker.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Daniel Rodriguez
- Age: 39
- UFC Record: 10-4
- Key Wins: Submitted Tim Means and a 7-2 grappler. Knocked out Santiago Ponzinibbio, Dwight Grant, a well rounded 4-0 fighter. Beat Kevin Holland, Kevin Lee, Mike Perry and a 7-2 striker. Split decision over Alex Morno and Jingliang Li.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Rodriguez’s striking was close to equal with Holland in Rodriguez’s last fight but I don’t think Rodriguez is leveling up at 39 years old.
Chris’ Pick: Medic by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Medic -225
Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling
- Jan Blachowicz
- Age: 43
- UFC Record: 12-8-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Alex Pereira.
- Key Draws: Fought Bogdan Guskov and Magomed Ankalaev to a draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Aleksandar Rakic, Dominick Reyes, Corey Anderson, Luke Rockhold, and Ilir Latifi. Submitted Nikita Krylov and Devin Clark. Beat Israel Adesanya, Jared Cannonier, and Jimi Manuwa. Split decision over Jacare Souza.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Navajo Stirling
- Age: 28
- UFC Record: 6-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Ion Cutelaba, Bruno Lopes, and a 6-1 striker. Beat Rodolfo Bellato, Ivan Erslan, and Tuco Tokkos.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: near plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Stirling by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Stirling -135
Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura
- Aleksandar Rakic
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 6-5
- Key Wins: Knocked out Devin Clark and Jimi Manuwa. Beat Thiago Santos and Anthony Smith.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Marcin Tybura
- Age: 40
- UFC Record: 12-10
- Key Wins: Knocked out Jhonata Diniz, Walt Harris, and Greg Hardy. Submitted Tai Tuivasa. Beat Mick Parkin, Blagoi Ivanov, Andrei Arlovski, and Sergei Spivac. Majority decision over Alexandr Romanov.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Rakic by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Rakic -135
Dusko Todorovic vs Robert Valentin
- Dusko Todorovic
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 5-5
- Key Wins: Knocked out Jordan Wright, Maki Pitolo, Michel Pereira, and a well rounded 8-0 fighter in his 3rd pro fight. Submitted Jose Medina and an 8-1 striker. Beat a 14-4 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Robert Valentin
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 11-6
- UFC Record: 1-3
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Torrez Finney.
- Key Wins: Submitted Julien Leblanc, a 6-1 striker, a 10-3 wrestler, and an 11-3 grappler.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
Valentin looked much, much improved in his last fight with Julien LeBlanc, but then again, we don’t really know how good LeBlanc is.
Chris’ Pick: Todorovic by 2nd round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Todorovic -225
Vlastislav Cepo vs Gilbert Urbina
- Vlastislav Cepo
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 14-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 12-2 striker, a 7-2 striker, another 7-2 striker, and a 6-1 striker. Submitted a well rounded 8-3 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Gilbert Urbina
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 7-4
- UFC Record: 1-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out Orion Cosce. Submitted a well rounded 5-0 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Cepo by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Cepo -300
Milos Janicic vs Noah Gugnon
- Milos Janicic
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 19-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 8-0 striker, an 11-2 striker, and an 8-1 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
- Noah Gugnon
- Age: 25
- Pro Record: 9-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-1 striker, a well rounded 6-1 fighter, a 4-1 grappler, a 5-0 grappler, and a well rounded 10-3-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Gugnon by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Gugnon -225
Ludovit Klein vs Tofiq Musayev
- Ludovit Klein
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 8-3-1
- Key Draws: Fought Jai Herbert to a majority draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out AJ Cunningham, Shane Young, a 13-1 striker, a 14-5 grappler, and a well rounded 11-4 fighter. Beat Roosevelt Roberts, Thiago Moises, Ignacio Bahamondes, Mason Jones, and an 11-2 striker. Split decision over Devonte Smith. Majority decision over Mateusz Rebecki.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Tofiq Musayev
- Age: 36
- Pro Record: 23-6
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 16-4 grappler, a 12-4 striker, a 18-1-1 grappler, a well rounded 11-3 fighter, and a well rounded 10-2 fighter. Beat Ignacio Bahamondes.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near (70)
