Kaiwen Li vs Kai Lu Knockouts happen sometimes. Kai getting knocked out by Jeong Yeong Lee in 42 seconds doesn’t mean his skills vanished. The way to figure out where Kai’s skills are at is to look at his fight with Angga Hans. Angga came in as a -245 favorite. I’m still not sure why. […]
Chris Schweppe
Sasu vs Kim, Climaco vs Lee, Zha vs Wuziazibieke Fight Picks – Road to UFC – Shanghai Quarterfinals 1 – May 27, 2023
Keisuke Sasu vs Sang Won Kim Sasu took on a 23-3 grappler who I think has 60 grappling and showed his wrestling was on par with his opponent. So his wrestling is an easy 60 for me. Not much footage of Kim out there, but Sasu should have better cardio and better wrestling to grind […]
Nunes vs Aldana, Oliveira vs Dariush, Malott vs Fugitt Fight Picks – UFC 289 – June 10, 2023
Amanda Nunes vs Irene Aldana Aldana came into the Chiasson fight as a 2 to 1 favorite, probably because the market thought she had 75 striking. But that instead the strikes were close to equal and she showed 70 striking instead. What did surprise me is how much improved her grappling turned out to be. […]
Kara France vs Albazi, Caceres vs Pineda, Miller vs Klein Fight Picks – June 3, 2023
Kai Kara France vs Amir Albazi I think Albazi’s striking is a 65 now. He showed 60 striking in the 1st round of his last fight with Costa, hurt Costa in the 2nd and then it was one way traffic after that. But when Albazi started to land more in the 2nd and 3rd rounds, […]
Dern vs Hill, Shahbazyan vs Hernandez, Ducote vs Godinez Fight Picks – May 20, 2023
MacKenzie Dern vs Angela Hill Did Hill’s striking level up to a 70 grade in her win over Ducote? Or has Jessica Penne’s striking regressed to a 50? Because if Penne has 50 striking, it would explain Ducote being able to out class her with 60 striking and how Hill was still able to land […]
Rozenstruik vs Almeida, Smith vs Walker, Garry vs Rodriguez Fight Picks – May 13, 2023
Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Jailton Almeida If you want to see the difference between 75 grappling and 70 grappling, watch Curtis Blaydes vs Abdurakhimov. And Blaydes finished the fight via ground and pound, in the mount. But he had to work to get there. He didn’t get a dominant position until the end. But then if […]
Sterling vs Cejudo, Burns vs Muhammad, Andrade vs Yan Fight Picks – UFC 288 – May 6, 2023
Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo When Dominick Cruz is at his best, he has 75 striking. He even showed it in his last fight with Chito Vera. I had Cejudo with 70 striking going into his fight with Cruz. Cejudo had beat Moraes and the striking was close to equal. And the numbers don’t lie, […]
Song vs Simon, Borralho vs Oleksiejczuk, Vieira vs Brundage Fight Picks – April 29, 2023
Song Yadong vs Ricky Simon 75 might seem to be an aggressive number to grade Simon’s striking, but I stand by it. He’s proved it enough times. Especially the way he beat Shore on the ground. Yadong is pound for pound one of the best young fighters in the UFC and a possible future champion, […]
Pavlovich vs Blaydes, Silva vs Tavares, Green vs Gordon Fight Picks – April 22, 2023
Sergei Pavlovich vs Curtis Blaydes Pavlovich now has five 1st round knockouts in a row in the UFC. The market priced him as having 75 striking and he delivered on that, landing 16 shots to 2. But of course, the obvious question is whether his striking would hold up as a 75 over 3 rounds, […]
Holloway vs Allen, Barboza vs Quarantillo, Jacoby vs Murzakanov Fight Picks – April 15, 2023
Max Holloway vs Arnold Allen Max Holloway Age: 31 UFC Record: 19-6 Key Losses: Split decision loss to Alexander Volkanovski. Key Wins: Knocked out Brian Ortega, Jose Aldo (twice), Anthony Pettis, and Charles Oliveira. Beat Yair Rodriguez, Frankie Edgar, Jeremy Stephens and Ricardo Lamas. Striking: near plus plus (75) Power: near plus (65) Wrestling: neat […]