Raul Rosas Jr vs Raoni Barcelos
- Raul Rosas Jr
- Age: 21
- UFC Record: 7-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Terrence Mitchell. Submitted Ricky Turcios and Jay Perrin. Beat Rob Font, Vince Morales, Aoriqileng, and a 7-1 grappler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Raoni Barcelos
- Age: 39
- UFC Record: 11-4
- Key Losses: Majority decision loss to Timur Valiev.
- Key Wins: Submitted Cristian Quinonez and Chris Guttierez. Beat Ricky Simon, Cody Garbrandt, Payton Talbott, Trevin Jones, Khalid Taha, and Said Nurmagomedov. Split decision over Montel Jackson.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Barcelos by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Barcelos -225
Ailin Perez vs Norma Dumont
- Ailin Perez
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 6-1
- Key Wins: Submitted Dariya Zheleznyakova. Beat Macy Chiasson, Karol Rosa, Joselyne Edwards, Lucie Pudilova, and Ashlee Evans Smith
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
- Norma Dumont
- Age: 35
- UFC Record: 9-2
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Macy Chiasson.
- Key Wins: Beat Ketlen Vieira, Irene Aldana, Germaine de Randamie, Chelsea Chandler, Karol Rosa, Danyelle Wolf, Aspen Ladd and Ashlee Evans-Smith. Split decision win over Felicia Spencer.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Perez by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Perez -200
Luis Hernandez vs Sedriques Dumas
- Luis Hernandez
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 8-0
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Submitted a 7-1 striker and a well rounded 7-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Sedriques Dumas
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 4-5
- Key Wins: Submitted a 7-0 striker. Beat Denis Tiuliulin, Abu Azaitar, and Cody Brundage.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
After watching Hernandez vs Guillon, I really don’t think Guillon’s striking is any worse than a 55. That said, it was only one round, but Hernandez out struck Guillon 46 to 25. So part of me feels like grading Hernandez’s striking a 65 is a tad high, but I have it graded there for now because of what the numbers are. And also possible Hernandez’s grappling could be as high as a 65 too.
Chris’ Pick: Hernandez by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Hernandez -225
Ilimbek Akylbek vs Mehemmedali Osmanli
- Ilimbek Akylbek
- Age: 23
- Pro Record: 9-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 4-0 grappler. Submitted a 5-1 wrestler. Beat a well rounded 13-1 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Mehemmedali Osmanli
- Age: 22
- Pro Record: 11-1
- Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 10-0-1 fighter, a 3-0 striker, a 4-0 grappler, a 3-0 striker, and a well rounded 5-0 fighter. Knocked out a 4-0 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Osmanli by 2nd round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Osmanli -250
Tina Black vs Melissa Amaya
- Tina Black
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 15-4
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-1 grappler and a 4-0 grappler. Beat a 6-1 grappler, a 10-2 wrestler, and a well rounded 9-2-1 fighter. Split decision wins over a well rounded 12-2 fighter and a 3-0 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Melissa Amaya
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 8-0
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Black by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Black -200
Rinya Nakamura vs Brady Hiestand
- Rinya Nakamura
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 4-1
- Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 8-3 fighter. Knocked out Nathan Fletcher, a well rounded 10-2 fighter and a 9-2 grappler. Beat Carlos Vera, Fernie Garcia, and a 23-6 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Brady Hiestand
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 8-2
- UFC Record: 3-1
- Key Losses: Knocked out by a well rounded 10-4 fighter. Split decision loss to Rickt Turcios.
- Key Wins: Submitted Garrett Armfield. Knocked out Batgerel Danaa. Beat Fernie Garcia.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: Nakamura by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Nakamura -300
Robert Bryczek vs Rodolfo Vieira
- Robert Bryczek
- Age: 36
- Pro Record: 18-7
- UFC Record: 1-2
- Key Losses: Lost to a 6-4 wrestler.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Brad Tavares, a well rounded 16-5 fighter, a 7-1 striker, a 9-1 striker, a 7-2 wrestler, and a well rounded 4-0 fighter. Beat an 8-0 striker, a well rounded 5-1 fighter, and a 7-1 wrestler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Rodolfo Vieira
- Age: 36
- UFC Record: 5-5
- Key Wins: Submitted Cody Brundage, Dustin Stoltzfus, Oskar Piechota, Saparbek Safarov, and a well rounded 10-0 fighter. Beat Tresean Gore.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
I can’t grade Bryczek’s wrestling a 60 after getting out classed on the ground by Cam Rowston.
Chris’ Pick: Vieira by 2nd round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Vieira -225
Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards
- Rodolfo Bellato
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 3-2-1
- Key Draws: Fought Jimmy Crute to a majority draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Luke Fernandez, Ihor Potieria, a well rounded 6-0 fighter and a 4-1 striker. Submitted a 5-1 striker and an 11-4 striker. Beat a 15-5 wrestler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Christian Edwards
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 8-5
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Modestas Bukauskas.
- Key Wins: Beat an 8-1 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Bellato by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Bellato -135
Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell
- Elves Brener
- Age: 28
- UFC Record: 3-3
- Key Losses: Lost to a 10-7 wrestler.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Kaynan Kruschewsky and Guram Kutateladze. Submitted a 7-0 grappler, a 5-2 wrestler, and a well rounded 8-2 fighter. Split decision over Zubaira Tukhugov.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Josiah Harrell
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 11-1
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 3-0 fighter. Knocked out a 13-2 wrestler and a well rounded 5-0 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Brener by 2nd round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Brener -225
Ricky Simon vs Montel Jackson
- Ricky Simon
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 10-6-1
- Key Draws: Fought Adrian Yanez to a majority draw.
- Key Wins: Submitted Jack Shore and Merab Dvalishvili. Knocked out Javid Basharat and Raphael Assuncao. Beat Cameron Smotherman, Brian Kelleher, Montel Jackson, and Rani Yahya. Split decision over Ray Borg.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Montel Jackson
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 10-4
- Key Losses: Split decision losses to Raoni Barcelos and Deiveson Figueiredo.
- Key Wins: Submitted Brian Kelleher. Knocked out Da’Mon Blackshear and Rani Yahya. Beat Daniel Marcos, Julio Arce, JP Buys, and Felipe Corales.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: near plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Simon is very similar to Jackson’s last opponent Raoni Barcelos and I see this fight being similar.
Chris’ Pick: Simon by split decison.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Simon -135
John Castaneda vs Heili Alateng
- John Castaneda
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 4-4-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Chris Gutierrez.
- Key Draws: Fought Mark Vologdin to a draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Eddie Wineland, a well rounded 6-1 fighter. Submitted Miles Johns. Beat Kyung Ho Kang, Muin Gafurov, and a 6-0 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Heili Alateng
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 5-3-1
- Key Draws: Fought Gustavo Lopez to a draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Kevin Croom and a 5-1 striker. Beat Kleydson Rodrigues, Chad Anheliger, and Danaa Batgerel. Split decision over Ryan Benoit.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Castaneda by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Castaneda -300
Yazmin Jauregui vs Vanessa Demopoulos
- Yazmin Jauregui
- Age: 27
- UFC Record: 3-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Istela Nunes and a well rounded 5-0 fighter. Beat Sam Hughes and Iasmin Lucindo.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Vanessa Demopoulos
- Age: 37
- UFC Record: 5-6
- Key Wins: Submitted Silvana Juarez and Sam Hughes. Knocked out a 5-2 striker. Beat Kanako Murata and Maria Oliveira. Split decision over Emily Ducote.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: fringe average (45)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: Jauregui by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Jauregui -400