Lewis vs Teixeira, Kattar vs Garcia, Thompson vs Bonfim Fight Picks – July 12, 2025

Derrick Lewis vs Tallison Teixeira

  • Derrick Lewis
  • Age: 40
  • UFC Record: 19-10
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Rodrigo Nascimento, Marcos Rogerio de Lima, Chris Daukaus, Curtis Blaydes, Alexei Oleinik, Shamil Abdurakhimov, Travis Browne, and Alexander Volkov. Beat Francis Ngannou.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus plus (75)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Tallison Teixeira
  • Age: 25
  • Pro Record: 8-0
  • UFC Record: 2-0
  • Key Wins: Knocked Justin Tafa, out a 6-1 striker and a 4-1 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Lewis by 1st round knockout.


Calvin Kattar vs Steve Garcia

  • Calvin Kattar
  • Age: 37
  • UFC Record: 7-7
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Josh Emmett.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Jeremy Stephens, Shane Burgos, Chris Fighgold, and Ricardo Lamas. Beat Giga Chikadze and Dan Ige.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)
  • Steve Garcia
  • Age: 33
  • UFC Record: 3-0 at 155 lbs. 7-2 overall.
  • Key Losses: Submitted by Aalon Cruz. Split decision loss to a 5-0 wrestler.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Kyle Nelson, Seung Woo Choi, Melquizael Costa, Nuerdanbieke Shayilan, Chase Hooper, and a 7-1 grappler. Split decision over a 5-0 grappler.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

I know the market has Garcia graded higher than I do. But I’m not buying into it. Yes, Garcia has looked great. Yes, he’s gotten 5 KO’s in a row. But the last time I’ve seen him fight for longer than a few minutes was against Costa and the numbers say 65 striking and 60 wrestling. Since then, he’s had 2 quick knockouts. 

Chris’ Pick: Kattar by decision.


Stephen Thompson vs Gabriel Bonfim

  • Stephen Thompson
  • Age: 42
  • UFC Record: 13-8-1
  • Key Losses: Knocked out by Anthony Pettis. Majority decision loss to Tyron Woodley.
  • Key Draws: Fought Tyron Woodley to a majority draw.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Kevin Holland. Beat Jorge Masvidal, Geoff Neal, and Vicente Luque.
  • Striking: near plus plus (75)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Gabriel Bonfim
  • Age: 27
  • UFC Record: 5-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted Khaos Williams, Trevin GIles, Mounir Lazzez, a well rounded 6-0 fighter, a well rounded 6-2-1 fighter and a well rounded 13-3 fighter. Knocked out a well rounded 8-0 fighter. Beat Ange Loosa.
  • Striking: plus (70)
  • Power: plus (70)
  • Grappling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Bonfim by 2nd round submission.


Chris Curtis vs Max Griffin

  • Chris Curtis
  • Age: 37
  • UFC Record: 6-4
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Brendan Allen.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Joaquin Buckley, Brendan Allen, Phil Hawes, a well rounded 13-3 fighter. a 10-1 striker, an 8-2 striker and an 18-5 wrestler. Beat Rodolfo Vieira, a 9-3 grappler, a well rounded 5-0 fighter, and a well rounded 18-4 fighter. Split decision over Marc Andre Barriault. Majority decision win over an 11-4 striker.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Max Griffin
  • Age: 38
  • UFC Record: 8-9
  • Key Losses: Lost to Curtis Millender. Lost split decisions to Neil Magny, Alex Oliveira, and Thiago Alves.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Kenan Song. Beat Mike Perry. Split decision wins over Jeremiah Wells and Tim Means.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Curtis by split decision.


Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Valter Walker

  • Kennedy Nzechukwu
  • Age: 32
  • UFC Record: 8-5 at 205 lbs.
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Nicolae Negumereanu.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Chris Barnett, Ion Cutelaba, Karl Roberson, Danilo Marques, and Carlos Ulberg. Submitted Devin Clark.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Valter Walker
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 13-1
  • UFC Record: 2-1
  • Key Wins: Submitted Don’Tale Mayes and Junior Tafa. Beat a well rounded 7-2 fighter. Split decision over an 8-3 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Nzechukwu by 1st round knockout.


Jake Matthews vs Chidi Njokuani

  • Jake Matthews
  • Age: 30
  • UFC Record: 13-6
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Andrew Holbrook.
  • Key Wins: Submitted Darrius Flowers. Beat Francisco Prado, Phil Rowe, and Jingliang Li.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: near plus (65)
  • Chidi Njokuani
  • Age: 36
  • UFC Record: 6-3
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Albert Duraev.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, Dustin Todorovic, Marc Andre Barriault, a well rounded 12-1 fighter, an 18-4 wrestler, an 8-0 striker, a well rounded 6-1 fighter and an 8-2 striker. Beat Jared Gordon, a 6-2 wrestler, an 8-2 striker, an 11-3 striker, and a 10-3 grappler. Split decision wins over Rhys McKee and Max Griffin.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Matthews by split decision.


Eduarda Moura vs Lauren Murphy

  • Eduarda Moura
  • Age: 31
  • Pro Record: 11-1
  • UFC Record: 3-1
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Denise Gomes.
  • Key WIns: Submitted a 5-0 striker. Knocked out Montserrat Conejo and a 6-3 striker. Beat Veronica Hardy.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Grappling: plus (70)
  • Lauren Murphy
  • Age: 41
  • UFC Record: 5-2 at 125 lbs. 6-6 overall.
  • Key Losses: Split decision loss to Sara McMann.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Mara Romero Borella. Beat Miehsa Tate, Joanne Wood, and Roxanne Modafferi. Split decision over Andrea Lee.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: a little above average (55)
  • Wrestling: plus (70)

Chris’ Pick: Moura by split decision.


Vitor Petrino vs Austen Lane

  • Vitor Petrino
  • Age: 27
  • UFC Record: 5-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Modestas Bukauskas, Rodolfo Bellato twice, and Gadzhimurad Antigulov. Submitted Marcin Prachnio. Beat Tyson Pedro and Anton Turkalj.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)
  • Austen Lane
  • Age: 37
  • UFC Record: 2-4
  • Key Losses: Knocked out by a 7-4 striker.
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Juan Adams and a 3-1 striker. Beat Robelis Despagne.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Petrino by 1st round knockout.


Melissa Martinez vs Fatima Kline

  • Melissa Martinez
  • Age: 27
  • Pro Record: 8-1
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Beat Alice Ardelean. Split decision over a well rounded 5-1 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)
  • Fatima Kline
  • Age: 24
  • Pro Record: 7-1
  • UFC Record: 1-1
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Viktoriia Dudakova. Beat a 4-1 striker and a well rounded 6-3-1 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: near plus (65)

Chris’ Pick: Kline by decision.


Junior Tafa vs Tuco Tokkos

  • Junior Tafa
  • Age: 28
  • Pro Record: 6-3
  • UFC Record: 2-2
  • Key Wins: Knocked out Sean Sharaf, Parker Porter, and a 6-1 striker.
  • Striking: above average (60)
  • Power: above average (60)
  • Wrestling: a little above average (55)
  • Tuco Tokkos
  • Age: 34
  • Pro Record: 10-5
  • UFC Record: 0-3
  • Key Wins: Knocked out a 4-1 striker and a 9-3 wrestler. Submitted a well rounded 5-1 fighter.
  • Striking: near plus (65)
  • Power: near plus (65)
  • Wrestling: above average (60)

Chris’ Pick: Tokkos by decision.

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