Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane
- Tom Aspinall
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 8-1
- Key Wins: Submitted Andrei Arlovski. Knocked out Curtis Blaydes, Sergei Pavlovich, Marcin Tybura, Serghei Spivac, Jake Collier, and a 6-2 wrestler.
- Striking: near plus plus (75)
- Power: near plus plus (75)
- Grappling: near plus plus (75)
- Ciryl Gane
- Age: 35
- UFC Record: 10-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Sergei Spivac, Tai Tuivasa, Derrick Lewis, and Junior dos Santos. Beat Alexander Volkov, Jairzinho Rozenstruik, and Tanner Boser. Split decision win over Alexander Volkov.
- Striking: near plus plus (75)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Aspinall by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Aspinall -225
Mackenzie Dern vs Virna Jandiroba
- Mackenzie Dern
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 10-4
- Key Wins: Submitted Amanda Ribas, Nina Nunes, Randa Markos, and Hannah Cifers. Beat Loopy Godinez, Angela Hill, and Virna Jandiroba. Split decision wins over Tecia Torres and Ashley Yoder.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: near plus plus (75)
- Virna Jandiroba
- Age: 37
- UFC Record: 8-3
- Key Wins: Submitted Amanda Lemos, Felice Herrig, a 6-2 wrestler, a well rounded 8-2 fighter and a 10-2 striker. Beat Xiaonan Yan, Loopy Godinez, Marina Rodriguez, and Angela Hill. Split decision wins over Mizuki Inoue and a 7-2 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: fringe average (45)
- Grappling: near plus plus (75)
Chris’ Pick: Dern by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Dern -225
Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista
- Umar Nurmagomedov
- Age: 29
- UFC Record: 6-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Raoni Barcelos. Submitted Brian Kelleher and Sergey Morozov. Beat Cory Sandhagen, Bekzat Almakhan, Nathan Maness, a 12-0-1 grappler, and a 5-0 grappler.
- Striking: near plus plus (75)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
- Mario Bautista
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 10-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Miles Johns. Submitted Guido Cannetti, Benito Lopez, and Brian Kelleher. Beat Patchy Mix, Ricky Simon, Da’Mon Blackshear, a well rounded 9-3 fighter and a 7-1-2 wrestler. Split decision over Jose Aldo.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
- Grappling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Nurmagomedov by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Nurmagomedov -225
Jailton Almeida vs Alexander Volkov
- Jailton Almeida
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 9-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Sergei Spivac, Shamil Abdurakhimov, and Danilo Marques. Submitted Alexandr Romanov, Jairzinho Rozenstruik, Anton Turkalj, Parker Porter, a 9-0 wrestler, and a 19-4 wrestler. Beat Derrick Lewis.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Grappling: near plus plus (75)
- Alexander Volkov
- Age: 36
- UFC Record: 12-4
- Key Wins: Knocked out Jairzinho Rozenstruik, Alistair Overeem, Walt Harris, and Fabricio Werdum. Submitted Tai Tuivasa. Beat Sergei Pavlovich, Marcin Tybura, and Greg Hardy.
- Striking: near plus plus (75)
- Power: near plus plus (75)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Almeida by 1st round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Almeida -135
Aleksandar Rakic vs Azamat Murzakanov
- Aleksandar Rakic
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 6-4
- Key Wins: Knocked out Devin Clark and Jimi Manuwa. Beat Thiago Santos and Anthony Smith.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
- Azamat Murzakanov
- Age: 36
- UFC Record: 6-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Brendson Ribeiro, Alonzo Menifield, Devin Clark, Tafon Nchukwi, Andre Muniz, Matheus Scheffel, and a 13-3 striker.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Rakic’s striking is right on the bubble between a 70 and a 75 but currently, it might be closer to a 70.
Chris’ Pick: Rakic by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Rakic -225
Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld
- Nasrat Haqparast
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 10-4
- Key Losses: Lost to Marcin Held on short notice.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Jamie Mullarkey and Joaquim Silva. Beat Landon Quinones, John Makdessi, Rafa Garcia, and Marc Diakiese. Split decision wins over Esteban Ribovics and Jared Gordon.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Quillan Salkilld
- Age: 25
- Pro Record: 9-1
- UFC Record: 3-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Anshul Jubli, a 3-1 grappler, and a 6-1 striker. Submitted a well rounded 4-1 fighter. Beat Yanal Ashmouz and a 9-1 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Salkilld by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Salkilld -300
Ikram Aliskerov vs Jun Yong Park
- Ikram Aliskerov
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 4-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Andre Muniz, Warlley Alves, Phil Hawes, and a well rounded 13-2 fighter. Submitted Mario Sousa, Dennis Tiuliulin, and an 11-3 wrestler. Beat a well rounded 4-0 fighter.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Jun Yong Park
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 9-3
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Andre Muniz.
