Aspinall vs Gane, Dern vs Jandiroba, Nurmagomedov vs Bautista Fight Picks – UFC 321 – October 25, 2025

Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane

  • Tom Aspinall
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 8-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted Andrei Arlovski. Knocked out Curtis Blaydes, Sergei Pavlovich, Marcin Tybura, Serghei Spivac, Jake Collier, and a 6-2 wrestler.
  • Striking: near plus plus (75)
  • Power: near plus plus (75)
  • Grappling: near plus plus (75)
  • Ciryl Gane
  • Age: 35
  • UFC Record: 10-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Sergei Spivac, Tai Tuivasa, Derrick Lewis, and Junior dos Santos. Beat Alexander Volkov, Jairzinho Rozenstruik, and Tanner Boser. Split decision win over Alexander Volkov.
  • Striking: near plus plus (75)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Aspinall by 1st round knockout.


Mackenzie Dern vs Virna Jandiroba

  • Mackenzie Dern
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 10-4
  • Key Wins: Submitted Amanda Ribas, Nina Nunes, Randa Markos, and Hannah Cifers. Beat Loopy Godinez, Angela Hill, and Virna Jandiroba. Split decision wins over Tecia Torres and Ashley Yoder.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Virna Jandiroba
  • Age: 37
  • UFC Record: 8-3
  • Key Wins: Submitted Amanda Lemos, Felice Herrig, a 6-2 wrestler, a well rounded 8-2 fighter and a 10-2 striker. Beat Xiaonan Yan, Loopy Godinez, Marina Rodriguez, and Angela Hill. Split decision wins over Mizuki Inoue and a 7-2 grappler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: near plus plus (75)

Chris’ Pick: Dern by decision.


Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista

  • Umar Nurmagomedov
  • Age: 29
  • UFC Record: 6-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Raoni Barcelos. Submitted Brian Kelleher and Sergey Morozov. Beat Cory Sandhagen, Bekzat Almakhan, Nathan Maness, a 12-0-1 grappler, and a 5-0 grappler. 
  • Striking: near plus plus (75)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: plus plus (80)
  • Mario Bautista
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 10-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Miles Johns. Submitted Guido Cannetti, Benito Lopez, and Brian Kelleher. Beat Patchy Mix, Ricky Simon, Da’Mon Blackshear, a well rounded 9-3 fighter and a 7-1-2 wrestler. Split decision over Jose Aldo.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Nurmagomedov by 2nd round submission.


Jailton Almeida vs Alexander Volkov

  • Jailton Almeida
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 9-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Sergei Spivac, Shamil Abdurakhimov, and Danilo Marques. Submitted Alexandr Romanov, Jairzinho Rozenstruik, Anton Turkalj, Parker Porter, a 9-0 wrestler, and a 19-4 wrestler. Beat Derrick Lewis.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: near plus plus (75)
  • Alexander Volkov
  • Age: 36
  • UFC Record: 12-4
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Jairzinho Rozenstruik, Alistair Overeem, Walt Harris, and Fabricio Werdum. Submitted Tai Tuivasa. Beat Sergei Pavlovich, Marcin Tybura, and Greg Hardy.
  • Striking: near plus plus (75)
  • Power: near plus plus (75)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Almeida by 1st round submission.


Aleksandar Rakic vs Azamat Murzakanov

  • Aleksandar Rakic
  • Age: 33
  • UFC Record: 6-4
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Devin Clark and Jimi Manuwa. Beat Thiago Santos and Anthony Smith.
  • Striking: near plus plus (75)
  • Power: near plus plus (75)
  • Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
  • Azamat Murzakanov
  • Age: 36
  • UFC Record: 6-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Brendson Ribeiro, Alonzo Menifield, Devin Clark, Tafon Nchukwi, Andre Muniz, Matheus Scheffel, and a 13-3 striker.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Rakic by decision.


