Erin Blanchfield vs Maycee Barber
- Erin Blanchfield
- Age: 25
- UFC Record: 7-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Tracy Cortez.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Victoria Leonardo. Submitted Jessica Andrade, Molly McCann, and JJ Aldrich. Beat Rose Namajunas, Taila Santos, Miranda Maverick, and Sarah Alpar. Majority decision over Kay Hansen.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
- Maycee Barber
- Age: 26
- UFC Record: 10-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Hannah Cifers. JJ Aldrich. and Gillian Robertson. Beat Katlyn Cerminara, Jessica Eye, and Montana de la Rosa. Split decision wins over Andrea Lee and Miranda Maverick.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Blanchfield actually out struck Namajunas 103 to 91. But I don’t think I’m ready to upgrade Blanchfield’s striking to a 75 as I think it’s more likely Namajunas is starting to regress. But I could be wrong and it wouldn’t surprise me if the striking tool is a 75 after all.
Chris’ Pick: Blanchfield by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Blanchfield -200
Mateusz Gamrot vs Ludovit Klein
- Mateusz Gamrot
- Age: 34
- UFC Record: 7-3
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Dan Hooker.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Diego Ferreira, Scott Holtzman, Norman Parke, a well rounded 9-1-1 fighter, a 16-0-1 grappler, and a 15-3 striker. Submitted Jeremy Stephens and a 9-1 grappler. Beat Rafael dos Anjos, Arman Tsarukyan, a 12-3-1 wrestler, a 24-4 grappler, a 21-7 grappler, and a 12-3 grappler. Split decision over Jalin Turner.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus plus (75)
- Ludovit Klein
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 7-2-1
- Key Draws: Fought Jai Herbert to a majority draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out AJ Cunningham, Shane Young, a 13-1 striker, a 14-5 grappler, and a well rounded 11-4 fighter. Beat Roosevelt Roberts, Thiago Moises, Ignacio Bahamondes, Mason Jones, and an 11-2 striker. Split decision over Devonte Smith.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Gamrot by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Gamrot -250
Billy Ray Goff vs Ramiz Brahimaj
- Billy Ray Goff
- Age: 26
- Pro Record: 9-3
- UFC Record: 2-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Yusaku Kinoshita, a 9-1 striker, 3-0 grappler and a 5-0 striker, and a well rounded 7-2 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Ramiz Brahimaj
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 3-3
- Key Losses: Lost to an 8-3 grappler and a 10-4 wrestler.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Mickey Gall. Submitted Sasha Palatnikov and a 9-3 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Chris’ Pick: Goff by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Goff -300
Dustin Jacoby vs Bruno Lopes
- Dustin Jacoby
- Age: 37
- UFC Record: 9-4-1 at 205 lbs.
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Khalil Rountree.
- Key Draws: Fought Ion Cutelaba to a draw.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Vitor Petrino, Kennedy Nzechukwu, Da Un Jung, Darren Stewart, Justin Ledet, a 10-3 grappler and a 7-0 grappler. Beat Michel Oleksiejczuk, Maxim Grishin, and a 7-2 grappler.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Bruno Lopes
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 14-1
- UFC Record: 2-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out Gregory Rodrigues and a 13-2 striker. Submitted a well rounded 10-3 fighter. Beat Magomed Gadzhiyasulov and a well rounded 5-0 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Lopes was really impressive outperforming the market and accruing over 9 minutes of control time on the ground with Gadzhiyasulov. I’ve come to the realization lately that although Alonzo Menifield has big power, his striking is definitely a 60. Thus, Jacoby’s striking is not a 70 as I thought and need to downgrade that tool to a 65.
Chris’ Pick: Jacoby by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Jacoby -135
Macy Chiasson vs Ketlen Vieira
- Macy Chiasson
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 8-4
- Key Wins: Submitted Pannie Kianzad twice. Knocked out Mayra Bueno Silva, Sarah Moras and Gina Mazany. Beat Marion Reneau. Split decision over Norma Dumont.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: plus (70)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
- Ketlen Vieira
- Age: 33
- UFC Record: 8-4
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Raquel Pennington.
- Key Wins: Submitted Sara McMann. Beat Pannie Kianzad, Miesha Tate, Sijara Eubanks, and Ashley Evans-Smith. Split decision over Holly Holm.
- Striking: plus (70)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Chiasson by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Chiasson -175
Zachary Reese vs Dusko Todorovic
- Zachary Reese
- Age: 31
- UFC Record: 3-2
- Key Wins: Knocked out Julian Marquez. Submitted a well rounded 6-0 fighter. Beat Jose Medina.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Dusko Todorovic
- Age: 30
- UFC Record: 4-4
- Key Wins: Knocked out Jordan Wright, Maki Pitolo, Michel Pereira, and a well rounded 8-0 fighter in his 3rd pro fight. Submitted an 8-1 striker. Beat a 14-4 striker.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
Todorovic has been knocked out in the 1st round in 3 of his last 4 fights and Reese is the last type of guy Todorovic would want to be in the cage with. Althought Todorovic could have a shot if he can get some early take downs.
