Israel Adesanya vs Joe Pyfer
- Israel Adesanya
- Age: 36
- UFC Record: 13-3 at 185 lbs. 13-4 overall.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Alex Pereira, Paulo Costa, Robert Whittaker, and Derek Brunson. Beat Jared Cannonier, Marvin Vettori, Kelvin Gastelum, and Anderson Silva.
- Striking: near plus plus (75)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Joe Pyfer
- Age: 29
- UFC Record: 6-2
- Key Losses: Submitted by a 5-3 striker.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Gerald Meerschaert, Alen Amedovski, a well rounded 7-1 fighter, and a well rounded 3-0 fighter. Submitted Abus Magomedov and Abdul Razak Alhassan. Beat Kelvin Gastelum.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Pyfer by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Pyfer -135
Alexa Grasso vs Maycee Barber
- Alexa Grasso
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 5-2-1 at 125 lbs. 8-5-1 overall.
- Key Losses: Lost to Felice Herrig. Majority decision loss to Carla Esparza.
- Key Draws: Split decision draw to Valentina Shevchenko.
- Key Wins: Submitted Valentina Shevchenko and Joanne Wood. Beat Viviane Araujo, Maycee Barber, Ji Yeon Kim, Karolina Kowalkiewicz, and Mizuki Inoue. Split decision over Ranka Markos.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Maycee Barber
- Age: 27
- UFC Record: 11-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Hannah Cifers. JJ Aldrich. and Gillian Robertson. Beat Karine Silva, Katlyn Cerminara, Jessica Eye, and Montana de la Rosa. Split decision wins over Andrea Lee and Miranda Maverick.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Barber by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Barber -200
Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price
- Michael Chiesa
- Age: 38
- UFC Record: 7-3 at 170 lbs. 14-7 overall.
- Key Wins: Submitted Max Griffin, Tony Ferguson, and Beneil Dariush. Beat Court McGee, Neil Magny, and Rafael dos Anjos.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Niko Price
- Age: 36
- UFC Record: 8-10
- Key Wins: Knocked out Alan Jouban, Randy Brown, and Tim Means. Beat Alex Morono.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Price by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Price -135
Lerryan Douglas vs Julian Erosa
- Lerryan Douglas
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 13-5
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out Cam Teague, a 10-2 wrestler, a well rounded 18-3 fighter, a 9-2 striker, a 7-2 striker, and a well rounded 6-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Julian Erosa
- Age: 36
- UFC Record: 13-9
- Key Losses: Knocked out by Artem Lobov and Teruto Ishihara.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Darren Elkins, Nate Landwehr and Jamall Emmers. Submitted Christian Rodriguez, Ricardo Ramos, Charles Jourdain, and Sean Woodson. Beat Hakeem Dawodu. Split decision over Steven Peterson.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Erosa by 2nd round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Erosa -135
Mansur Abdul Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui
- Mansur Abdul Malik
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 9-0-1
- UFC Record: 4-0-1
- Key Draws: Fought Cody Brundage to a majority draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Nick Klein, Dusko Todorovic, and Wesley Schultz. Submitted Antonio Trocoli.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Yousri Belgaroui
- Age: 33
- Pro Record: 8-3
- UFC Record: 1-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Azamat Bekoev. Beat a well rounded 11-3 fighter.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Belgaroui by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Belgaroui -250
Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson
- Terrance McKinney
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 7-5
- Key Wins: Knocked out Brendon Marotte, Mike Breeden, Matt Frevola, and an 11-3 grappler. Submitted Slava Borshchev and Fares Ziam.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: plus (70)
- Kyle Nelson
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 6-4-1
- Key Draws: Fought Doo Ho Choi to a majority draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Bill Algeo, Khama Worthy, and Marco Polo Reyes. Beat Matt Frevola, Fernando Padilla, and Blake Bilder.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: McKinney by 1st round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: McKinney -135
Ignacio Bahamondes vs Tofiq Musayev
- Ignacio Bahamondes
- Age: 28
- UFC Record: 7-3
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to John Makdessi.
- Key Wins: Submitted Jalin Turner and Zhu Rong. Knocked out Manuel Torres, Cristos Giagos, Roosevelt Roberts, and a 6-1 striker. Beat Trey Ogden and a well rounded 5-1 fighter. Split decision over a well rounded 5-2 fighter.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus: (70)
- Wrestling: grappling (65)
- Tofiq Musayev
- Age: 36
- Pro Record: 22-6
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 16-4 grappler, a 12-4 striker, a 18-1-1 grappler, a well rounded 11-3 fighter, and a well rounded 10-2 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Bahamondes by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Bahamondes -225
Chase Hooper vs Lance Gibson Jr
- Chase Hooper
- Age: 26
- UFC Record: 5-1 at 155 lbs. 9-4 overall.
