Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva
- Diego Lopes
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 4-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out Sodiq Yusuff and Pat Sabatini. Submitted Gavin Tucker, Marcos Beltran, and a 14-3 grappler. Beat Brian Ortega.
- Striking: near plus plus (75)
- Power: near plus plus (75)
- Grappling: near plus plus (75)
- Jean Silva
- Age: 28
- UFC Record: 6-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Melsyk Baghdasaryan, Drew Dober, Charles Jourdain, a well rounded 4-0 fighter, a well rounded 7-2 fighter, and a 5-2 striker. Submitted Bryce Mitchell and a 5-2 striker. Beat an 11-0 striker.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Silva has so many knockouts in the UFC it’s tempting to think his striking is at a 75, but I can’t do that with where the numbers are at. Bryce Mitchell surprisingly out struck Silva 35 to 23.
Chris’ Pick: Lopes by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Lopes -225
David Martinez vs Rob Font
- David Martinez
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 12-1
- UFC Record: 2-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Saimon Oliveira, a well rounded 5-1 fighter. Beat a 6-0 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Rob Font
- Age: 38
- UFC Record: 11-7
- Key Wins: Submitted Douglas Silva de Andrade. Knocked out Marlon Moraes and Thomas Almeida. Beat Kyler Phillips, Cody Garbrandt, Ricky Simon, and Sergio Pettis. Split decision over Jean Matsumoto.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Font by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Font -135
Jared Gordon vs Rafa Garcia
- Jared Gordon
- Age: 36
- UFC Record: 9-5
- Key Losses: Knocked out by Joaquim Silva. Split decision loss to Nasrat Haqparast.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Thiago Moises, Mark O. Madsen. Beat Leonardo Santos, Danny Chavez, and Chris Fishgold. Split decision over Joe Solecki.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Rafa Garcia
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 5-4
- Key Wins: Submitted Jesse Ronson. Knocked out a well rounded 8-3 fighter. Beat Maheshate Hayisaer and a 10-3 striker. Beat Natan Levy. Majority decision win over a well rounded 6-2 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Gordon by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Gordon -175
Kelvin Gastelum vs Dustin Stoltzfus
- Kelvin Gastelum
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 12-10
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Darren Till.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Michael Bisping. Beat Daniel Rodriguez, Chris Curtis and Ian Heinisch. Split decision win over Jacare Souza.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Dustin Stoltzfus
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 4-6
- Key Wins: Submitted Puna Soriano. Knocked out Marc Andre Barriault and a well rounded 7-1 fighter. Beat Dwight Grant and a 10-2 wrestler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Stoltzfus by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Stoltzfus -175
Quang Le vs Santiago Luna
- Quang Le
- Age: 33
- Pro Record: 9-2
- UFC Record: 1-2
- Key Wins: Submitted Gaston Bolanos. Knocked out a 6-1 grappler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Santiago Luna
- Age: 21
- Pro Record: 6-0
- Key Wins: Submitted a 6-1 grappler.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Le by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Le -225
Alexander Hernandez vs Diego Ferreira
- Alexander Hernandez
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 9-7
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Damon Jackson.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Chase Hooper, Beneil Dariush and Chris Greutzemacher. Beat Kurt Holobaugh, Jim Miller, Oliver Aubin-Mercier, and Francisco Trinaldo. Split decision over Austin Hubbard.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Diego Ferreira
- Age: 40
- UFC record: 9-6
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Beneil Dariush.
- Key Wins: Submitted Anthony Pettis. Knocked out Michael Johnson. Beat Oliver Aubin-Mercier, Rustam Khalibov, and Mairbek Taisumov.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Grappling: plus (70)
I think Ferreira being controlled for so long on the ground by Dawson has more to do with Ferreira trying to work off his back for submissions. Because he out struck Dawson 31 to 19.
Chris’ Pick: Ferreira by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Ferreira -250
Jose Daniel Medina vs Dusko Todorovic
- Jose Daniel Medina
- Age: 34
- Pro Record: 11-5
- UFC Record: 0-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 6-0 fighter. Split decision over a 4-2 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Dusko Todorovic
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 4-5
- Key Wins: Knocked out Jordan Wright, Maki Pitolo, Michel Pereira, and a well rounded 8-0 fighter in his 3rd pro fight. Submitted an 8-1 striker. Beat a 14-4 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Todorovic by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Todorovic -175
Claudio Puelles vs Jaoquim Silva
- Claudio Puelles
- Age: 29
- UFC Record: 5-3
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Fares Ziam.
- Key Wins: Submitted Clay Guida, Chris Greutzemacher, and an 8-1 striker. Beat Jordan Leavitt.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Joaquim SIlva
- Age: 36
- UFC Record: 6-5
- Key Wins: Knocked out Jared Gordon. Beat Clay Guida.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: Puelles by 1st round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Puelles -250
Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos
- Tatiana Suarez
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 7-1
- Key Wins: Submitted Jessica Andrade, Montana de la Rosa, and Alexa Grasso. Knocked out Carla Esparza. Beat Nina Nunes.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
- Amanda Lemos
- Age: 38
- UFC Record: 8-4
- Key Wins: Knocked out Montserrat Ruiz and Livinha Souza. Submitted Michelle Waterson and Miranda Granger. Beat Iasmin Lucindo, MacKenzie Dern, and Mizuki Inoue. Split decision over Angela Hill.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Grappling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Suarez by 2nd round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Suarez -135
Luis Gurule vs Jesus Aguilar
- Luis Gurule
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 10-1
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 3-0 fighter and a well rounded 3-0 fighter. Beat a well rounded 7-2 fighter, a 12-4 wrestler, and a 9-3 wrestler. Split decision over Nick Piccininni.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Jesus Aguilar
- Age: 29
- UFC Record: 4-2
- Key Wins: Submitted Stewart Nicoll, Edgar Chairez, an 11-1 striker, a well rounded 5-2 fighter, and a well rounded 8-3 fighter. Knocked out Shannon Ross. Beat a 6-2 grappler. Split decision over Mateus Mendonca.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: fringe average (45)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Gurule by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Gurule -350
Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas
- Zachary Reese
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 4-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Julian Marquez. Submitted a well rounded 6-0 fighter. Beat Dusko Todorovic and Jose Medina.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Sedriques Dumas
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 4-3
- Key Wins: Submitted a 7-0 striker. Beat Denis Tiuliulin, Abu Azaitar, and Cody Brundage.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Reese by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Reese -300
Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria
- Alessandro Costa
- Age: 29
- UFC Record: 3-2
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to a 10-2 striker.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Kevin Borjas, Jimmy Flick and a 9-2 wrestler. Beat a 4-1 grappler. Split decision over a 12-0 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Alden Coria
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 10-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 8-3 fighter.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: Costa by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Costa -500
Montse Rendon vs Alice Pereira
- Montse Rendon
- Age: 36
- Pro Record: 6-1
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Wins: Split decision over Tamires Vidal.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Alice Pereira
- Age: 19
- Pro Record: 6-0
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Pereira by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Pereira -200
Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko
- Rodrigo Sezinando
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 8-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 7-1 wrestler and a well rounded 4-1 fighter. Submitted a 10-2 striker. Beat a 5-1 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Daniil Donchenko
- Age: 24
- Pro Record: 11-2
- Key Losses: Lost to a 13-10 striker.
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-0 grappler, a 5-2 striker, and a well rounded 7-2 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Donchenko by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Donchenko -250