Novenyi Jr vs Haig, Ortega vs Dasuyev, Guaylupo vs Connor Fight Picks – Contender Series – September 22, 2026

Norbert Novenyi Jr vs Theo Haig

  • Norbert Novenyi Jr
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 10-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 7-1 fighter and a 9-2 wrestler. Beat a well rounded 6-1 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)
  • Theo Haig
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 7-1
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 3-0 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

If Novenyi Jr was taken down and controlled by an 8-1 wrestler, just a couple years ago, I think the chances of Haig doing the same is pretty good.

Chris’ Pick: Haig by 1st round submission.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Haig -225


Jaden Ortega vs Alvi Dasuyev

  • Jaden Ortega
  • Age: 23
  • Pro Record: 6-0
  • Key Wins: Beat a well rounded 3-1 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Alvi Dasuyev
  • Age: 24
  • Pro Record: 9-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 5-0 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Ortega by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Ortega -225


Piero Guaylupo vs Callum Connor

  • Piero Guaylupo
  • Age: 21
  • Pro Record: 12-0
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)
  • Callum Connor
  • Age: 21
  • Pro Record: 8-0
  • Key Wins: Beat a well rounded 4-1 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)

Connor was taken down and controlled for almost the whole 1st round of his last fight. Possible his wrestling is only a 50.

Chris’ Pick: Guaylupo by 2nd round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Guaylupo -135


Marcos Degli vs Paris Moran

  • Marcos Degli
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 14-3
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-1 grappler, a well rounded 14-4 fighter, a well rounded 9-2 fighter, an 8-2 striker and a well rounded 3-0 fighter. Submitted a well rounded 4-0 fighter and a 6-1 striker. Beat a well rounded 9-1 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Paris Moran
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 14-3
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to a well rounded 13-11 fighter.
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 6-1 wrestler. Beat a well rounded 6-1 fighter and a well rounded 7-1 fighter. Beat a 7-1 wrestler. Split decision wins over a 10-2 striker and an 8-2 wrestler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Maybe i watched Degli on an off night but i was expecting more. Didn’t open up and throw that much.

Chris’ Pick: Degli by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Degli -135


Emilio Quissua vs Damian Piwowarczyk

  • Emilio Quissua
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 8-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out an 8-3 grappler. Beat a well rounded 12-4 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)
  • Damian Piwowarczyk
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 11-4
  • Key Losses: Submitted by a well rounded 19-8 fighter.
  • Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 6-0 fighter, a 3-0 striker, and a well rounded 7-0 fighter. Knocked out a 9-1 striker, a well rounded 8-3 fighter, and a 10-2 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Piwowarczyk by 1st round knockout.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Piwowarczyk -135