Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov, Diaz vs Luque, Vera vs Figueiredo Fight Picks – August 3, 2024

Cory Sandhagen vs Umar Nurmagomedov

  • Cory Sandhagen
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 10-3
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Frankie Edgar, Marlon Moraes, and Iuri Alcantara. Submitted Mario Bautista. Beat Rob Font, Yadong Song, and Raphael Assuncao. Split decision wins over Marlon Vera and John Lineker.
  • Striking: near plus plus (75)
  • Power: near plus plus (75)
  • Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
  • Umar Nurmagomedov
  • Age: 28
  • UFC Record: 5-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Raoni Barcelos. Submitted Brian Kelleher and Sergey Morozov. Beat Bekzat Almakhan, Nathan Maness, a 12-0-1 grappler, and a 5-0 grappler. 
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
  • Grappling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Sandhagen by decision.


Nick Diaz vs Vicente Luque

  • Nick Diaz
  • Age: 40
  • UFC Record: 7-7
  • Key Wins: Beat BJ Penn in 2011.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Vicente Luque
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 15-6
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Randy Brown, Belal Muhammad, Chad Laprise, and Bryan Barbarena. Submitted and knocked out Niko Price. Also submitted Michael Chiesa and Tyron Woodley. Beat Rafael dos Anjos.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Luque by 1st round knockout.


Marlon Vera vs Deiveson Figueiredo

  • Marlon Vera
  • Age: 31
  • UFC Record: 15-8
  • Key Losses: Lost to Douglas Silva de Andrade. Lost a controversial decision to Yadong Song.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Brian Kelleher. Knocked out Dominick Cruz, Frankie Edgar, Sean O’Malley, Frankie Saenz and Andre Ewell. Beat Pedro Munhoz, Rob Font, and Davey Grant.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Deiveson Figueiredo  
  • Age: 36
  • UFC Record: 2-0 at 135 lbs. 12-2-1 overall.
  • Key Draws: Fought Brandon Moreno to a majority draw.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Joseph Benavidez, Marco Beltran, and John Moraga. Submitted Cody Garbrandt, Alex Perez, and Tim Elliott. Beat Rob Font, Moreno, and Alex Pantoja.
  • Striking: near plus plus (75)
  • Power: near plus plus (75)
  • Grappling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Figueiredo by decision.


MacKenzie Dern vs Loopy Godinez

  • Mackenzie Dern
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 8-4
  • Key Wins: Submitted Nina Nunes, Randa Markos, and Hannah Cifers. Beat Angela Hill and Virna Jandiroba. Split decision wins over Tecia Torres and Ashley Yoder.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: near plus plus (75)
  • Loopy Godinez
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 7-1 at 115 lbs. 7-2 overall
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Jessica Penne.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Elise Reed and Silvana Juarez. Beat Emily Ducote, Ariane Carnelossi, and Loma Lookboonmee. Split decision wins over Tabatha Ricci and Cynthia Calvillo. Majority decision over Vanessa Demopoulos.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Dern by decision.


Michael Chiesa vs Tony Ferguson

  • Michael Chiesa
  • Age: 36
  • UFC Record: 4-3 at 170 lbs. 11-7 overall.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Beneil Bariush. Beat Neil Magny and Rafael dos Anjos.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Tony Ferguson
  • Age: 40
  • UFC Record: 18-8
  • Key Wins: Submitted Edson Barboza and Kevin Lee. Knocked out Donald Cerrone and Anthony Pettis. Beat Rafael dos Anjos.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Chiesa by decision.


Azamat Murzakanov vs Alonzo Menifield

  • Azamat Murzakanov
  • Age: 35
  • Pro Record: 13-0
  • UFC Record: 4-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Devin Clark, Tafon Nchukwi, Andre Muniz, Matheus Scheffel, and a 13-3 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Alonzo Menifield
  • Age: 36
  • UFC Record: 10-4-1
  • Key Draws: Fought Crute to a majority draw.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Jimmy Crute. Knocked out Misha Cirkunov, Paul Craig, a 9-1 grappler, and a well rounded 8-1 fighter. Beat Dustin Jacoby.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Murzakanov by 1st round knockout.