Chris’ Pick: Musayev by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Musayev -135
Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira
- Oban Elliott
- Age: 28
- UFC Record: 4-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Bassil Hafez. Beat Preston Parsons, Valentine Woodburn and a well rounded 6-2 fighter. Majority decision over a 17-4 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Michael Oliveira
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 9-0
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 12-3 fighter, a 3-0 striker, and a well rounded 4-1 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: Elliott by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Elliott -250
Mark Vologdin vs Borislav Nikolic
- Mark Vologdin
- Age: 26
- Pro Record: 12-4-2
- UFC Record: 0-1-1
- Key Draws: Fought John Castaneda to a majority draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 4-1 striker and a 4-1 striker. Submitted a well rounded 5-2 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Borislav Nikolic
- Age: 33
- Pro Record: 16-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 14-3 wrestler, a 7-0 striker, and a well rounded 6-1 fighter. Submitted a well rounded 20-4 fighter and a 9-1 wrestler. Beat a 4-1 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: above average (60)
It’s possible Vologdin’s grappling is a 65 but after seeing him fail to take Castaneda down it’s probably closer to a 60.
Chris’ Pick: Vologdin by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Vologdin -125
Bogdan Grad vs Dennis Buzukja
- Bogdan Grad
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 2-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out Lucas Alexander and a 4-0 grappler. Submitted a well rounded 6-2 fighter. Beat a well rounded 17-6 fighter. Split decision over a 9-1 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Dennis Buzukja
- Age: 28
- UFC Record: 2-4
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Francis Marshall.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Connor Matthews.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Grad by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Grad -250
Mateusz Rebecki vs Kyle Prepolec
- Mateusz Rebecki
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 5-4
- Key Losses: Majority decision loss to Ludovit Klein.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Loik Radzhabov, a well rounded 18-5 fighter, a 8-1 striker, a 12-1 striker, a 12-2 grappler, a 12-2 wrestler, and a well rounded 8-2 fighter. Submitted Roosevelt Roberts, a 12-2 striker. Beat Nick Fiore and a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Split decision over Myktybek Orolbai.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Kyle Prepolec
- Age: 36
- Pro Record: 18-9
- UFC Record: 0-4
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-0 wrestler and a 4-0 grappler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: Rebecki by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Rebecki -500
Nina Milosevic vs Hailey Cowan
- Nina Milosevic
- Age: 29
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 4-1 fighter. Beat a 4-0 grappler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Hailey Cowan
- Age: 34
- Pro Record: 7-5
- UFC Record: 1-3
- Key Losses: Submitted by a 1-2 fighter.
- Key Wins: Split decision over an 8-2 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Milosevic by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Milosevic -135
Jovan Leka vs Alexander Poppeck
- Jovan Leka
- Age: 24
- Pro Record: 13-2
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-0 striker. Beat a well rounded 14-1 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Alexander Poppeck
- Age: 34
- Pro Record: 21-5
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to a well rounded 13-11 fighter.
- Key Wins: Submitted a 7-1 striker. Beat a 21-6 grappler, 7-2 striker, and a 7-2 grappler.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
Poppeck normally fights at light heavyweight but he’s moving up here because of the short notice. At heavyweight, it’s possible Poppeck’s tools could be 50’s.
Chris’ Pick: Leka by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Leka -250
Stephanie Luciano vs Marina Spasic
- Stephanie Luciano
- Age: 26
- Pro Record: 7-2-1
- UFC Record: 2-1-1
- Key Loses: Split decision loss to Sam Hughes.
- Key Draws: Fought Talita Alencar to a draw.
- Key Wins: Submitted Ravena Oliveira. Beat Talita Alencar and a 5-0 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Marina Spasic
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 7-1
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
It’s possible I could be over rating Spasic’s wrestling, could be a closer to a 60.
Chris’ Pick: Luciano by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Luciano -135