- Key Draws: Fought a 7-8 striker to a draw.
- Key Losses: Lost to Alex Caceres.
- Key Wins: Submitted Clay Guida, Slava Borshchev and Jordan Leavitt. Knocked out Felipe Colares and Daniel Teymur. Beat Jim Miller, Nick Fiore and a 4-0 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Lance Gibson Jr
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 9-2
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to King Green.
- Key Wins: Submitted a 5-2 striker. Beat a well rounded 6-2 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Gibson Jr by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Gibson Jr -135
Tyrell Fortune vs Marcin Tybura
- Tyrell Fortune
- Age: 35
- Pro Record: 17-3
- Key Wins: Submitted a 6-0 striker. Knocked out a well rounded 5-2 fighter. Beat a 6-1 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Marcin Tybura
- Age: 40
- UFC Record: 12-9
- Key Wins: Knocked out Jhonata Diniz, Walt Harris, and Greg Hardy. Submitted Tai Tuivasa. Beat Mick Parkin, Blagoi Ivanov, Andrei Arlovski, and Sergei Spivac. Majority decision over Alexandr Romanov.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Tybura by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Tybura -500
Casey O’Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes
- Casey O’Neill
- Age: 28
- UFC Record: 5-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Antonina Shevchenko and Shana Dobson. Beat Luana Santos and a 4-1 striker. Split decision over Roxanne Modafferi.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Gabriella Fernandes
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 3-2
- Key Wins: Submitted Cong Wang and a 3-0 striker. Beat Julija Stoliarenko and a 3-0 striker. Split decision over Carli Judice.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Fernandes closed as a -425 favorite over Stoliarenko. Market thought she could stuff the take downs. And she did. But the problem was the striking was 58 to 56. And I don’t think Stoliarenko’s striking has leveled up to a 65.
Chris’ Pick: O’Neill by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: O’Neill -225
Navajo Stirling vs Bruno Lopes
- Navajo Stirling
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 8-0
- UFC Record: 4-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 6-1 striker. Beat Rodolfo Bellato, Ivan Erslan, and Tuco Tokkos.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: near plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Bruno Lopes
- Age: 32
- Pro Record: 14-2
- UFC Record: 2-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Gregory Rodrigues and a 13-2 striker. Submitted a well rounded 10-3 fighter. Beat Magomed Gadzhiyasulov and a well rounded 5-0 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Stirling by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Stirling -300
Adrian Yanez vs Ricky Simon
- Adrian Yanez
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 7-3
- Key Losses: Split decision losses to Daniel Marcos, Domingo Pilarte in 2017, and Miles John in 2018.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Vinicius Salvador, Tony Kelley, Randy Costa, Gustavo Lopez, a 5-2 striker, and a well rounded 11-1 fighter. Submitted a 5-2 grappler. Split decision over Davey Grant.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Ricky Simon
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 10-6
- Key Losses: Knocked out by Urijah Faber.
- Key Wins: Submitted Jack Shore and Merab Dvalishvili. Knocked out Javid Basharat and Raphael Assuncao. Beat Cameron Smotherman, Brian Kelleher, Montel Jackson, and Rani Yahya. Split decision over Ray Borg.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Yanez by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Yanez -200
Alexia Thainara vs Bruna Brasil
- Alexia Thainara
- Age: 28
- Pro Record: 13-1
- UFC Record: 3-0
- Key Wins: Submitted Molly McCann and Rayanne dos Santos. Knocked out a 3-1 striker. Beat Loma Lookboonmee, a well rounded 7-0 fighter, and a well rounded 5-2 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Bruna Brasil
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 4-4
- Key Wins: Knocked out Marnic Mann. Submitted a well rounded 2-0 fighter. Beat Ming Shi, Molly McCann, Shauna Bannon, and a 5-0 grappler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
Brasil’s striking is on the bubble between a 60 and 65 but think it’s closer to a 60.
Chris’ Pick: Thainara by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Thainara -225
Kangjie Zhu vs Marcio Barbosa
- Kangjie Zhu
- Age: 30
- Pro Record: 21-4
- UFC Record: 3-0
- Key Losses: Lost to a 10-10 striker.
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-3 grappler. Beat a well rounded 14-3 fighter and a well rounded 4-0 fighter. Split decision wins over Bin Xie and Shin Haraguchi.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: near plus (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
- Marcio Barbosa
- Age: 27
- Pro Record: 17-2
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-2 striker, an 8-2 striker, a well rounded 10-3 fighter, a well rounded 6-2 fighter and a well rounded 13-2 fighter. Submitted a 5-0 grappler.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: near plus (60)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
Chris’ Pick: Barbosa by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Barbosa -135