Joel Alvarez vs Elves Brener

  • Joel Alvarez
  • Age: 31
  • UFC Record: 5-2
  • Key WIns: Submitted Marc Diakiese, Alexander Yakovlev, Joseph Duffy, a 5-1 striker, a well rounded 5-0 fighter, a well rounded 14-2 fighter, and a 9-1 striker. Knocked out Thiago Moises and a 12-4 striker.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Elves Brener
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 16-4
  • UFC Record: 3-1
  • Key Losses: Lost to a 10-7 wrestler.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Kaynan Kruschewsky and Guram Kutateladze. Submitted a 7-0 grappler, a 5-2 wrestler, and a well rounded 8-2 fighter. Split decision over Zubaira Tukhugov.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Alvarez by decision.


Guram Kutateladze vs Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

  • Guram Kutateladze
  • Age: 32
  • Pro Record: 12-4
  • UFC Record: 1-2
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Damir Ismagulov.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 4-0 wrestler and a 9-2 striker. Beat a well rounded 7-2 fighter and a well rounded 22-5 fighter. Split decision over Mateusz Gamrot.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 15-4
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Losses: Knocked out by a 6-7 striker.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-2 grappler, a well rounded 21-4 fighter and a 3-0 grappler. Submitted an 8-3 wrestler. Beat a well rounded 12-1 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Kutateladze by decision.


Viktoriia Dudakova vs Sam Hughes

  • Viktoriia Dudakova
  • Age: 25
  • Pro Record: 8-0
  • UFC Record: 3-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Istela Nunes. Submitted a 4-1 striker. Beat Jinh Yu Frey and Maria Silva.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Sam Hughes
  • Age: 31
  • UFC Record: 3-5
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 4-1 grappler. Beat Jaqueline Amorim and a well rounded 3-1 fighter. Majority decision over Istela Nunes.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: average (50)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Dudakova by split decision.


Chris Gutierrez vs Javid Basharat

  • Chris Gutierrez
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 8-2-1
  • Key Draws: Fought Cody Durden to a draw.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Batgerel Danaa and Vince Morales. Beat Alateng Heili, Andre Ewell. Split decision wins over Felipe Dias Colares and Geraldo de Freitas.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Javid Basharat
  • Age: 28
  • UFC Record: 4-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-0 grappler. Submitted an 11-1 grappler. Beat Mateus Mendonca, Tony Gravely, and Trevin Jones
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Gutierrez by decision.


Azat Maksum vs CJ Vergara

  • Azat Maksum
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 17-1
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 8-0 striker, a well rounded 4-0 fighter and a 5-0 grappler. Knocked out a well rounded 7-2 fighter and a 12-3 striker. Beat a 5-1 grappler. Split decision over Tyson Nam.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • CJ Vergara
  • Age: 33
  • UFC Record: 4-3
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Daniel da Silva, Bruno Korea and Jacob Silva. Beat Vinicius Salvador. Split decision over Kleydson Rodrigues.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Maksum by decision.


Sedriques Dumas vs Denis Tiuliulin

  • Sedriques Dumas
  • Age: 28
  • UFC Record: 3-2
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 7-0 striker. Beat Abu Azaitar and Cody Brundage.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Denis Tiuliulin
  • Age: 36
  • Pro Record: 10-9
  • UFC Record: 1-4
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Jamie Pickett and a well rounded 11-2 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Dumas by decision.

What odds I think the favorite should be at: Dumas -250


Jai Herbert vs Rolando Bedoya

  • Jai Herbert
  • Age: 36
  • UFC Record: 2-4-1
  • Key Losses: Knocked out by Francisco Trinaldo.
  • Key Draws: Fought Ludovit Klein to a majority draw.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Khama Worthy, an 8-2 grappler, a 9-3 grappler, a well rounded 15-4 fighter, and a well rounded 11-3 fighter. Beat Kyle Nelson.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Rolando Bedoya
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 13-3
  • UFC Record: 0-2
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Khaos Williams.
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 9-1 wrestler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Herbert by decision.


Mohammad Yahya vs Kaue Fernandes

  • Mohammad Yahya
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 12-4
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 7-2 wrestler. Beat a well rounded 5-2 fighter.
  • Striking: a little above average (55)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: average (50)
  • Kaue Fernandes
  • Age: 29
  • Pro Record: 8-2
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Marc Diakiese.
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 6-1 wrestler. Knocked out a 19-5 striker, a 6-0 wrestler, and a well rounded 9-1 fighter. Beat a 4-0 grappler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Fernandes by decision.

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