Costa vs Allen, Vieira vs Cavalcanti, Wells vs Dalby Fight Picks – May 16, 2026

Melquizael Costa vs Arnold Allen

  • Melquizael Costa
  • Age: 29
  • UFC Record: 6-2
  • Key Wins: Submitted Nuerdanbieke Shayilan. Knocked out Dan Ige, Morgan Charriere, a 14-2 striker. Beat Julian Erosa, Christian Rodriguez, Austin Lingo, a 4-0 striker, a 9-3 wrestler, and a 13-4 striker.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Arnold Allen
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 11-3
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Calvin Kattar and Dan Hooker. Beat Giga Chikadze, Sodiq Yusuff, Nik Lentz, and Gilbert Melendez. Split decision over Makwan Amirkhani.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Allen by split decision.


Ketlen Vieira vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti

  • Ketlen Vieira
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 9-5
  • Key Losses: Split decision losses to Norma Dumont and Raquel Pennington.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Sara McMann. Beat Macy Chiasson, Pannie Kianzad, Miesha Tate, Sijara Eubanks, and Ashley Evans-Smith. Split decision over Holly Holm.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
  • Jacqueline Cavalcanti
  • Age: 28
  • UFC Record: 5-0
  • Key Wins: Beat Mayra Bueno Silva, Julia Avila, Josiane Nunes, Zarah Fairn, and a 4-1 striker. Split decision over Nora Cornolle.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Vieira by decision.


Jeremiah Wells vs Nicolas Dalby

  • Jeremiah Wells
  • Age: 39
  • UFC Record: 4-2
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Max Griffin.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Court McGee, Warlley Alves, and a well rounded 5-1 fighter. Submitted Blood Diamond and a 6-2 wrestler. Beat Themba Gorimbo, an 11-4 grappler and an 18-5 wrestler. Split decision over Matthew Semelsberger.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Nicolas Dalby
  • Age: 41
  • UFC Record: 7-4-1
  • Key Wins: Beat Muslim Salikhov, Claudio Silva, Daniel Rodriguez, and Alex Oliveira. Split decisions wins over Saygid Izagakhmaev, Warlley Alves and Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Wells by split decision.


Daniel Santos vs Doo Ho Choi

  • Daniel Santos
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 4-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Joo Sang Yoo, John Castaneda, a well rounded 8-0 fighter and a well rounded 7-0 fighter. Submitted a 7-2 striker. Beat Jeong Yeong Lee, Johnny Munoz Jr., and a well rounded 11-3-1 fighter.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Doo Ho Choi
  • Age: 35
  • UFC Record: 5-3-1
  • Key Draws: Fought Kyle Nelson to a majority draw.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Nate Landwehr, Bill Algeo, Thiago Tavares and Sam Siscilia.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Santos by 2nd round knockout.


Rodolfo Bellato vs Modestas Bukauskas

  • Rodolfo Bellato
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 3-2-1
  • Key Draws: Fought Jimmy Crute to a majority draw.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Luke Fernandez, Ihor Potieria, a well rounded 6-0 fighter and a 4-1 striker. Submitted a 5-1 striker and an 11-4 striker. Beat a 15-5 wrestler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Modestas Bukauskas
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 7-5
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Michal Oleksiejczuk.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Paul Craig, Raffael Cerqueira, Andreas Michaildis, a well rounded 5-0 fighter and an 8-1 striker. Submitted Marcin Prachnio. Beat Zac Pauga and Tyson Pedro. Split decision over Ion Cutelaba.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Bellato by split decision.


Andre Petroski vs Cody Brundage

  • Andre Petroski
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 7-4
  • Key Wins: Submitted Nick Maximov and Yaozong Hu. Beat Dylan Budka, Josh Fremd, and Wellington Turman. Split decision over Gerald Meerschaert.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Cody Brundage
  • Age: 31
  • UFC Record: 5-9-1
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Donte Johnson.
  • Key Draws: Fought Mansur Abdul-Malik to a draw.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Julian Marquez, Zachary Reese and Tresean Gore. Submitted Dalcha Lungiambula and a 4-1 grappler. Split decision loss to Eric McConico.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Petroski by decision.