- Key Wins: Submitted Albert Duraev, Dennis Tiuliulin, and Joseph Holmes. Beat Ismail Naurdiev, Marc-Andre Barriault, and a 18-6 striker. Majority decision over Tafon Nchukwi. Split decision wins over Brad Tavares and Eryk Anders.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
There’s no way I can grade Park’s striking after Naurdiev out struck him 67 to 38.
Chris’ Pick: Aliskerov by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Aliskerov -300
Mateusz Rebecki vs Ludovit Klein
- Mateusz Rebecki
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 5-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Loik Radzhabov, a well rounded 18-5 fighter, a 8-1 striker, a 12-1 striker, a 12-2 grappler, a 12-2 wrestler, and a well rounded 8-2 fighter. Submitted Roosevelt Roberts, a 12-2 striker. Beat Nick Fiore and a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Split decision over Myktybek Orolbai.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Ludovit Klein
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 7-3-1
- Key Draws: Fought Jai Herbert to a majority draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out AJ Cunningham, Shane Young, a 13-1 striker, a 14-5 grappler, and a well rounded 11-4 fighter. Beat Roosevelt Roberts, Thiago Moises, Ignacio Bahamondes, Mason Jones, and an 11-2 striker. Split decision over Devonte Smith.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Rebecki by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Rebecki -135
Valter Walker vs Louie Sutherland
- Valter Walker
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 14-1
- UFC Record: 3-1
- Key Wins: Submitted Kennedy Nzechukwu, Don’Tale Mayes, and Junior Tafa. Beat a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Split decision over an 8-3 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Louie Sutherland
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 10-3
- Key Wins: Knocked out a well rounded 4-1 fighter and a well rounded 4-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Walker is interesting because his last two heel hook submissions have come in in about a minute, so with how fast he’s getting these heel hooks, it’s very possible his grappling could be a 70 now.
Chris’ Pick: Walker by 1st round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Walker -135
Jose Miguel Delgado vs Nathaniel Wood
- Jose Miguel Delgado
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 10-1
- UFC Record: 3-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Hyder Amil, Connor Matthews, a well rounded 7-0 fighter, a well rounded 4-1 fighter, and a 7-2 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Nathaniel Wood
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 9-3
- Key Wins: Submitted Johnny Eduardo and Jose Quinonez, Beat Morgan Charriere, Daniel Pineda, Andre Fili, Charles Jourdain, and Charles Rosa.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Wood out struck Charriere 62 to 37 proving once and for all that Wood indeed does have 70 striking.
Chris’ Pick: Wood by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Wood -225
Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Chris Barnett
- Hamdy Abdelwahab
- Age: 32
- Pro Record: 7-1
- UFC Record: 2-1
- Key Wins: Split decision over Jamal Pogues.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Chris Barnett
- Age: 39
- UFC Record: 2-3
- Key Losses: Knocked out by a 3-3 striker. Lost to a 14-8 striker. Split decision loss to an 8-4 wrestler.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Jake Collier and a well rounded 22-5 fighter.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Abdelwahab by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Abdelwahab -125
Azat Maksum vs Mitch Raposo
- Azat Maksum
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 17-2
- UFC Record: 1-2
- Key Wins: Submitted a 8-0 striker, a well rounded 4-0 fighter and a 5-0 grappler. Knocked out a well rounded 7-2 fighter and a 12-3 striker. Beat a 5-1 grappler. Split decision over Tyson Nam.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Mitch Raposo
- Age: 26
- Pro Record: 9-3
- UFC Record: 0-3
- Key Losses: Split decision losses to Sumudaerji and Andre Lima.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Maksum by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Maksum -135
Jaqueline Amorim vs Mizuki
- Jaqueline Amorim
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 4-1
- Key Wins: Submitted Polyana Viana, Vanessa Demopoulos, and Cory McKenna. Knocked out Montserrat Conejo.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Mizuki
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 15-6
- UFC Record: 2-1
- Key Wins: Beat Hannah Goldy and Viviane Pereira. Split decision over Yanan Wu.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Mizuki might be the most inactive fighter in all of the UFC. This is her first fight in 2 years and only her second fight in 5 years.
Chris’ Pick: Amorim by 2nd round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Amorim -350