Chris’ Pick: Reese by 1st round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Reese -135
Allan Nascimento vs Jafel Filho
- Allan Nascimento
- Age: 33
- Pro Record: 20-6
- UFC Record: 2-2
- Key Losses: Split decision losses to Tagir Ulanbekov and Raulian Paiva.
- Key Wins: Submitted Carlos Hernandez, a 4-0 grappler, and a 10-3 grappler. Beat Jake Hadley, a well rounded 16-4 fighter, and a well rounded 8-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
- Jafel Filho
- Age: 31
- Pro Record: 16-3
- UFC Record: 3-1
- Key Losses: Submitted by an 8-4 grappler.
- Key Wins: Knocked out Vinicius Salvador and a 7-1 striker. Submitted Ode Osbourne, Daniel Barez, a well rounded 5-0 fighter, a well rounded 8-3 fighter, and a well rounded 8-1 fighter.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Grappling: plus (70)
Chris’ Pick: Filho by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Filho -175
Kurt Holobaugh vs Jordan Leavitt
- Kurt Holobaugh
- Age: 38
- UFC Record: 2-6
- Key Wins: Submitted Austin Hubbard. Beat Kaynan Kruschewsky.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: above average (60)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
- Jordan Leavitt
- Age: 29
- UFC Record: 4-3
- Key Wins: Submitted Matt Sayles and a well rounded 9-1 fighter. Knocked out Victor Martinez. Split decision over Trey Ogden.
- Striking: above average (60)
- Power: average (50)
- Grappling: near plus (65)
Alexander Hernandez picked up over 6 minutes of control time on the ground with Holobaugh. It’s possible Holobaugh was content to work submissions off his back. But more likely that Holobaugh’s grappling is a 55. I also think Hernandez’s striking has regressed to a 60. Highly doubt Holobaugh all of a sudden has 65 striking as he’s 38 years old with 8 UFC fights.
Chris’ Pick: Leavitt by 2nd round submission.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Leavitt -200
Trevin Giles vs Andreas Gustafsson
- Trevin Giles
- Age: 32
- UFC Record: 7-7
- Key Wins: Knocked out Bevon Lewis, an 8-1 grappler, and a 9-2 grappler. Submitted a 9-2 striker. Beat Louis Cosce and Roman Dolidze. Split decision over Preston Parsons and Ryan Spann.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
- Andreas Gustafsson
- Age: 34
- Pro Record: 11-2
- UFC Record: 1-0
- Key Losses: Majority decision loss to Joilton Lutterbach.
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 9-1 striker, a 10-2 wrestler, and an 8-3 striker.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: a little above average (55)
Gustufsson has a little bit of hype and I might be under rating him a tad. Could have 60 tools. For a bit, I thought Giles striking might have elevated to a 70 after he out struck Carlos Prates but that seems to be an outlier as Mike Malott was able to out strike him 59 to 34.
Chris’ Pick: Giles by decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Giles -300
Bolaji Oki vs Michael Aswell
- Bolaji Oki
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 8-2
- UFC Record: 2-1
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-1 grappler. Beat an 11-0 striker. Split decision over Timothy Cuamba.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: above average (60)
- Michael Aswell
- Age: 24
- Pro Record: 10-2
- UFC Record: 0-1
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Bogdan Grad
- Key Wins: Knocked out a 5-2 grappler and an 11-4 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: a little above average (55)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
I severely under rated Aswell going into his Contender fight with Grad. When I had watched Aswell prior, I saw 50 tools across the board but he really proved me wrong. Amazingly, Aswell’s cardio matched Grad’s, who’s well know for having plus cardio. Now he makes his UFC return on less than a week’s notice.
Chris’ Pick: Aswell by split decision.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Aswell -125
Rayanne dos Santos vs Alice Ardelean
- Rayanne dos Santos
- Age: 29
- Pro Record: 14-8
- UFC Record: 0-3
- Key Losses: Split decision losses to Puja Tomar and Talita Alencar.
- Key Wins: Beat a well rounded 6-3 fighter.
- Striking: a little above average (55)
- Power: fringe average (45)
- Grappling: a little above average (55)
- Alice Ardelean
- Age: 33
- Pro Record: 8-7
- UFC Record: 0-2
- Key Losses: Split decision loss to Shauna Bannon.
- Key Wins: Submitted a 3-0 striker.
- Striking: near plus (65)
- Power: near plus (65)
- Wrestling: near plus (65)
- Grappling: above average (60)
Chris’ Pick: Ardelean by 2nd round knockout.
What odds I think the favorite should be at: Ardelean -400