Ikram Aliskerov vs Jun Yong Park

  • Ikram Aliskerov
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 4-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Andre Muniz, Warlley Alves, Phil Hawes, and a well rounded 13-2 fighter. Submitted Mario Sousa, Dennis Tiuliulin, and an 11-3 wrestler. Beat a well rounded 4-0 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Jun Yong Park
  • Age: 34
  • UFC Record: 9-3
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Andre Muniz. 
  • Key Wins: Submitted Albert Duraev, Dennis Tiuliulin, and Joseph Holmes. Beat Ismail Naurdiev, Marc-Andre Barriault, and a 18-6 striker. Majority decision over Tafon Nchukwi. Split decision wins over Brad Tavares and Eryk Anders.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Park by decision.


Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Matheus Camilo

  • Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 15-4
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Losses: Knocked out by a 6-7 striker.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-2 grappler, a well rounded 21-4 fighter and a 3-0 grappler. Submitted an 8-3 wrestler. Beat a well rounded 12-1 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Matheus Camilo
  • Age: 24
  • Pro Record: 9-3
  • UFC Record: 0-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 9-3 wrestler and a well rounded 6-1 fighter. Knocked out a well rounded 4-0 fighter. Beat an 8-0 wrestler.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Al-Selwady by decision.


Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Chris Barnett

  • Hamdy Abdelwahab
  • Age: 32
  • Pro Record: 7-1
  • UFC Record: 2-1
  • Key Wins: Split decision over Jamal Pogues.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Chris Barnett
  • Age: 39
  • UFC Record: 2-3
  • Key Losses: Knocked out by a 3-3 striker. Lost to a 14-8 striker. Split decision loss to an 8-4 wrestler.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Jake Collier and a well rounded 22-5 fighter.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Abdelwahab by 2nd round knockout.


Azat Maksum vs Mitch Raposo

  • Azat Maksum
  • Age: 30
  • Pro Record: 17-2
  • UFC Record: 1-2
  • Key Wins: Submitted a 8-0 striker, a well rounded 4-0 fighter and a 5-0 grappler. Knocked out a well rounded 7-2 fighter and a 12-3 striker. Beat a 5-1 grappler. Split decision over Tyson Nam.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Mitch Raposo
  • Age: 26
  • Pro Record: 9-3
  • UFC Record: 0-3
  • Key Losses: Split decision losses to Sumudaerji and Andre Lima.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Raposo by decision.


Jaqueline Amorim vs Mizuki

  • Jaqueline Amorim
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 4-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted Polyana Viana, Vanessa Demopoulos, and Cory McKenna. Knocked out Montserrat Conejo.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Mizuki Inoue
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 15-6
  • UFC Record: 2-1
  • Key Wins: Beat Hannah Goldy and Viviane Pereira. Split decision over Yanan Wu.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: fringe average (45)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: a little above average (55)

Chris’ Pick: Amorim by decision.


Mateusz Rebecki vs Ludovit Klein

  • Mateusz Rebecki
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 5-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Loik Radzhabov, a well rounded 18-5 fighter, a 8-1 striker, a 12-1 striker, a 12-2 grappler, a 12-2 wrestler, and a well rounded 8-2 fighter. Submitted Roosevelt Roberts, a 12-2 striker. Beat Nick Fiore and a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Split decision over Myktybek Orolbai.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Ludovit Klein
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 7-3-1
  • Key Draws: Fought Jai Herbert to a majority draw.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out AJ Cunningham, Shane Young, a 13-1 striker, a 14-5 grappler, and a well rounded 11-4 fighter. Beat Roosevelt Roberts, Thiago Moises, Ignacio Bahamondes, Mason Jones, and an 11-2 striker. Split decision over Devonte Smith.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Grappling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Rebecki by split decision.


Jose Miguel Delgado vs Nathaniel Wood

  • Jose Miguel Delgado
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 10-1
  • UFC Record: 3-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Hyder Amil, Connor Matthews, a well rounded 7-0 fighter, a well rounded 4-1 fighter, and a 7-2 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: above average (60)
  • Nathaniel Wood
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 9-3
  • Key Wins: Submitted Johnny Eduardo and Jose Quinonez, Beat Morgan Charriere, Daniel Pineda, Andre Fili, Charles Jourdain, and Charles Rosa.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Wood by decision.

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