Bernardo Sopai vs Timmy Cuamba

  • Bernardo Sopaj
  • Age: 25
  • Pro Record: 12-3
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out an 11-4 wrestler and a well rounded 4-1 fighter. Beat Ricky Turcios and a 6-0 wrestler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Timmy Cuamba
  • Age: 27
  • UFC Record: 3-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Beat Chang Ho Lee and a well rounded 8-2 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Sopai by 2nd round submission.


Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz

  • Malcolm Wellmaker
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 10-1
  • UFC Record: 3-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Kris Moutinho, Cameron Saaiman, a 13-2 striker, and a 5-2 grappler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Juan DIaz
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 15-1-1
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 14-5 striker. Submitted an 11-3 striker. Beat a 9-2 wrestler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Wellmaker by 1st round knockout.


Ivan Erslan vs Tuco Tokkos

  • Ivan Erslan
  • Age: 34
  • Pro Record: 14-6
  • UFC Record: 0-3
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Ion Cutelaba.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 10-1 fighter, an 11-4 striker, a well rounded 8-3 fighter. Beat a well rounded 10-1 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Tuco Tokkos
  • Age: 35
  • Pro Record: 11-5
  • UFC Record: 1-3
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 4-1 striker and a 9-3 wrestler. Submitted Junior Tafa and a well rounded 5-1 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Erslan by decision.


Thomas Gantt vs Trey Ogden

  • Thomas Gantt
  • Age: 33
  • Pro Record: 11-0
  • UFC Record: 1-0
  • Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 5-0 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Trey Ogden
  • Age: 36
  • UFC Record: 3-3
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Jordan Leavitt.
  • Key Wins: Submitted a well rounded 8-2 fighter and an 8-2 grappler. Beat Loik Radzhabov, Kurt Holobaugh, Daniel Zellhuber, and a 4-0 wrestler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Ogden by decision.


Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana

  • Alice Ardelean
  • Age: 33
  • Pro Record: 11-7
  • UFC Record: 2-2
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Shauna Bannon.
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 3-0 striker. Beat Montserrat Conejo Ruiz and Rayanne dos Santos.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Polyana Viana
  • Age: 33
  • UFC Record: 4-7
  • Key Losses: Submitted by Veronica Macedo. Split decision loss to Hannah Cifers.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Jinh Yu Frey and Amanda Ribas back in 2015. Submitted Mallory Martin and Emily Whitmire.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: a little above (55)

Chris’ Pick: Ardelean by decision.


Daniel Barez vs Luis Gurule

  • Daniel Barez
  • Age: 37
  • Pro Record: 17-7
  • UFC Record: 1-3
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Carlos Hernandez.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 10-2 striker. Submitted a 6-0 grappler. Beat Victor Altamirano and a 3-0 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Luis Gurule
  • Age: 32
  • Pro Record: 10-3
  • UFC Record: 1-3
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 3-0 fighter and a well rounded 3-0 fighter. Beat a well rounded 7-2 fighter, a 12-4 wrestler, and a 9-3 wrestler. Split decision over Nick Piccininni.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Barez by decision.


Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari

  • Shauna Bannon
  • Age: 32
  • Pro Record: 7-2
  • UFC Record: 2-2
  • Key Wins: Submitted Puja Tomar. Knocked out a well rounded 3-0 fighter. Beat a 3-0-1 striker. Split decision over Alice Ardelean.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Nicolle Caliari
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 8-4
  • UFC Record: 1-2
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Ernesta Kareeckaite.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Corinne Laframboise, a well rounded 8-2 fighter and a well rounded 6-2 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Bannon by split decision.